Roto Riteup: May 19. 2013

The Arrested Development countdown is down to a week! If they bring back Maggie or especially Rita for Michael, tears of joy — not to mention laughter — will be shed. If they do bring back Rita then #hotpotato had better become a trending topic.

On today’s agenda:
1. Another setback for Cory Luebke
2. More trouble in the Atlanta Braves bullpen
3. Brandon McCarthy‘s gem
4. Make a play for Chris Young
5. Matt Garza to return Tuesday

Another setback for Cory Luebke
For the second time this year, Cory Luebke has been forced to stop his throwing sessions. There is no new timetable for his return, however earlier in the season both he and the San Diego Padres had hopes of him returning around the All-Star break. If you were clinging to him as a late round pick, hoping to see half a season out of him, then this may be the final straw. Luebke should be dropped in all but keeper/dynasty formats in standard sized mixed 12-team leagues. When healthy, Luebke makes for a solid fantasy starter, however we may not see much of him this season. His career line as a starter is a 3.30 ERA/3.24 FIP/3.26 xFIP and averaged over a strikeout per inning. Hopefully he’ll make a comeback and he’ll be a sleeper pick for next season.

More trouble in the Atlanta Braves bullpen
After losing Jonny Venters to Tommy John‘s surgery earlier in the week and Jordan Walden to the 15-day disabled list with shoulder inflammation, now Eric O’Flaherty is slated to see Dr. James Andrews. O’Flaherty was diagnosed with a torn UCL, something that generally lends itself to requiring TJS. Losing two of the top three bullpen arms  in all of baseball over the past few seasons is sure to make a significant dent in the Braves bullpen as well as fantasy teams all over. Fellow holds league players should look elsewhere for options, as the Braves pen has gone from a fantasy bargain to an injury cratered mess.

Brandon McCarthy‘s gem
He may have appeared to start the season in rather rough fashion, but lately Brandon McCarthy has come on strong. Yesterday he threw a complete game shutout, although he was facing the Miami Marlins, and allowed five base runners on the night. McCarthy only struck out five for the day, however given that he faced four batters above the minimum, that would be picking nits. His last two starts have combined for 17 innings, zero runs, 10 strikeouts, and 12 base runners allowed. Grab him now where you can as McCarthy is available in over 60% of ESPN, CBS, and Yahoo! leagues.

Make a play for Chris Young
The Oakland Athletics activated Chris Young from the 15-day DL yesterday in a win over the Kansas City Royals. Though he was held hitless in his first outing back, he is in no danger of losing playing time. Josh Reddick is still on the disabled list and just began taking dry swings and still hopes that surgery won’t be needed to address his sprained wrist. Young is hitting a not-so-pleasant .169/.279/.382 thus far, but he does have four home runs and five steals. His last 20-20 season was just two seasons ago and the 29-year-old outfielder has set a solid pace to do it again this year. With a double digit walk rate and an essentially average 19.2% strike out rate, Young doesn’t seem to be pressing at the plate. His .167 BABIP is the root cause of his tripe slash woe, and we all know what a fickle mistress BABIP can be. Young is widely available in all three major fantasy sites.

Matt Garza to return Tuesday
The Chicago Cubs will activate Matt Garza on Tuesday to face the Pittsburgh Pirates. The announcement comes on the heels of his six inning, no runs allowed Triple-A start last Thursday. Weekly league players should make a move now, as Garza deserves to be owned in just about all leagues and scoring settings. He can be picked up in 50% of Yahoo! leagues, 70% of ESPN formats, and 30% of CBS leagues.

Print This Post

You can catch David spouting off about baseball, soccer, esports and other things by following him on twitter, @davidwiers.

36 Responses to “Roto Riteup: May 19. 2013”

You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed.
  1. Neil_L says:

    I didn’t realize Garza was so close to returning. Thanks for the heads-up.

    Vote -1 Vote +1

  2. jon says:

    Hey David –

    I’m starting Cashner today (wee!), but should I also start Dickey @NYY? I’m a in starts limit league so every start is precious. I had him benched and am now trying to decide whether he has shown enough over the last two starts for me to activate him. We don’t count Wins, but we do count QS, K/9 and IP so those would be the stats I’m after. The 10 Ks last time out caught my eye.

    What do you think?

    Vote -1 Vote +1

    • David Wiers says:

      You *know* I love Cashner, but I think I’d give Dickey the day off. Pitching in NYY is a tough matchup and with a start limit, you have to be especially judicious about things.

      Vote -1 Vote +1

  3. Tim says:

    I always see over-reaction when an SP shuts down teams like NYM, ChC, or, in this case — MIA. That McCarthy shut down the Marlins is no great feat. I love the guy, but he crushed my ratios in the first few starts, and he will again for any that own him.

    I remember all the Cingrani love after he shut down the Marlins and Cubs. Later, we learned that the kid still needs a secondary pitch.

    McCarthy is a pitch to contact SP in a home run hitters park. Roster him at your own risk.

    Vote -1 Vote +1

  4. Phillip Pantuso says:

    Drop Lohse or Kendrick for McCarthy?

