Roto Riteup: July 6, 2013

Happy birthday to Manny Machado! One can assume that he will have a double layer cake with double frosting. He likes his doubles.

On today’s agenda:
1. Derek Jeter begins his rehab assignment
2. The return of Carl Crawford
3. Tyler Skaggs‘ excellent start

Derek Jeter begins his rehab assignment
Today marks the first day of Derek Jeter‘s minor league rehab process. He is schedule start at shortstop and play five innings at Triple-A. The New York Yankees have struggled on offense this year as they rank 25th in wOBA and 27th in wRC+ and getting a healthy Jeter back atop the lineup is sure to be a welcome sight for Yankees fans. Jeter can spend up to 20 days in the minor leagues rehabbing however it would be wise to grab him now. He is currently available in 75% of ESPN leagues, 45% of Yahoo! leagues, and 41% of CBS formats.

The return of Carl Crawford
The Los Angeles Dodgers activated Carl Crawford from the 15-day disabled list yesterday, though he wasn’t slated to start. With uber-prospect Yasiel Puig lighting the world on fire, Matt Kemp having eight hits — including two home runs — in his past seven games, and Andre Ethier in the lineup to face the opposing right-handed starter, Crawford found himself the odd man out. Kemp had to leave the game early as he is suffering from irritation in his left shoulder and Crawford was inserted in his place. The club announced that it was pain in Kemp’s AC joint and not specifically where he had surgery, however any shoulder flare ups should scare the pants off of any Kemp owner. If Kemp has to miss time again then an outfield starting spot will be open for Crawford.

Until injury or ineffectiveness opens up an outfield position for him, Crawford seems ready to adjust as a part time player. He isn’t particularly thrilled with the prospect o being a platoon type player, but he admits that “I have to do what I’ve got to do.” Given that both Crawford and Ethier are left-handed hitters, how a platoon situation shakes out will be difficult to say. Crawford has a career .306 wOBA against left-handed pitchers and Ethier has an even worse .285 wOBA mark. For now it seems as though Kemp’s shoulder and Puig’s sore leg there appears to be room in the lineup for everyone, at least in the short term.

Prior to his injury Crawford was hitting .301/.358/.470 against Ethier’s .261/.339/.380 line. If push comes to shove in the outfield, expect Crawford, Kemp, and Puig to be receive the majority of the playing time. Ethier isn’t a bad player at all, but for the moment he seems to be the fourth best option.

Tyler Skaggs‘ excellent start
In just his forth start of the year, Tyler Skaggs tossed eight innings of shut out ball at home against the Colorado Rockies. Of his 103 pitches on the night, 65 were strikes and 16 of those were of the swinging variety. Skaggs posted five strikeouts on the day and allowed just three hits and one walk. Yesterday’s strong outing lowered his numbers to a 3.65 ERA and a 3.62 xFIP. He is receiving some luck in the batted ball department as his .239 BABIP won’t last forever, though that isn’t a huge concern. With a a strikeout to walk ratio above 3:1 and a swinging strike rate approaching double digits — in addition to his excellent minor league strikeout numbers — Skaggs should be able to pitch around a few base runners and strikeout the man at the plate.

With Trevor Cahill and Brandon McCarthy on the 15-day DL and Daniel Hudson the the 60-day DL, Skaggs is an incredibly valuable asset to the club and fantasy managers alike. Skaggs’ time in the Diamondbacks’ rotation could be limited due to Cahill and McCarthy’s pending returns or Skaggs could be involved in a trade. If he sticks in the rotation, Skaggs would line up to start on Wednesday against the Dodgers. Skaggs is owned in less than 10% of both ESPN and Yahoo! leagues and 28% of CBS leagues.




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39 Responses to “Roto Riteup: July 6, 2013”

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  1. Andrew says:

    Would you recommend dropping Kyle Kendrick for Skaggs. Kendrick is very hit and miss and is hard to predict but Skaggs has only just started to show signs of promise.

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  2. dirck says:

    Somebody in the Diamondbacks organization knows and can develop good pitching. Last year Miley came out of nowhere to have an excellent year and now it is Corbin with Scaggs and Bradley knocking on the door .When Cahill and McCarthy come back ,they could even be in a position to trade off pitching.

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  3. pudieron89 says:

    Colorado, while they have a great offense, has done most of their damage vs. righties. 91 wRC+ as a team against lefties. I streamed Skaggs last night despite his ugly overall MLB numbers in a SSS, but I’d be cautious in his next start against the Dodgers. While they’ve posted a 101 wRC+ against lefties YTD, they’ve been especially hot as of late — especially their right-handed hitters: Puig, Hanley, Kemp (assuming he didn’t reinjure his shoulder), Uribe, et al.

