Here are this week’s recommendations:
Marco Estrada – 14.8% ESPN – @ATL (.318 team wOBA), @NYM (.298)
Estrada has pitched phenomenally since returning from an especially bad hamstring injury. Since coming back, the right-hander has made seven starts, going 2-0 with a 2.62 ERA, 8.5 K/9, and a .522 OPS against.
It’s not entirely clear if the right-hander will get the full group of Braves, as Atlanta has little else to play for but home field advantage (and to what extent that’ll matter will be determined over the weekend). The Mets are unlikely to provide much resistance, however.
Roy Halladay – 27.8% ESPN – @MIA (.279), @ATL (.318)
He’s hardly been vintage Halladay since returning, but he’s been considerably better. The 16/17 K/BB ratio is concerning, but the 4.28 ERA is markedly better and it sounds as though his velocity has risen each time out.
Expecting the Halladay of yore would foolhardy in this instance, but when faced with starting him or someone like Nathan Eovaldi, one may as well take the legend in my view. The Marlins matchup simply solidifies that stance.
Jose Quintana – 11.4% ESPN – v. TOR (.321), v. KCR (.306)
Consistency has been the key for Quintana all year, as 27 of his 31 starts have begun and ended with him holding an ERA in the 3.00s (two came under 3.00, for what it’s worth). In other words, his two biggest blow-ups were five runs in as many innings versus the Twins on Aug. 11, and five runs against the Mariners in four innings on April 5. In other words, no rhyme or reason, and against two weak offensive clubs.
Quintana gets a couple of nice matchups to wind down his season, and has a fairly good shot at cracking 200 innings with a couple good starts (185.2 innings, presently). If not for a rain-shortened outing on Sept. 2, it’d almost be a formality.