My RotoGraphs Mock Team — Slow Draft Style

And six weeks later, a team was born…

That’s right. After just six short weeks and hundreds of emails, we finally finished the RotoGraphs Ridiculously Early Mock Draft — Slow Draft Style. The process was definitely cumbersome, to say the least, but we all made it through relatively unscathed. Our fearless leader and draft overseer, Eno Sarris, published the results five rounds at a time (the links to all can be found in this post) and now it’s time to reveal our teams. Well, I don’t know if everyone is going to do it, but here’s mine:

All players are listed with which pick they were selected as well as their Bill James projections for the standard 5×5 roto categories.

Hitters

Pick Player Pos HR RBI R SB AVG
104 Wilin Rosario C 28 68 63 3 0.261
8 Albert Pujols 1B 38 117 105 9 0.305
56 Jason Kipnis 2B 18 83 100 28 0.274
89 Mike Moustakas 3B 23 87 75 4 0.264
17 Jose Reyes SS 11 56 96 39 0.295
209 Josh Rutledge MI 16 62 80 18 0.277
152 Eric Hosmer CI 20 79 79 17 0.276
41 Michael Bourn OF 5 46 93 44 0.273
113 Drew Stubbs OF 16 53 85 33 0.246
272 Carlos Quentin OF 26 82 72 2 0.256
185 Dayan Viciedo OF 24 77 66 1 0.271
137 Carlos Gomez OF 11 38 55 27 0.251
Total 236 848 969 225 0.272

Pitchers

Pick Player W SV K ERA WHIP
32 David Price 16 0 202 3.13 1.14
65 CC Sabathia 16 0 211 3.28 1.17
80 Dan Haren 15 0 186 3.47 1.16
176 Jeremy Hellickson 11 0 151 3.51 1.22
248 Jason Vargas 10 0 135 3.82 1.27
257 Andy Pettitte* 10 0 118 3.69 1.24
128 Greg Holland 5 31 88 3.04 1.28
161 Jim Johnson 4 43 47 3.34 1.20
224 Steve Cishek 4 26 59 3.05 1.27
Total 91 100 1197 3.42 1.20

Bench

233 Carlos Pena 1B 24 75 67 2 0.209
200 Kyle Seager 3B 17 76 65 13 0.278

Using the totals above, I went back to some of my leagues from last year to do a comparison just to see exactly what my strengths and weaknesses were. Unfortunately though, I played in just one 12-team league and those stats had already been wiped. I took a look at a 13-teamer I did, but the starting rosters were way bigger and even if I were to have added both bench hitters, the rosters were still plenty off. And the 10-teamer I looked at, well, you’re talking about two fewer teams and two fewer outfielders, so it looked like everyone had an All Star team. What can I say? My nephew and his friends prefer the shallow league and they needed a last minute fill-in.

So while I was unable to compare these projections to last year’s standings, I think we can make a pretty strong, educated guess as to what looks good and what looks light. Stolen bases? Very, very good. Home runs and RBI? Pretty light. Runs scored appears to be around the middle to back end of the pack while batting average appears to be middle to upper half.

As for pitching, if these projections were to actually come true (yes, yes, I know the odds of that really happening), my staff actually sits on the higher end of the spectrum. It’s easier to compare pitching as nine-man staffs are, pretty much, the norm, so when I match up last season’s standings, I’m at the top in saves and in the upper half in every category except for strikeouts. In the strikeout category, I’m looking at middle to back end of the group.

Now obviously this is just a rough look as no one who competes actually sits on their original roster, but this is, at least, a good way to see what kind of foundation I’m working with. It also enables me to see how I should be drafting differently if I’m looking for a team with higher power numbers, or whatever specific goal I am trying to meet. In the case of this team, as I discussed in the great Michael Bourn debate, I am looking at some early trades of stolen bases for power.

Pujols notwithstanding, going for speed early, as we all discussed, can really hurt you in the long run, especially if everyone else in the league covets power right from the start. I did try to make up for it with middle picks like Hosmer and Rosario, as well as late picks like Viciedo and Quentin, but in the end, I’m still going to be in need of some bigger bats. An early season trade of someone like Reyes or Bourn or even Gomez might do the trick, at least to start. But overall, I like the base team I finished with. Am I 100% happy? Of course not. But I think if this were to turn into a league, I could do fairly well with it.

Favorite Pick: Rosario — Well past where he is going even in two-catcher leagues.

