Roto Riteup — Presented By DraftKings: May 9, 2014

Today’s Roto Riteup is being written while I cool down in the air conditioning. After a ridiculously long and cold winter my blood has thickened to the point where this mild 60ish degree weather feels like I’m baking. But I’m not complaining; I’d much prefer the warm weather over the cold.

On today’s agenda:
1. What to make of Josh Beckett
2. Second base in Atlanta
3. Welcome back, Adam Lind
4. The Daily Five

Want to win $10,000 playing Opening Day fantasy baseball?  All first time depositors get a free entry into this contest by clicking the link!

What to make of Josh Beckett
In the wake of last night’s 6.2 innings of one-run ball, Beckett lowered his ERA to a spectacular 2.80. His 4.20 FIP/3.70 xFIP paint a different picture but his 34 strikeouts in 35 innings is great to see. In yesterday’s outing he recorded 12 swinging strikes out of 107 total pitches, however he was held to four strikeouts. For the season he sports a cool .225 BABIP and a 84.4% LOB%, two numbers that are certainly going to regress. In standard 12-team mixed leagues I would grab him and see if I could sell high. He is owned in just 26% of Yahoo! leagues, 30% of ESPN formats and 54% of CBS leagues. Try to leverage his strikeout rate and the fact that his velocity is just fine and hope the other managers in your league don’t look too deep at Beckett’s peripherals. It isn’t that I think he’s useless, in 14-team leagues I would roster him, but I think the luck dragons are going to catch up Beckett sooner rather than later.

Second base in Atlanta
With Dan Uggla starting just five of the past nine games at the keystone for the Atlanta Braves, it is safe to say there is a second base problem. Manager Fredi Gonzalez remained mum as to who will get the most playing time going forward, be it Uggla, Ramiro Pena or Tyler Pastornicky. Neither Pena or Pastornicky offer the same power as Uggla, however both should provide similar value with the bat thanks to a lower strikeout rate and both are superior in the field. Prospect Tommy La Stella is currently hitting .306/.368/.333 and could have the inside track over both Pena and Pastornicky. La Stella doesn’t sport much power but his average and on-base rates should make him immediately playable. There are members of the team who would prefer to see Pastornicky get a fair shot as a full time starter in the big league, but while he does offer defensive flexibility, his bat is limited. For my money, I’d lean towards grabbing La Stella and hoping the Braves call him up.

Welcome back, Adam Lind
Yesterday the Toronto Blue Jays activated Adam Lind from the 15-day disabled list and he rewarded their judgement with a two run homer and chipped in another RBI via groundout. Lind is currently sitting on both nine walks and nine strikeouts to go with his .316/.447/.553 line. The batting average is heavily influenced by his .370 BABIP but Lind’s power shouldn’t be doubted. Last year he powered 23 dingers in 521 PA’s with 20 of those home runs coming off of right-handed pitchers. Lind’s platoon issues are well known at this point but as long as the Jays continue to primarily hit him against righties he can contribute to your fantasy team. For his career he is a .287/.345/.508 hitter against opposite handed pitchers he crushed them to the tune of .309/.385/.539 in 421 PA’s. Given that most starting pitchers are right-handed, Lind should see plenty of playing time. He is owned in just 28% of both CBS and Yahoo! formats and 44% of ESPN leagues.

The Daily Five
Starting Pitcher: Justin Verlander — $10,800
The Minnesota Twins own the 9th worst strikeout rate against right-handed pitchers, though they have hit for a 104 wRC+ against them. Regardless, I’m a fan of JV having a big day today.

Starting Pitcher: Francisco Liriano — $8,000
Liriano will be pitching against the St. Louis Cardinals, a team that has hit a collective .255/.292/.338 against southpaws.

Infielder: Brandon Moss — $3,800
The Oakland A’s and Moss will be hitting against Doug Fister and his 2014 MLB debut. In spite of the fact his great change-up helps neutralize a platoon split, I like Moss here to go deep against a pitcher that is yet to face major league hitters this year.

Outfielder: Austin Jackson — $4,200
Jackson fares much better against left-handed pitchers, e.g. Phil Hughes, than against same-handed pitchers. I’ll stick with Jackson here and hope he get on base and steals.

Other Hitter: Matt Joyce — $3,800
I’m a sucker for a good platoon hitter. The Tampa Bay Rays face my boy Corey Kluber, and he may be in trouble as the Rays and their 110 wRC+ against right-handers ranks sixth in baseball.

Remaining budget: $19,400

This post, covering one of the leading sites for daily fantasy, is sponsored and made possible by the generous support of DraftKings. FanGraphs maintains complete editorial control of the postings, and brings you these posts in a continued desire to provide the best analytical information on the latest in baseball.




Print This Post

You can catch David spouting off about baseball, eSports and other nerdy things by following him on twitter.


10 Responses to “Roto Riteup — Presented By DraftKings: May 9, 2014”

You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed.
  1. Chippchipp says:

    Actually Hughes is a righty

    Vote -1 Vote +1

    • Emcee Peepants says:

      And Jackson for his career is 341/112 wOBA/wRC+ vs. RHP and 321/98 vs. LHP. It’s reversed this year though, to the tune of 342/114 vs. RHP and 398/152 vs. LHP.

      Vote -1 Vote +1

  2. FeslenR says:

    Ooof,

    thanks for updating injury on Lind, David. I just picked up Juan Francisco, I wonder what’s going to happen to his playing time?

    Vote -1 Vote +1

    • Satoshi Nakamoto says:

      Francisco is hitting too well to be benched. Can’t they just use both of them?

      I am starting Melky, Rasmus, Juan Francisco and Lind for the next week or so. Their schedule looks pretty easy for a while here. Let’s see how much ballpark factor and weak pitching really result in offensive bonanzas.

      Vote -1 Vote +1

  3. pudieron89 says:

    Beckett’s 84.4 %LOB is sure to go up? He’ll get better at stranding baserunners?

    Vote -1 Vote +1

  4. Andrew says:

    Jackson isn’t really a stolen bases guy anymore. He has 20 total over his last two full seasons, to go along with 13 CSs.

    Vote -1 Vote +1

  5. David says:

    Have Joyce, but to play him I’d have to sit either Melky (LF v Garret Richards), Stanton (RF, @ Tyson Ross), or Ortiz (DH v Darvish). Thoughts?

    Vote -1 Vote +1

  6. Mr Hogg says:

    I’ve had Beckett all year so I’m biased, but, clearly he’s been working through what it is to be healthy (and in shape!) so while he can be expected to regress toward his FIP/xFIP I think it’s fair to also expect him to improve as he continues to settle in … and remember the great experiment of Beckett back in the NL in a pitcher’s park (and on a potential 100-win team) is only now being tried … I would happily snap him up from someone trying to sell high …

    Vote -1 Vote +1

  7. stretchfest says:

    Hey Dave! Haven’t posted in a while, hope all is well.

    Do you see Matt Joyce or Adam Lind as the more valuable bench plug-n-play guy?

    Vote -1 Vote +1

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

You may use these HTML tags and attributes: <a href="" title=""> <abbr title=""> <acronym title=""> <b> <blockquote cite=""> <cite> <code> <del datetime=""> <em> <i> <q cite=""> <strike> <strong>