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    • pudieron89 says:

      Having said that I’m certainly keeping him on my roster in the short term to see how he does against LA. His minor-league dominance is encouraging and here’s to hoping he does much better in the majors this time around. Just don’t expect too much based on last night’s performance.

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    • David Wiers says:

      Well league average against LHP is 94 wRC+, but I hear what you’re saying.

      And yeah, he is probably a stream/spot starter in 12-team mixed but anything deeper than that and I’d feel comfortable rostering him and starting him in any favorable matchup or at home.

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      • pudieron89 says:

        League average production is wRC+ = 100. Handedness only matters for how you expect their lineup to produce in terms of the counting and rate stats Skaggs would provide. In that vein, I went into the matchup expecting him to hold Colorado to ~10% worse than league average offensive production, not 3% lower.

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      • David Wiers says:

        Well, league average non-pitchers wRC+ is 100. If we’re going to be pedants, lets go the full nine yards.

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      • pudieron89 says:

        Why do you get so childish whenever someone disagrees you? It’s incredibly unbecoming of a Fangraphs author.

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    • David Wiers says:

      Haha! Childish? You’re the same guy who called me pissy and defensive, right?

      Regardless of any previous slights, this all in good fun. If I couldn’t handle internet comments A. I wouldn’t be writing on the internet and B. I wouldn’t be addressing every single one.

      I hope you stick around and keep reading.

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  4. Ashman says:

    For next week – Skaggs vs LAD, Gee @ SF or Archer vs MIN?

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  5. Nodlew says:

    I read less than a month ago here that its looking more and more like Jeter wont be a fantasy contributor in 2013. What a difference a few weeks makes. Yeah i cut bait on him.

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  6. Paul says:

    I’ve always had a difficult time managing the back end of my rotation. Also, our league has a transaction limit of 57 (I have 20 left), so streaming isn’t an option. Who do you like the best ROS in 10 team H2H league? W, ERA, WHIP, Ks and SVs are the cats.

    Skaggs
    Lincecum
    Griffin
    Malone
    Miley
    Nolasco
    Feldman
    Porcello

    As soon as Peavy and Tulo come off the DL I’m targeting Cobb and Beachy if they’re still available.

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    • David Wiers says:

      Milone, Skaggs, Miley, Feldman, Nolasco (could move up depending on where he is traded to).

      The other I wouldn’t touch in a 10-team.

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      • Paul says:

        Isn’t Milone a matchup guy (at home)? His flyball% is elevated and groundball% down.

        I’d imagine I’d have to watch out for him on the road.

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      • David Wiers says:

        I have quite a bit of faith in him (full disclosure, I am an A’s fan after all) but he gets a serviceable, albeit not great, amount of strikeouts and he has a solid offense/defense behind him.

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      • Paul says:

        Now that Nolasco is a Dodger, would you still want Milone over him? Thanks for you help.

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      • David Wiers says:

        TOday’s RR is late (scheduled for 1:15 eastern) and I briefly mention Nolasco.

        I think Nolasco gets a bump, but I still like Milone more. You can probably put Nolasco in front of Feldman though.

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  7. mikeincmn says:

    If the rumblings of Nolasco going to the Dodgers become true, does he become a must own in a 12 team league?

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  8. Lee says:

    Might be a little late to get answered but looking to grab a 1b and Ike Davis and Adam LaRoche are available. In a 12 team roto league. Would you rather have Davis or LaRoche rest of season?

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  9. Nick says:

    Cingrani vs. Skaggs?

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  10. Ruki Motomiya says:

    What kind of production do you see from Jeter when he returns?

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    • mikeincmn says:

      Depends where you are at in the standings, Laroche is more dependable in terms of what he will give you, but we all saw what Davis can give you if he gets hot in the second half. I think if I were towards the top of the standings I would take LaRoche, but if I needed to make up ground I would gamble on Davis.

      I have been looking at both as well, but Hosmer is hitting so well I am standing pat for right now.

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      • mikeincmn says:

        Crap that was meant to be for a poster up above. My bad.

        I think Jeter is worth owning in deeper leagues where shortstop or MI is thin, but in a standard 10 or 12 team league I would rather own a guy like Nick Franklin who is still available in too many leagues.

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    • David Wiers says:

      I’d pencil him in for .280/.350/.390 with 5-8 homers and a decent amount of runs scored. How well his running game goes is a big question, as he might steal 5, maybe even 10 bases or he might not want to test it too much and only grab one.

      In mixed league 12-team with MI he deserves to be owned. 10-team with MI, maybe, but he’d be right around the cutoff.

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  11. dirck says:

    In a 4 team re-draft league which two would you drop among Kershaw,Verlander,Strasburg,Madbum,Scherzer,Wainwright,Latos,Locke,Shark,and Buchholz ?

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