MASH Report (7/7/14)

• On July 4th, Gerrit Cole was removed from his start with a sore lat. Here are his velocity readings from the game.

For his next start, look for a fastball velocity near 97 mph vs 93 mph which is where he ended the game at.

Jon Niese admits to dealing with a fatigued shoulder for over a month.

“It’s been that way for probably a month and a half now,” said Niese, who expects to start against the Padres in the Mets’ first series after the All-Star break. “It finally caught up with me, and it’s something I could pitch through. It’s something I would have to battle through the rest of the year. I think this is just as good a time as any to take a break and let it get back strong.”

For my pitcher injury finder, PAIN, I need samples like this case to see how my process holds up. Since it looks for velocity and Zone% declines, I need to see how Niese performed in both.

His velocity was down (-1.5mph).

His Zone% was stable.

He had one sign of a injury (velocity loss), but he was still able to throw strikes with the pain. I usually put more credit in Zone%, but in this case it didn’t work. Thinking…….

Joey Votto will officially end up on the DL in a day or two with a strained quad.

Edwin Encarnacion will be on the DL also with a strained quad also.

Kolten Wong is back from the DL, but he admits his shoulder is still bothering him.

Kolten Wong battled to play through a shoulder injury for more than a week in June, and it appears that battle could linger the remainder of the season.
“I wouldn’t say [my shoulder is] 100 percent, but it’s pretty close,” the Cardinals second baseman said. “I’m able to finish my swing now without any pain and kind of get back to where I was before I got hurt.”

Jeremy Hellickson will start for the Rays on Tuesday.

Jaime Garcia will under go season-ending surgery on his shoulder.

CC Sabathia‘s will likely not pitch again in 2014.

• The #1 ranked (or pretty darn close) prospect, Byron Buxton, played in him first 2014 game in High-A Fort Myers on Sunday.

Fastball Velocity Watch for Pitchers Returning From the DL

Brad Hand‘s average fastball velocity was down, but he did move to being a starter.

Anthony Bass‘s velocity was fine.

Ian Krol‘s was down to pre-DL levels. Basically, not good.

Fernando Salas‘s was up after a pre-DL slide.

Brett Cecil‘s velo looked fine.

Eric O’Flaherty‘s speed is fine after finally returning from TJS.

Players on the DL

I was keeping track of these values because in August, I new I had some values from last season. I was searching around for some other files and found most of the rest of the 2013 values. I added them in and it looks like DL stints are down for this season compared to last season.

Players on the DL

(*) 15 Day Disabled List
(**) 60 Day Disabled List
(***) 7 Day Concussion List
(****) Free Agent
Red colored entries are updates since last report.

Major League Report


Minor League Report

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Jeff writes for FanGraphs, The Hardball Times and Royals Review, as well as his own website, Baseball Heat Maps with his brother Darrell. In tandem with Bill Petti, he won the 2013 SABR Analytics Research Award for Contemporary Analysis. Follow him on Twitter @jeffwzimmerman.

15 Responses to “MASH Report (7/7/14)”

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  1. ashtray says:

    Sure would be nice if they would go ahead and get Encarnacion and Votto on the DL already.

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  2. ATrain says:

    Great stuff Jeff, thanks so much.

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  3. TH_Binn says:

    In the Minor League Report, Roman Quinn has returned to action.

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  4. Cason Jolette says:

    Any take on Keuchel and the status of his hand? There was speculation that after his awful start last week that he was still not 100%. Just trying to figure out whether I should be holding him or not. Thanks Jeff!

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    • Jeff Zimmerman says:

      Nothing on Keuchel sticks out with his last start (Velocity, Zone% and release point all are fine). His team really let him down. He allowed 15 hits on a 60% GB%. BABIP’ed to death.

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  5. brianwilliams42 says:

    What’s your thoughts on Josh Fields’s low velocity in his return this week? Looks like his FB is down 2+ MPH after a forearm injury.

    He struck out all 4 of his outs, so I’m holding for a Qualls potential trade, but the low velocity is scary.

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  6. Jeff Zimmerman says:

    I would hold for a couple more appearances and then see where the speed stands.

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  7. mbples says:

    Thoughts on Mat Latos 2.4 drop in velocity? Can’t be a good sign seeing his arm trouble that set him back in his rehab starts, right?

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    • Jeff Zimmerman says:

      I have no faith in him at all and who wants a pitcher with a 4.8 K/9. If people in your league are rostering Kyle Gibson, Eric Young and Kevin Correia, then Latos is in play, otherwise stay away.

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  8. dudekid says:

    this may have been on a previous report, but what is up with Bryce Harper? he has been struggling pretty badly since his return from the DL

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