Roto Riteup — Presented By DraftKings: June 20, 2014

Yesterday, June 19, was the 13th anniversary of Mandy Moore’s self titled album. While this album was released my freshman year of high school, Mandy Moore was one of my earliest celebrity crushes, going back to her debut. I am not embarrassed (you should all know by now I have no shame) to say her track Crush resonated with 14-year-old and (very) awkward me.

On today’s agenda:
1. Zack Wheeler‘s dominant start
2. A setback for Jedd Gyorko
3. Thoughts on Danny Duffy
4. Mookie Betts watch
5. The daily five

Want to win $10,000 playing Opening Day fantasy baseball?  All first time depositors get a free entry into this contest by clicking the link!

Zack Wheeler’s dominant start
Yesterday Wheeler fired a three-hit shutout against the Miami Marlins. Wheeler allowed a lone walk while sitting down eight Marlins on strikes. It took him 111 pitches to get through the game and he gathered 12 swinging strikes against a Miami team that holds the worst strikeout rate against righties in the league. Despite their 24% K%, the Marlins are middle-of-the-pack with a 98 wRC+ against right-handed pitchers. The outstanding start lowered Wheeler’s pitching slash to 3.93 ERA/3.15 xFIP/3.35 FIP for the season. With a 54% ground ball rate as well as a strikeout rate above 23% (9.00 K/9), Wheeler should be making waves in your fantasy league. He is available in just 23% of CBS formats but is free to grab over 40% of both ESPN and Yahoo! leagues.

A setback for Jedd Gyorko
Mere hours after getting good news on Wednesday and taking off his walking boot, Gyorko found himself once again in the protective gear yesterday. His plantar fasciitis hasn’t healed as well as the San Diego Padres had hoped and he’ll be re-evaluated again in a week. There still isn’t an official timeline for his return but factor in his slow start and this year is beginning to look like a lost year for Gyorko’s fantasy owners.

Thoughts on Danny Duffy
For the second start in a row Duffy pitched seven innings en route to a quality start. Two games does not a season make and though the recent results are good, what of the process? Of yesterday’s 101 pitches, Duffy managed just seven whiffs against the Detroit Tigers. The Tigers have hit southpaws quite well this season as their 110 wRC+ against them rates sixth best in baseball, so no shame in Duffy’s seven innings of two-run ball. He gave up three hits — one being a home run — and a walk while striking out five.

Duffy has been on the BABIP luck dragons good side as his .213 BABIP on the season has been powering his 2.80 ERA. His 3.90 xFIP and 4.58 FIP tell different tales than his shiny ERA and his 33.3% ground ball rate also concerns me. Duffy has also struggled with the walks as his 58% F-strike%, while better than this career average, is still below the 60.7% league average. Getting behind hitters is always a recipe for bad times and Duffy’s 3.39 BB/9 is bit high for my taste. He’s a decent stream option in standard mixed leagues but I wouldn’t give him a roster spot as he’s been more fortunate than good thus far. Too bad. I’d love to see a stadium packed with Duffman Photoshop’d posters.

Mookie Betts watch
I know Betts has just 15 games of Triple-A experience under his belt, but at least at the plate, I love what I’m seeing from him. He is hitting a cool .310/.403/.483 with two dingers and a triple. Toss in his four steals there — plus his 20 in Double-A this year — and his offensive game is very impressive. I’m less enthused with his defensive matters though. The Boston Red Sox have some guy named Dustin Pedroia manning second base for the foreseeable future and thus have begun teaching Betts all three outfield positions. The linked article is dated nearly a month ago and (other than second base) Betts has only seen time in center field in both Double and Triple-A. Of course his bat can play in the outfield but it could be very special in the middle infield. We probably won’t see Betts until rosters expand or if a series of injuries hits Boston, but I like Betts a lot for next season.

The daily five
Starting pitcher: James Shields — $8,900
Shields faces off against the Seattle Mariners and their inability to hit right-handed pitchers.

Starting pitcher: Corey Kluber — $8,800
Yes, Kluber has a tough match-up today in the Detroit Tigers but I’m trusting the right-hander to continue his strong season.

Infielder: Adrian Gonzalez — $4,400
The Los Angeles Dodgers have crushed righties this year with a team 115 wRC+. Gonzalez and the Dodgers should fare well against Ian Kennedy today.

Outfielder: Charlie Blackmon — $4,400
Both Blackmon and the Colorado Rockies are at home and up against the homer prone Marco Estrada.

Other hitter: Troy Tulowitzki — $5,600
Tulo doesn’t come cheap but like Blackmon, I expect him to have a big day today.

Remaining budget: $17,900

This post, covering one of the leading sites for daily fantasy, is sponsored and made possible by the generous support of DraftKings. FanGraphs maintains complete editorial control of the postings, and brings you these posts in a continued desire to provide the best analytical information on the latest in baseball.




Print This Post

You can catch David spouting off about baseball, soccer, esports and other things by following him on twitter.


14 Responses to “Roto Riteup — Presented By DraftKings: June 20, 2014”

You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed.
  1. Mike says:

    Betts has SS eligibility in Yahoo; I wish he’d be able to keep that for next year. Or at the very least get a call-up in the near future rather than September.

    Vote -1 Vote +1

    • David Wiers says:

      Unfortunately he hasn’t played there at all this year at any level, so I can only assume he’d get 2B/OF next year. Unless Stephen Drew gets seriously hurt, I don’t see Betts getting time at SS this year.

      Vote -1 Vote +1

      • mymaus says:

        Great column as usual. Eno seems to think Betts will be up and in the OF sooner than September. Assume he comes up earlier – here’s a couple of questions I’m sure everyone is dieing to hear your speculation on:

        1) Will he bat near the top of the order?

        2)Let’s say he plays OF for the next month. Do you have any idea if ESPN will list him as at EITHER 2B or SS?

        Vote -1 Vote +1

      • David Wiers says:

        Sorry for the late reply!

        Betts certainly *could* be up earlier but I’d call it 50/50 at best. The Red Sox aren’t totally out of it yet but their outfield has a combined 0.8 WAR, 24th in baseball. The putrid play from their outfield could be reason to give Betts the call, but I’m not sure. In deeper leagues I’d be fine with you grabbing him.

        Vote -1 Vote +1

      • David Wiers says:

        And ESPN has him as a shortstop now, so I guess that is what he’ll be there?

        Vote -1 Vote +1

  2. Jeff G says:

    Duffman–oh yeah!

    Vote -1 Vote +1

  3. Emcee Peepants says:

    Would it be a fair question to ask why exactly you know the release date of Mandy Moore’s 3rd album?

    Vote -1 Vote +1

  4. Shawnuel says:

    “Shields faces off against the Seattle Mariners and their inability to hit pitchers.”

    There…fixed that for ya.

    Vote -1 Vote +1

  5. Mike says:

    Would you drop Tyson Ross for Wheeler?

    Vote -1 Vote +1

  6. Mike Wimmer says:

    Who do you think holds more value going forward, Wheeler, Gausman or Arrieta? I’m leaning towards Arrieta or am I over valuing him?

    Vote -1 Vote +1

    • David Wiers says:

      Wheeler, Gausman, Arrieta.

      I’m not sold on Arrieta’s new strikeout rate just yet. I like his increased cutter usage and his bump in SwStr%, but I still like the other two pitchers more.

      Vote -1 Vote +1

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

You may use these HTML tags and attributes: <a href="" title=""> <abbr title=""> <acronym title=""> <b> <blockquote cite=""> <cite> <code> <del datetime=""> <em> <i> <q cite=""> <strike> <strong>