MASH Report (9/19/13)

Truthfully, not a whole lot to go over. The biggest key for the next couple weeks is to play players who will be in the starting lineup, not resting or calling the season done. One item which will probably come up is playoff bound pitchers who skip starts in order to rest.

Matt Harvey opted for rehab vice surgery. I am not 100% sure I like this decision. If I was his owner, I would be very skeptical of any 2014 production from him.

Matt Kemp finally returned with a week and half to go in the season. He doesn’t seem to be struggling in his two games. I think his upside outweighs the possible possible injury risk over the next week or so. Play him.

• Several players seem to be rushing back from the injuries to play in the post season like Jacoby Ellsbury, Jason Heyward, Justin Masterson (bullpen maybe) and Jaime Garcia. I would expect very little production out of this group if they return next week.

Pitchers Returning from the DL

Johnny Cueto‘s velocity looks good after coming back from the DL.

His release point pattern was tightly grouped and his Zone% was respectable (48%). I see no reason not to start him next week.

J.J. Putz‘s velocity was sitting on the low side in his one appearance

Sean Marshall‘s velocity is also on the low side

Robert Coello‘s velocity is way down.

• Finally, the New York Times looked if pitchers have a max speed they can throw a baseball.

PAIN (Pitcher Abuse INdex) Rankings (min 50 pitches in Sept to the rest of the 2013 season)

Any player with a PAIN value over 100 (red) has the traits of a pitcher likely to be hurt.

Name PAIN Initial Velocity Initial Zone% Sep. Velocity Sep Zone%
Steve Cishek 363.5 92.4 52.5% 91.0 33.9%
Josh Outman 247.9 92.4 47.1% 91.9 34.6%
Oliver Perez 246.2 92.5 54.3% 91.0 42.4%
Clay Buchholz 236.5 90.8 48.3% 88.9 40.0%
Cesar Ramos 203.1 91.1 46.8% 91.5 34.0%
Dane de la Rosa 195.3 93.9 55.0% 94.5 39.8%
Charlie Morton 188.4 92.8 47.3% 92.4 37.8%
Rob Wooten 187.7 87.0 45.1% 86.5 36.3%
Edward Mujica 187.3 88.9 54.1% 86.9 46.9%
Burch Smith 184.2 92.6 58.1% 91.1 48.7%
Aaron Harang 173.5 89.8 49.5% 88.9 41.3%
Dale Thayer 173.0 92.8 54.8% 92.7 43.2%
Jeff Francis 172.3 85.5 48.7% 85.0 39.8%
Roy Halladay 169.0 87.6 45.8% 86.1 40.8%
Drew Smyly 167.8 89.0 47.8% 88.7 38.8%
Luis Mendoza 166.5 91.5 42.4% 91.0 35.8%
Preston Claiborne 164.0 92.8 46.1% 91.7 40.3%
Craig Breslow 160.3 89.7 43.7% 90.3 33.9%
Roberto Hernandez 154.8 91.5 49.8% 91.3 40.8%
Tyler Clippard 154.5 91.5 49.0% 90.5 42.4%
Carter Capps 154.0 95.4 51.3% 95.7 40.3%
Mike Leake 153.8 89.4 50.2% 89.8 39.1%
Paul Clemens 152.0 93.7 49.6% 90.8 48.5%
Jerry Blevins 151.6 89.9 46.4% 88.8 40.9%
Kevin Gregg 151.5 89.6 46.1% 89.3 38.8%
Nick Tepesch 150.9 90.9 48.4% 91.7 36.8%
Jake Dunning 150.2 90.5 49.1% 89.8 41.8%
Danny Farquhar 147.2 92.1 48.0% 91.5 40.9%
Ryan Pressly 142.2 92.9 48.4% 93.5 38.2%
Lucas Harrell 138.6 91.9 40.4% 90.7 37.6%
Michael Gonzalez 136.5 90.7 44.0% 91.8 33.9%
Dan Jennings 135.0 92.0 44.9% 91.8 38.4%
Ivan Nova 134.9 93.3 44.9% 92.0 41.7%
Michael Blazek 129.5 95.1 40.5% 93.9 38.2%
J.C. Ramirez 127.1 94.2 55.2% 93.3 48.2%
Brad Brach 121.8 90.8 45.8% 90.8 39.2%
Gonzalez Germen 119.0 92.8 41.9% 93.1 35.8%
Danny Duffy 118.8 93.4 51.4% 93.3 43.8%
Trevor Cahill 118.7 89.4 45.8% 90.1 37.6%
Tony Sipp 118.3 90.3 43.9% 90.4 37.5%
Neil Wagner 117.6 95.8 51.6% 95.7 44.0%
J.P. Howell 117.4 87.3 43.1% 87.5 36.9%
Luis Avilan 117.1 93.1 42.8% 92.9 37.9%
Brandon Kintzler 115.0 92.1 48.3% 92.5 40.2%
Stephen Fife 114.0 89.3 52.6% 89.0 45.4%
Rex Brothers 113.9 93.3 46.2% 93.0 40.7%
Tommy Milone 113.6 86.9 46.6% 87.3 39.1%
Wade Miley 112.7 90.9 46.8% 91.0 40.4%
Nathan Eovaldi 109.5 96.2 55.1% 96.4 45.8%
Julio Teheran 109.2 91.4 53.3% 91.0 46.5%
Boone Logan 106.1 93.6 44.4% 93.6 39.2%
Sergio Romo 103.7 87.7 43.1% 86.8 40.7%
Matt Moore 101.1 92.4 46.6% 92.2 41.6%

Some of the same pitchers. I am not see anyone stick out.

Players on the DL

(*) 15 Day Disabled List
(**) 60 Day Disabled List
(***) 7 Day Concussion List
(****) Free Agent
Red colored entries are updates since last report.

Unofficial DL List

Official DL List




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Jeff writes for FanGraphs, The Hardball Times and Royals Review, as well as his own website, Baseball Heat Maps with his brother Darrell. In tandem with Bill Petti, he won the 2013 SABR Analytics Research Award for Contemporary Analysis. Follow him on Twitter @jeffwzimmerman.


4 Responses to “MASH Report (9/19/13)”

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  1. Jack says:

    Any thoughts on whether Dom Brown’s Achilles will effect his power? He had a double last night but I’m really looking for HR’s. For the weekend do you like him (he faces 3 RHP)or
    Belt (@NYY and faces 2 LHP),
    Rasmus (very hot lately but also faces 2 Boston lefty’s)
    Lawrie (faces those same lefties)

    Vote -1 Vote +1

    • Jeff Zimmerman says:
      FanGraphs Supporting Member

      I would go in the order:
      Rasmus
      Belt
      .
      .
      .
      Brown
      .
      .
      Lawrie

      I don’t think Brown is healthy. Rasmus has the best power, but Belt is a left at Yankee Stadium. I think you will be safe with either one.

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  2. Guest says:

    Kyle Blanks is back playing 1B/OF for SD… Do you have any update on Drew Hutchison for TOR?

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