Least Favorite Pick: Pena — Didn’t realize LaRoche was still on the board.

Biggest Reach: Haren — I believe in a comeback with a return to the NL but could have gotten him a few rounds later.

Biggest Bargain: Quentin — Injury prone, for sure, but great power for a last round pick.

Guy I’m Drafting In As Many Leagues as Possible This Year: Holland — Great K-rate and the Royals will play a lot of close ones this year.

 

*Bill James projections not available; Fan projections used




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Howard Bender has been covering fantasy sports for over 10 years on a variety of websites. In addition to his work here, you can also find him at his site, RotobuzzGuy.com, Fantasy Alarm, RotoWire and Mock Draft Central. Follow him on Twitter at @rotobuzzguy or for more direct questions or comments, email him at rotobuzzguy@gmail.com


11 Responses to “My RotoGraphs Mock Team — Slow Draft Style”

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  1. Sean-O says:

    Pretty solid team. Your OF is a little suspect but generally tons of free agents are available through the season.

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    • Howard Bender says:

      Agreed. Probably could have gone with a stronger outfielder over maybe Haren. Or even Moustakas since I was able to grab Seager so much later.

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  2. David Wiers says:

    Aw man. You broke down your team in a much prettier fashion than I did.

    Your Rosario pick was an absolute steal. I really like your Quentin pick too, as well as Seager.

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  3. Stuck in a slump says:

    You could probably pencil in about 8 more HR’s out of Gomez by projecting him out to a full season of AB’s, which James did not. Not sure why you drafted Stubbs right before Gomez though, they’re very similar players, but Gomez appears to have more upside right now, and with Bourn, Reyes, and Kipnis on your team, you already had speed locked up, with Hunter Pence going at 150, drafting him instead of Stubbs would have made your team look a bit better with 35 more RBI and .030 more AVG than Stubbs at the cost of 26 SB’s and 5 R’s.

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    • Howard Bender says:

      I’ll admit it. When it comes to fantasy baseball, I’m a speed whore. Love drafting it and I love shopping it around a league. With all the players you mentioned, I would be shopping atleast two of them, most likely starting with Gomez who has been hyped up plenty and could probably fetch me a pretty big early return. And while I’m doing the shopping, I’m more than happy to jump out to a fairly quick lead int he category.

      Actually did not even consider Pence. Though he’s been consistent in his overall production in his career, his second half performance in AT&T Park last year was atrocious and I don’t really trust him for an entire season out in San Francisco. Spending a career calling Minute Maid and Citizens’ Bank Park home is one thing….

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      • Evil Empire says:

        You are a gap-tooth $3 whore for speed. What you need is Power! Unlimited POWER!!!!

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      • Stuck in a slump says:

        One thing I’m not sure about here is if this is a 5 OF league, if not, then the V-Mart pick right after your Stubbs pick would have been a decent one, Ike Davis going next would have been good for you, or Ethier at 120 could have also been a decent grab.

        I love me some speed too, in one of my league’s over the past three years I’ve finished between 1st and 3rd in SB’s, and either 1st or 2nd in R’s. And I like what you were trying to do with getting power/speed combos, almost all of my early targets are 20/20 or better types, but I admit, I’ve got a bit of a man crush on Bourn as well, he’s a guy that can win you SB’s almost single handedly in roto, and can win you the category almost every week in H2H.

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  4. Jimbo says:

    For an exercise like this it would be phenomenal to have a tool that adjusts projections for one of two scenarios:
    1. Full season of AB for all.
    2. Replacement-level production added to stats for comparative value (thinking Reyes in your table is projected to play less than full season).

    Players like Reyes can be consistently undervalued if there are 20+ games removed from his projections due to injury risk. Not every single day off can be replaced, but certainly DL stints most leagues allow replacements.

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  5. MustBunique says:

    Like the Quentin get, and I realize from other article comments that your Pena pick was without realizing LaRoche was still on the board but either one would’ve been a passable scramble to get some pop late in the draft. If some of your younger players break out, like Moose and Hosmer, then you could be sitting pretty. However until they break out, I will call you Bendy “the Jet” in honor of your potentially suicidal love of speedsters.

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    • Howard Bender says:

      Well, I’ve definitely been called worse on this site. And who doesn’t love a good Sandlot reference? Bendy the Jet it is.

      Wendy Peffercorn……sooooo gooooood!

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