The Daily Grind: 4-1-14 – Presented by FanDuel

What are we talking about?

  1. Words about results and process
  2. DFS stackables
  3. Normal fantasy mentionables
  4. The daily chartables

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1. Results and Process

It was a mixed day for me. My DFS teams lost a whopping $1 while my traditional fantasy teams kind of stunk. The teams of the guy I consult netted $58 thanks to Justin Smoak (and we tried so hard to roster¬†anybody¬†else). So those were my results. Cody Asche was probably the guy to own yesterday and I did not pick him. I usually won’t pick “the guy.” What I will do is play the percentages such that over the course of the season, we should all do fairly well. Like our man Dayton Moore says, we must trust the process. Even when it fails us on day one.

2. DFS Stackables

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Ian Kennedy: I believe that Kennedy is an alright pitcher. The Dodgers lineup is obviously better than alright. And therein lies the rub – the Dodgers lineup costs too much to stack. Today does offer one obvious cheap pitcher if you want to make a go of it. Make a note, you want left-handed hitters at Petco.

Colorado Rockies @ Nathan Eovaldi: My crusade to see Eovaldi in the bullpen before he loses his heater continues. His offspeed stuff is middling, something I expect the Rockies to exploit.

New York Yankees @ Scott Feldman: Here’s the best combination of weather, park factors, and pitcher exploitability. The Yankees lineup has some old fashioned thumpers, making this the high value stack of the day.

3. For Traditional Fantasy (tomorrow)

Pitchers to start: So maybe tomorrow isn’t the best day to stream; we have a long season ahead of us. Felipe Paulino and Jesse Chavez have interesting match-ups, but I really want to see how they do before jumping off the deep end. Usually, I’d happily throw old favorites Zach McAllister and John Lackey out there for use, but I don’t like their match-ups. If you want to get tricksy, Henderson Alvarez would like your attention. If you don’t care about strikeouts, I’m a fan of Charlie Morton. He’s not a great fantasy asset, but he gets the job done in the real world.

Pitchers to exploit: The Tigers will try to smack around Jason Vargas. Elsewhere in the Midwest, the Brewers draw Aaron Harang. The Braves decided he was better than Freddy Garcia.

Kyle Kendrick is occasionally decent, but I’d bet heavily against him in Arlington, TX.

Hitters (power): The Mets have selected the contract of Bobby Bonilla after Ike Davis hurt himself yesterday. Again. Bonilla comes with the standard “best shape of his life” moniker, but I doubt he’ll spend any time in the outfield. He may start tomorrow against Gio Gonzalez.

4. GASP! The Chart

Behold

Atmospheric conditions won’t be great for the long ball throughout the league. What did you expect, it’s April first. Yesterday, I worried that the game in Oakland would be affected by rain. That all cleared out by game time. This evening, the weather service says there is a 100 percent chance for rain during the game. So be aware and beware.




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Brad is a former collegiate player who writes for FanGraphs, MLB Trade Rumors, The Hardball Times, RotoWorld, and The Fake Baseball. He's also the lead MLB editor for RotoBaller. Follow him on Twitter @BaseballATeam or email him here.


10 Responses to “The Daily Grind: 4-1-14 – Presented by FanDuel”

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  1. Jim Lahey says:

    Nice summary. Is there a way to Freeze pane that park factor chart so the titles always appear as you scroll? That would be useful after you get past the 1st page.

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    • Brad Johnson says:
      FanGraphs Supporting Member

      That “behold” is actually a link to the doc, which is easier to read. I’m happy that I figured out how to iframe it in (which was actually dummyproof), I don’t think I could get the headings to scroll.

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  2. Whydidilose says:

    What does the weather factor mean? And the colors?

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    • Brad Johnson says:
      FanGraphs Supporting Member

      The weather factor is a 0-10 grade on expected atmospheric conditions. 0 is not conducive to HR and 10 is very conducive.

      Colors are my grade of overall offensive quality of the venue given park factors and weather. Green is lots of offensive potential, red is very little offensive potential. I’m not including pitchers in those grades.

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  3. quinceleather says:

    thanks. insightful as usual. I am thinking a few Houston players look cheap. altuve batting cleanup for one…..and what about a cheap jeter? Adrian gonzalez looks cheapish too….but I think kennedy is worse than eovaldi, and think cain is gonna give up hits…….so many choices

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    • Brad Johnson says:
      FanGraphs Supporting Member

      Yea it’s surprisingly a sloppy day. It was a nightmare putting together today’s rosters, so many mediocre stacks. I ended up going cheap at SP and going with All Star hitters.

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  4. quinceleather says:

    LOL-Go Hutch! my hitters are all NYY, HOU and COL and 1 dodger……..

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  5. amoonguss99 says:

    I’m just getting into fanduel.

    Isn’t one meta strategy to not have the most obvious expensive players? I think Chris Sale was probably picked in 50% of leagues yesterday…

    Not sure that fangraphs is that secret now…

    Either way, my short research into today… Posey is 8/15 vs Miley… stacking SF hitters might not be a bad idea. Giving it a look today.

    Poppin DAT cherry

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    • amoonguss99 says:

      and by obvious expensive… I just meant… touted players

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    • Brad Johnson says:
      FanGraphs Supporting Member

      Yes and no. A lot of people think the same way, so sometimes it can be worthwhile to take the obvious play. You can also make up the difference at other places i.e. Cody Asche yesterday.

      At the end of the day, you just have to get the most/enough points. If Sale is the best value, everyone picks him, and he returns the value, then it’s still a good strategy.

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