MASH Report (7/15/13)

Injury news was slow side over the weekend and no pitchers were taken off the DL. I have a few updates, a 2013 SLOW leader board. With less expected later in the week, I will breakdown in detail the PAIN and HURT leader boards in my next article.

• Last week I examined Matt Cain‘s and Yu Darvish‘s possible injuries. More news has become available on them.

Yu Darvish is said to just have shoulder fatigue.

Yu Darvish was examined by Dr. Keith Meister in Texas on Thursday, and the results showed nothing out of the ordinary in the right trapezius muscle. The Rangers feel Darvish is dealing simply with fatigue in the muscle and nothing more. Darvish did not even undergo an MRI. (Source)

Matt Cain says he is fine, but he is dealing with some loose bodies in his elbow.

The back-to-back starts are a pair of red flags, no doubt – especially for a pitcher who has loose bodies in his right elbow. (Source)

Stuff floating around in a pitcher’s elbow can’t be good, but it seems some writers are also trying to give him a large velocity drop.

Baggarly, however, notes some red flags that suggest something isn’t right with Cain. For one thing Bochy had a reliever warming up just 20 pitches into Cain’s start Wednesday, suggesting the Giants knew something was up. Beyond that Cain’s fastball velocity was down 2-3 miles per hour. (Source)

His average fastball velocity was down 0.6 MPH from the previous game (91.7 mph to 91.1 mph), but it averaged being below 91.1 mph in 10 separate games earlier in the season. There is no data of a 2-3 mph drop. I have no idea where this data originated.

Max Scherzer took a ball off his hand during his first loss of this season.

Scherzer had another issue — a bad bruise on his left wrist. It came in the sixth when Ian Kinsler’s hard ground ball through the box ricocheted off Scherzer and to the glove of second baseman Hernan Perez, who handled the force-out at second base.

Scherzer got ice on the wrist between innings and pitched the seventh. But the wrist was swollen afterward and he conceded it affected not only his delivery, but could become an issue ahead of Tuesday’s All-Star Game.

“It got me right on the wrist — right on the bone,” he said. “Obviously, it wasn’t broken, but you never realize how much you use your glove to pull through, with your body. It kind of changed how my mechanics worked.” (Source)

Looking back at the game, his release points and velocity were fine. It will be interesting to see if he throws in the All-Star game (he has been selected as the starter). If he does throw, I wouldn’t put too much stock in his velocity because he will be dealing with the injury and will not want to hurt himself.

Jeff Locke has been heading my PAIN list for a couple of months now. He missed his scheduled start on Sunday and will not pitch in the All-Star game because of back pain. It will be interesting to see if the time off helps his results.

SLOW (Swinging Late or Whiffing) Hitters (2013 with a min 40 pitches in the heart of the strike zone)

Rank Name SLOW Stand
1 Tim Lincecum 83.3 L
2 Justin Upton 80.5 R
3 B.J. Upton 79.9 R
4 Adeiny Hechavarria 78.9 R
5 Dayan Viciedo 74.0 R
6 Martin Maldonado 72.2 R
7 J.P. Arencibia 70.2 R
8 John Buck 68.4 R
9 Jeff Francoeur 67.5 R
10 Ian Desmond 67.5 R
11 Yoenis Cespedes 65.5 R
12 Mike Morse 65.3 R
13 Josh Donaldson 61.7 R
14 Tyler Moore 60.6 R
15 Jarrod Saltalamacchia 60.3 L
16 Will Middlebrooks 60.0 R
17 Drew Stubbs 58.9 R
18 Rick Ankiel 58.8 L
19 Hector Gimenez 58.4 L
20 Wilin Rosario 58.3 R
21 Delmon Young 58.1 R
22 Tyler Colvin 57.5 L
23 Nick Hundley 56.4 R
24 Brandon Moss 55.3 L
25 Jesus Guzman 54.8 R

• One interesting player in the 2013 list is Yoenis Cespedes with a 65.5 SLOW value, up from a 49.5 value in 2012. When Cespedes came into the league, he had problems with breaking pitches. He adjusted as the 2012 season went on. His K% is up from 18.9% in 2012 to 23.5% in 2013. His fastball pitch values (weighted and non-weighted) are all down significantly. It seems pitchers have found a weakness of his and are beginning to exploit it.

Players on the DL

(*) 15 Day Disabled List
(**) 60 Day Disabled List
(***) 7 Day Concussion List
Red colored entries are updates since last report.

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Jeff writes for FanGraphs, The Hardball Times and Royals Review, as well as his own website, Baseball Heat Maps with his brother Darrell. In tandem with Bill Petti, he won the 2013 SABR Analytics Research Award for Contemporary Analysis. Follow him on Twitter @jeffwzimmerman.

9 Responses to “MASH Report (7/15/13)”

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  1. colbyamoss says:


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  2. Jon L. says:

    I sometimes have trouble viewing the injury chart. This time, I didn’t. So, if you did something different, keep doing it! And either way, thanks for the article.

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    • Jeff Zimmerman says:

      I made it smaller in the vertical direction so it would all fit on the screen at once. It seems to help the jumping. I can shrink it more if it would help with others.

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  3. Brian says:

    Would you guys drop Wil Myers, Adam Eaton, Carl Crawford, or Gerrit Cole for Curtis Granderson in a 10 team mixed roto?

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    • Jeff Zimmerman says:

      Not yet, Granderson just doesn’t seem to be healing fast enough, but if any of the other 3 are not getting full playing time, I would go with Granderson.

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      • Brian says:

        I see. Do you see regression coming for Gerrit Cole, Jeff? I’m worried about his 8% swinging strike rate.

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  4. pudieron89 says:

    Why is Lincecum on the hitters chart

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