    Vote -1 Vote +1

  5. 1990Jays says:

    My Craig and Stanton for his Reyes and Pujols in a standard 5 X 5 yahoo roto? Stanton and Reyes seem likely to return at around the same point in the season and they’re about equal value when they do, so i’m inclined to pull the trigger.

    Vote -1 Vote +1

  6. Jay says:

    Who replaces Garcia? Carpenter, Gast, wacha, Martinez? Also, Alex Torres? Is he worth an add? Final question: would you drop Aybar for Eaton or Young?

    Vote -1 Vote +1

    • David Wiers says:

      Probably Wacha, but I wouldn’t bet the house on that.

      I like Eaton more than I like Young, but Young is playing now. Grab Young then ditch him for Eaton.

      Vote -1 Vote +1

  7. Rob says:

    Do you trust Ubaldo right now? Not neccesarily for his Wed. start vs Detroit, but would you pick him up?

    Vote -1 Vote +1

  8. fei says:

    14 teal roto keeper is reddick droppable in my league?

    Vote -1 Vote +1

    • FeslenR says:

      Not if you believe that he will regain his power. It depends on the rest of your offense and what’s available in the waiver wire. I dumped Reddick in a 12 team league.

      Vote -1 Vote +1

    • David Wiers says:

      No, 14 is just too deep to drop him.

      Vote -1 Vote +1

    • Record Keeper says:

      Josh Reddick Starts to the Season

      2012: 26-94, 7 2B, 4 HR, 2 BB, 14 K
      2013: 14-99, 6 2B, HR, 14 BB, 23 K

      Vote -1 Vote +1

  9. Tyler says:

    Prefer Garza over Beckett going forward? I’ve read a lot about Beckett and his probably regression to the mean, but maybe Garza is better than that for the rest of the season?

    Vote -1 Vote +1

  10. fei says:

    Beckett is trash someone answer my question

    Vote -1 Vote +1

  11. Son of Jedeska and Chesmond says:

    Tune in to the game on ESPN tonight and you might get a glimpse of my 80 grade smile. If I remain up the rest of the season, where do I slot in the updated 2B positional rankings?

    Vote -1 Vote +1

  12. shapular says:

    Is David Phelps legit?

    Vote -1 Vote +1

  13. Jaker says:

    Anyone know what’s up with McCarthy’s velocity and pitch selection? It seems in 2013, McCarthy has completely changed his fastball pitch selection and velocity according to PITCHFX…

    Vote -1 Vote +1

  14. Chippchipp says:

    Hey David,
    After another bad performance by Cishek today, for this week’s matchup should I bench him for David Hernandez? I could use Cishek’s saves, but he barely gets any save opps and when he does he blows them.


    Vote -1 Vote +1

  15. yeah says:

    Eh, Chris Young’s BABIPs have never been high, especially for a player with some amount of speed. Obviously, it won’t stay as low as it is now, but there’s factors other than luck explaining his low BABIPs and I wouldn’t expect it to recover to an amount even close to allowing him to post a respectable batting average.

    Vote -1 Vote +1

  16. Name says:

    I just recently completed a trade in a redraft six team H2H points league. The scoring is kind of weird, with rbis having a decent weight and bonuses awarded to various accomplishments like complete game, hit for cycle etc… Hitters get more points overall per player, but only nine start a day. For pitchers, 3 SP 2 RP and 3 utility start each day. There’s a max player acquisition each week and no innings limit.
    My team, quickly:

    Streamed starter

    Now, the trade. I trade Napoli, Grilli, and Moore for Carlos Santana and Hill, who I’ve stashed on the DL. I’m worried about Napoli’s strikeouts and think Santana is a sizable improvement. I think Moore’s regression is due and is not much better than The Waiver Wire candidates out there like Shelby Miller. Grilli, I think will continue dominance, but the difference between an elite closer and a second tier waiver wire closer in our league shouldn’t be too much, Casey Janssen, Jim Henderson, Perkins, and so on.

    Thanks in advance to anybody who actually reads this whole mess, and thoughts on the trade or league or baseball in general are appreciated.

    Vote -1 Vote +1

    • David Wiers says:

      I like Matt Moore over Miller. I like Santana over Napoli, but you had to give up a good strikeout reliever in Grilli do to it.

      It’s an okay trade, but I see it as a lateral move more than a distinct upgrade.

      Vote -1 Vote +1

  17. Ashman says:

    Rickie Weeks or Gyorko ROS? 5×5 mixed, no MI or CI, currently have Matt Carpenter starting every day at 2B

    Vote -1 Vote +1

  18. Angelo says:

    I’m in a deep OBP rotisserie league. We start 4 middle infielders.

    My middle infielders are:

    Daniel Murphy
    Martin Prado
    Dustin Pedroia
    Jurickson Profar
    Yunel Escobar
    Danny Espinosa
    Jedd Gyorko

    I was considering sending an offer of Espinosa for Freese, since my 3B is pretty weak right now and both are struggling. Just wondering what your thoughts on Espinosa and Freese are?

    Vote -1 Vote +1