Reader Mock Draft Analysis: Rounds 5-8

Continuing our analysis of the RotoGraphs Reader Mock Draft, here’s a look at Rounds 5 through 8…

Round 5
ballsdeep Hunter Pence
PirateInTheBay Nelson Cruz
San Jose Athletics of Oakland Buster Posey
32 Jon Lester
The Fighting Hellfish Pablo Sandoval
The Drew Henson’s Dan Haren
Smada Alex Rodriguez
Boo-urns Desmond Jennings
Hebrew Hammer Eric Hosmer
Kadjilliounaire Madison Bumgarner
Lucky Strikes Dan Uggla
Prone to Bone Shin-Soo Choo

Best Pick:  Pablo Sandoval, 3B  (5.5) — With five third basemen already off the board, including upstart Brett Lawrie, Sandoval made for a great pick for The Fighting Hellfish.  The position starts to thin out fairly soon and he doesn’t carry as much of an injury risk as Alex Rodriguez, Kevin Youkilis or Aramis Ramirez, the next three off the board.  He also doesn’t have the batting average concerns like Mark Reynolds.  Hellfish have built an outstanding offensive core thus far.

Riskiest Pick:  Madison Bumgarner, SP  (5.10) — I’m never a fan of taking starting pitching too early, and am even more against it when you’ve already taken a front line starter with your second pick.  I think offense has the greater importance.  And even if you’re in favor of grabbing a second starter here, there are more names down the list that might prove better options than Bum, such as Ian Kennedy, Matt Cain or possibly even Yovani Gallardo.

Round 6
Prone to Bone Stephen Strasburg
Lucky Strikes Matt Moore
Kadjilliounaire Asdrubal Cabrera
Hebrew Hammer Kevin Youkilis
Boo-urns Mike Morse
Smada Craig Kimbrel
The Drew Henson’s B.J. Upton
The Fighting Hellfish Yovani Gallardo
32 Aramis Ramirez
San Jose Athletics of Oakland Rickie Weeks
PirateInTheBay Ben Zobrist
ballsdeep Alex Gordon

Best Pick:  Ben Zobrist, 2B  (6.11) — PirateInTheBay gains solid power in the middle infield with this pick.  With six second basemen off the board and ballsdeep also in need of one, it was a sound move.  The added eligibility in the outfield is also a nice bonus.  A solid comeback last season coupled with a 20-HR performance again this year will erase any memories of a weak 2010.

Riskiest Pick:  Matt Moore, SP  (6.2) — A usual ADP of 100 means this is almost a 40 pick increase.  Perhaps it’s because Lucky Strikes covets him so much and knows how hyped this kid gets on this site, but that’s still a pretty strong overshoot for a kid who still needs to make a second pass through the AL East.  Maybe I’d dislike this pick less if you guys told me it was a planned keeper league, but without that, I can think of a number of pitchers I’d rather own.

Round 7
ballsdeep Adam Jones
PirateInTheBay Corey Hart
San Jose Athletics of Oakland Drew Stubbs
32 Shane Victorino
The Fighting Hellfish Jimmy Rollins
The Drew Henson’s Matt Wieters
Smada Matt Cain
Boo-urns Chase Utley
Hebrew Hammer Josh Johnson
Kadjilliounaire Jayson Werth
Lucky Strikes Yu Darvish
Prone to Bone Mat Latos

Best Pick:  Matt Cain, SP  SF  (7.7) — I was torn between Cain and the Adam Jones pick, but since Jones was right in line with his ADP and Cain is almost 20 picks lower than where he usually goes, the better bargain gets the nod.  Maybe his drop was due to concern over last season’s elbow problems during the spring, but his 2011 season should have put those concerns to bed.  His numbers have been pleasantly consistent over the last three years, he’s a workhorse/innings eater, and he’s in a contract year.  The Giants are trying to re-negotiate a long term deal, but Cain would be silly to not play the free agent market with his talent level.

Riskiest Pick:  Josh Johnson, SP  (7.9) — Just too many injury concerns for me, coupled with some solid pitching still left on the board.  With solid power already, I would have preferred to see The Hammer add some speed or atleast a reliable starter with less risk involved.

Round 8
Prone to Bone Ian Kennedy
Lucky Strikes Joe Mauer
Kadjilliounaire Michael Bourn
Hebrew Hammer Lance Berkman
Boo-urns Jason Heyward
Smada Tommy Hanson
The Drew Henson’s Nick Swisher
The Fighting Hellfish Howie Kendrick
32 Michael Young
San Jose Athletics of Oakland Gio Gonzalez
PirateInTheBay Alex Avila
ballsdeep James Shields

Best Pick:  Actually love a lot of picks in this round, but if I have to choose one…Ian Kennedy, SP  (8.1) — After everything I’ve been saying, how could I not pick him?  He went 15 picks lower than his ADP and is still a player on the rise.  For all intents and purposes, this is Kennedy’s third full year coming and he’s improved his K/9, his K/BB ratio, boosted his ERA (and FIP), improved his GB/FB over the first two.  He also continues to pitch in one of the weaker hitter divisions in baseball.

Riskiest Pick:  Lance Berkman, 1B/OF  (8.4) — Sorry Hammer, that’s two in a row here.  You just missed Michael Bourn and still passed on the likes of a Brett Gardner.  Berkman is another high risk player and you have to be concerned with such a dramatic drop in power in the second half.  Yes, he still hit .315 (.423 OBP) after the All Star break,  but dropping to just seven home runs after knocking 24 in the first half is a bit disconcerting.

Rounds 9 and beyond coming soon…..



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Howard Bender has been covering fantasy sports for over 10 years on a variety of websites. In addition to his work here, you can also find him at his site, RotobuzzGuy.com, Fantasy Alarm, RotoWire and Mock Draft Central. Follow him on Twitter at @rotobuzzguy or for more direct questions or comments, email him at rotobuzzguy@gmail.com


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Greg
Member
Greg

Easy defense of Bumgarner – As a 21 year old in 2011, he was a better pitcher than all the options you mentioned (Kennedy, Cain, Gallardo).

I didn’t love the idea of taking a second pitcher either, but most of the offensive options available at the time seemed pretty mediocre. The only guy I considered instead of MadBum was Zobrist. In hindsight, I probably should have taken Zorilla, as 2B thinned out quicker than I thought it would.

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