- Roster Analysis
- Daily DFS
- Tomorrow’s Tilts
1. Roster Analysis
One way to win the FanDuel Squeeze is to hit eight home runs. Let’s take a look at Bedroombully’s roster, which put up an impressive 82.75 points. He used a lineup of:
Both Dominguez and Gordon hit two home runs, while Carter, Moreland, Rollins, and Morneau hit one apiece. This is a roster I would never construct – it’s pretty obvious this owner went with the tactic of using a top pitcher and value picks. His most expensive position player was actually the only drag on his roster. While I don’t care for this particular process, at least he’s following one.
Were I to execute a similar lineup, I would put more focus on top of the order hitters for away teams. As such, Morneau, Dominguez, Moreland, and Carter will almost never make one of my rosters. They can still win a day for you, but they’re not the percentage play.
2. Daily DFS
There are only five games today, and they’re all late. Let’s comment on all games.
The Indians have performed poorly against left-handed pitching like Drew Smyly. Nick Swisher, Ryan Raburn, Yan Gomes, and Mike Aviles have not done their part. The Tigers matchup versus Corey Kluber isn’t inspiring. Neither Kluber nor the Detroit lineup is a clean bet to perform well.
The Nationals assault is just a bit right-handed with Bryce Harper and Adam LaRoche on the disabled list. As such, Mike Leake isn’t a bad play. The worst part about his start is he’s opposed by Stephen Strasburg. The Reds lineup is also shorthanded with Joey Votto on the sidelines and Jay Bruce on the disabled list.
Wily Peralta has the job of retiring the Braves, which typically means he’ll record lots of strikeouts, allow several home runs, or both. The Brewers have one of the better matchups today against a less-than-sharp Mike Minor.
Scott Carroll is the king of balls in play. About 12 percent of plate appearances against him have ended with a strikeout or walk. A Royals stack seems advisable. Meanwhile, the White Sox are down their best right-handed hitter, so they’re looking quite a bit less fearsome against Jason Vargas. Paul Konerko should be a cheap option.
3. Tomorrow’s Tilts
Pitchers to Start: Trevor Bauer has a tough assignment against the Tigers, but it’s survivable. He seems to have figured out his problem with walks allowed. He’s an extreme fly ball pitcher, so he’ll be prone to multi-home run games.
Doug Fister draws the depleted Reds lineup. Unlike depleted uranium rounds, depleted lineups are less potent.
Anthony DeSclafani was impressive in his debut. The Phillies should be an easier opponent, although they beat up a couple Reds starters over the weekend.
I like Josh Beckett against the New York Mets. Do be aware of the 3.94 FIP.
Drew Pomeranz has been great in a couple five inning starts. The Rays will be his biggest test to date, but Tropicana Field will be on his side. He needs to throw more than five innings to be truly valuable.
The Rays will trot out Jake Odorizzi. It’s a learning process for Odorizzi, but he’s better than his 4.89 ERA.
The Mariners lefty-stack is visiting Arlington, Texas and Colby Lewis. You’ll have a lot of choices.
The Giants draw lefty Franklin Morales at Coors Field. This is a rare occasion where you should go stock up on Giants.
A couple select Padres are worth a look against Kevin Correia.
Hitters (power): Jonny Gomes will draw the start.
Seth Smith is the guy to use in San Diego.
Justin Smoak has a rare favorable matchup.
The table below indicates which stadiums have the best conditions for hitters today. The color coding is a classic stoplight where green equals go for hitters. The weather conditions are from SI Weather’s home run app. A 10/10 means great atmospheric conditions for home runs. A 1/10 means lousy atmospheric conditions.
Well, at least the weather is clear today. If the reports are to be believed, we’ll barely see any clouds tonight.
The Link. Uh…This isn’t very helpful today, is it? Play the matchups.
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