RotoGraphs June Consensus Ranks: First Base

Okay, maybe I was wrong about the catchers (You can follow along using the rankings links on the right hand navigation bar). The top group definitely wasn’t performing well. I just never shop there, so maybe it was a blind spot.

But I do shop among the top first basemen. No shares of Miguel Cabrera — no number one picks, and no willingness to spend that much — and just a couple shares of Paul Goldschmidt, Edwin Encarnacion, Jose Abreu and the like. Hey! Those guys are doing fine!

Not everyone is doing fine, of course. Chris Davis always struck out a ton, but it was injury that felled him. Eric Hosmer always hit too many balls on the ground, but it was this aging curve that probably should cause the most consternation. We were supposed to be worried about Matt Adams‘ strikeout rate and the fact that he was being shifted, and then he totally changed his approach and lost all the power but gained batting average.

A few nice surprises have probably covered you at the position, even if you happened to pick a loser. Victor Martinez has shown great power for a man his age with his history. Brandon Moss has upped his contact rate and is playing every day. Justin Morneau is healthy!

Again, this is for 5×5 roto, and though Jeff Zimmerman mostly uses the rest of season projections, it’s not just a computer ranking. We’ve left off the color coding in favor of a simple up or down arrow — those arrows are only next to big movers. The table is designed to be sortable in case you prefer one of the rankings.

RG Player Jeff Zach Mike Eno
1 Miguel Cabrera 1 1 1 1
2 Paul Goldschmidt 2 3 2 2
3 Edwin Encarnacion 3 2 4 3
4 Jose Abreu 4 4 6 4
5 Freddie Freeman 5 6 5 5
6 Chris Davis 6 7 3 6
7 Albert Pujols 7 9 8 8
8 Adrian Gonzalez 9 10 7 9
9 Anthony Rizzo 8 12 10 7
10 Joey Votto 10 8 11 10
11 Victor Martinez 11 5 19 11
12 Brandon Moss 14 11 9 14
13 Michael Cuddyer 13 14 14 12
14 Buster Posey 15 13 13 13
15 Eric Hosmer 12 19 12 15
16 Joe Mauer 18 16 18 19
17 Allen Craig 17 20 15 20
18 Justin Morneau 16 15 26 16
19 Adam Lind 19 21 27 18
20 Matt Adams 26 28 16 17
21 Michael Morse 24 17 23 27
22 Jonathan Lucroy 35 18 17 24
23 Adam LaRoche 20 22 33 22
24 Mark Trumbo 21 34 20 23
25 Mike Napoli 30 24 22 26
26 Mark Teixeira 29 31 21 25
27 Jon Singleton 27 23 28 32
28 Carlos Santana 22 30 31 29
29 Brandon Belt 40 27 29 21
30 Chris Carter 28 42 25 31
31 Mitch Moreland 34 26 24 42
32 Ryan Howard 23 36 40 28
33 Mark Reynolds 25 42 35 30
34 Yonder Alonso 31 42 34 33
35 Lucas Duda 36 32 39 34
36 James Loney 41 25 38 37
37 Adam Dunn 37 37 36 36
38 Ike Davis 42 29 42 35
39 Nick Swisher 33 42 32 41
40 Chris Johnson 38 42 30 40
41 Garrett Jones 32 35 42 42
42 Juan Francisco 42 42 37 38
43 Justin Smoak 39 42 45 39
44 C.J. Cron 42 33 48 42

Ranked by one analyst: Daniel Nava, Conor Gillaspie, Logan Morrison, and Darin Ruf.




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Graphs: Baseball, Roto, Beer, brats (OK, no graphs for that...yet), repeat. Follow him on Twitter @enosarris.


29 Responses to “RotoGraphs June Consensus Ranks: First Base”

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  1. Don Farner says:

    Where would Brandon Belt rank if he were healthy right now? Someone offered him to me for Jonathan Singleton in fantasy baseball.

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  2. Yoooolich says:

    Ortiz? He qualifies in my league thanks to his 6 starts at 1B last year. Where would he slot? 10-11?

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  3. steve says:

    I know you love Duda, but how is he better than Ike Davis?

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  4. TM says:

    What’s the reasoning for Hosmer being ranked #15? He doesn’t hit home runs and he doesn’t steal bases. Is this ranking assuming he’ll somehow turn ground balls into home runs? Add distance to his FB? He’s also 0 for 1 in stolen base attempts. I just dropped him and kept Morneau and now you jerks have me second guessing it…

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    • He did equally poorly in Apr/May last year and went on to hit above .300 in each of the next 4 months with 16 HR and 8 SB–not necessarily predictive, but I wouldn’t say “he doesn’t hit home runs and he doesn’t steal bases” is a fair assessment

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      • arthurpete says:

        he did the same thing the year before too and the year before that…

        Bring back Brett!

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  5. Bill says:

    I bet Singleton is top 15 by seasons end.

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  6. James Thome says:

    A lot of variables with Kendrys Morales but likely a player at 1b for the rest of the season. Thoughts?

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  7. James Thome says:

    Also Billy Butler is missing (or is just that bad?)

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  8. steve says:

    Butler’s a DH, bro.

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  9. e123 says:

    Where would Ryan Zimmerman be on this list? Sounds like he might pick up 1B eligibility at some point.

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  10. jim S. says:

    For Cron out loud. Last?

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  11. jross says:

    A little optimistic on Singleton, considering he has a history of not hitting leftys. I think Francisco has more value at this point.

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  12. joey baseball says:

    It would be interesting to add a consensus pre-season rank column to these charts.

    Think it would allow for some interesting discussions on what we believe or don’t believe has changed since the players were ranked just two months ago.

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  13. Ruki Motomiya says:

    Fortunately, I had E3 as my third first basemen coming into the year (Behind Miggy and Goldschmidt, obv), and while April was dissapointing stuck with him and got rewarded, so very glad I didn’t go with Fielder, though the time I took Chrush Davis over E3…hasn’t gone well. Also managed to get Jose Abreu a good deal, but I never expected him to be this good!

    First base hasn’t been a largely hard spot this year, but some definite dissapointments, made up for by a lot of overachievers. If I had one complaint with these rankings it would probably just be that Freddie Freeman is too high.

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  14. twac00 says:

    I managed to trade Fister and Davis for Goldschmidt.

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  15. Greg says:

    Does Votto turn it on when he returns? Or is this just a dud year for the guy?

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  16. Jon says:

    Eno, where would Todd Frazier be on your 1B rankings?

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