Roto Riteup: July 18, 2012

After yesterday’s comment section, I don’t think I’ll be recommending any more TV shows to our dear readers.

• In the wake of the Joey Votto injury, Todd Frazier is literally being asked to step up to the plate. Yesterday was his second straight start at first base and he appears to have all but locked that position down for the coming three to four weeks. I’ve written about Frazier in the not-too-distant past so I won’t go over him too much. Just be aware that he is free to pick up in 93% of Yahoo! and ESPN leagues. That won’t last long, so act quickly.

Jason Kubel was held out of his second straight game as he suffers from a hamstring injury and Gerardo Parra seems to be the primary beneficiary. Parra has started five straight games in left field now and seems to be the prime option to backup Kubel. Parra doesn’t offer a ton of upside, but he should give you a consistent .275+ average and the occasional steal and homer. He’s available in essentially 90% of both ESPN and Yahoo! formats. If Kubel hits the DL then you can expect Parra to fly off the shelves.

Jose Bautista is another marquee hitter to land on the DL recently. The move certainly changes things in Toronto, especially the batting order. Last night Rajai Davis hit lead off and of course stole a base. Blue Jays skipper John Farrell hinted that Davis could potentially stay in the lead off spot. If Davis stays there, that could open up even more chances for him to run. Davis projects to steal 16 more bases the rest of the way and is only owned in 12% of Yahoo! and 14% of ESPN leagues. Keep an eye on his place in the batting lineup. Even if he doesn’t continue to hit at the top of the order, his projected steals make him worth owning.

• Davis’ main competition at the lead off position is prospect Anthony Gose. After being called up Monday night from Triple-A, Gose wasted no time in adjusting to the big leagues. He was inserted as a pinch hitter and recorded his first hit on a bunt single in the ninth inning. The bunt was no accident, as Gose has stolen over 40 bases in three separate seasons in the minor leagues. He nabbed 69 bags last year and had 29 in Triple-A this season. He did get caught stealing 10 times this year, so that is something to watch out for. Overall that is a minor concern to fantasy owners, but it is something to take note of. Gose sports a strong walk rate and solid power. Get ready to pick this kid up in every league you can. He’s only owned in 5% of Yahoo! leagues and a whopping 0.0% of ESPN formats.

For those of you who play daily fantasy games like FanGraphs: The Game, or just like to stream players, here are a couple matchups you may be able to exploit.

A Pitcher for Today: Wandy Rodriguez at SD
Why yes, yes I will take that curveball at Petco.

A Pitcher for Tomorrow: Max Scherzer vs LAA
This is a bit of an optimistic pick, but I have faith in Scherzer.

A Hitter for Today: Neil Walker at COL (Jeremy Guthrie)
Walker is in the midst of a 17 game hitting streak and he hits right-handed pitching very well.

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15 Responses to “Roto Riteup: July 18, 2012”

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  1. Ned says:

    “He did get caught stealing 10 times this year, so that is something to watch out for.”

    Dude, 29/39 for SB attempts is 74%….which is pretty typical for base stealers… (Not to mention he was over 80% last year, which could mean this year’s rate is just noise from a small sample.)

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    • David Wiers says:

      Yeah, I noted it, and moved right along. My very next sentence was “Overall that is a minor concern to fantasy owners, but it is something to take note of.” Would you rather I address 10 CS in Triple-A this year or just gloss over that?

      I agree that it’s probably nothing too significant, and tried to say as much.

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      • pounded clown says:

        Gose’s SB and CS in the Minors
        08/3/1/A (Only 11 games, 41 PA)

        Don’t know if that blip in 2010 portends much. I just remember that year and wanted to see how he progressed from there. Thought I’d pass it on.

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  2. hitbullwinsteak says:

    Volatile Max Scherzer vs. Mike Trout, Albert Pujols, Mark Trumbo & Co., who just hung 18 hits and 13 runs on the Tigers? No thanks.

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    • David Wiers says:

      Scherzer’s BB’s are in line with his career norm and his peripherals indicate that his K rate should maintain.

      Sure, it’s a risk against that lineup, but I think Scherzer will be fine.

      /cue Scherzer going 3.2 IP with 6 ER now…

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  3. Big Jgke says:

    ESPN Leagues, where 99% of owners and leagues are inactive by June.

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    • David Wiers says:

      Ha, that seems to the case all too often.

      I’m in one public league there that has had all of two trades. Both of which I instigated.

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  4. Bobby Mueller says:

    I have Ben Revere but Rajai Davis is available. I don’t use Revere everyday, just when I feel like he has a good chance of getting on base and stealing some bags. Would you drop Revere for Rajai?

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    • David Wiers says:

      I would, but I’ve always been high on Rajai and probably a little ow on Revere. The Blue Jays have scored the 3rd most runs in baseball, the Twins are middle of the pack. If both players hit in similar positions in the lineup, I’m going to go with Davis.

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  5. Chris G says:

    I beg to differ in the case of Revere v. Davis. Revere is more of a singles hitter, in comparison, but he strikes out much much less than Davis does. Davis is also much streakier, which can bode well when he’s hot, but will be more of a liability day-to-day.

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  6. pounded clown says:

    Any advice on Brandon Belt? I really struggle with judging young talent and Bochy’s somewhat erratic plug and play roster tweaking just complicates things. Thanks.

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    • David Wiers says:

      I wish I could give some advice on Belt. To Bochy, that is.

      Sometimes you just have to shake your head.

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      • Ashman says:

        In a keeper league is there any reason to think he’s not the full time 1B next year though?

        Also, rest of season Maybin or Davis? A crucial waiver pickup for tomorrow morning depends on it

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      • David Wiers says:

        I hope to the BABIP gods that there isn’t any reason to dump him in a keeper league.

        As for your second question, I’ll take Maybin. Tougher home park, but I like his talent level and upside more.

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