- Double Park Factors
- Sunday Sauce
- Monday Plays
1. Double Park Factors
First an operational note. I have games on some Sunday mornings. I have to leave around 7:00 AM, so expect simplified output on occasion.
A commenter asked a few days ago about the park factors shown in FanGraphs Guts! It turns out they are halved, which I completely ignored. Home runs are actually increased a full 30 percent at Coors Field, etc. etc. Use this information to your advantage.
Early: Let’s try the Indians lefty stack against Andre Rienzo. Shall we?
The aggressive Twins will see friend of the home run Miguel Gonzalez.
Late: There are four games in the after 4:00 PM bin, sometimes there is a separate contest for them.
Dillon Gee must face the Rockies in Colorado, which makes him a modestly decent guy to stack against. On the other side of the matchup, Jhoulys Chacin makes his first start of the season. The Mets aren’t a prodigious offensive machine, but Chacin could come out flat.
More than likely, it will be best to target value picks.
We have 13 games tomorrow, all of them in the evening.
Pitchers to Start: Zach McAllister is a special brand of decent. He’s often good to come off the waiver wire for a spot start, but it never quite makes sense to own him outright. With the right-handed Twins lineup at Progressive Field, McAllister has a few factors in his favor. Park factors.
Jon Niese is still relatively available and he’s still relatively good too. Pitching in Miami helps, even if the Marlins have been trouncing everybody.
Jeff Locke is making his return to the majors and well…I don’t think he’s very good. Neither did Triple-A hitters.
With Michael Bolsinger on the hill for the Diamondbacks, look for some Brewers hitters.
The Royals aren’t sluggers by any means, but Eric Stults is struggling against everyone. Use it to your advantage.
Hitters (rapid fire): Possible targets include Raul Ibanez, Danny Valencia, Justin Maxwell, Drew Stubbs, Brandon Barnes, Lyle Overbay, Marlon Byrd, John Mayberry, Juan Francisco, Anthony Gose, Lonnie Chisenhall, and David Murphy.
The table below indicates which stadiums have the best conditions for hitters today. The color coding is a classic stoplight where green equals go for hitters. The weather conditions are from SI Weather’s home run app. A 10/10 means great atmospheric conditions for home runs. A 1/10 means lousy atmospheric conditions.
A few of the games are cool and the Cubs night game will be in the 40′s. Cleveland, New York, and Boston will have a small chance for rain, and those games will also have winds gusting over 20 mph.
The Link. The grid is almost identical to yesterday, except now all the games can be targeted in the same contest.
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