Comments on: The Paperwork is In: Luke Scott Joins the Rays

By: melkman

melkman — Sat, 14 Jan 2012 03:25:30 +0000

Nice piece, didn’t realize the park factor differential was that great. I just moved him from my sleeper column to if he falls to me then maybe column.

By: MikeB22

MikeB22 — Fri, 13 Jan 2012 12:11:35 +0000

If my understanding of park factors is right, going from 118 to 89 in HR for LHH is a potential 25% drop in HR output for his home games. Ignoring batted ball profile here and looking directly at what he’s done since 2008, inclusive, we get the following: 53 HR in 791 Home AB and 31 HR in 589 Away AB. If we adjust the home figures by 25% to estimate new park expectations, he would have hit 23 HR per 450 AB (5.1 every 100) instead of 27. So net-net, it would have theoretically affected him 15.8% on his overall figures since 2008 assuming perfect adjustment.

By: rotofan

rotofan — Thu, 12 Jan 2012 22:26:01 +0000

While I agree Scott has been often underrated in the past and I have used that to my advantage in my deep A.L. only league, his shoulder injury concerns me. Scott said today his injury will prevent him from playing OF for two of three months of the regular season and I wonder how much that same injury will sap his biggest strength as a fantasy play, his power.

By: davisnc

davisnc — Thu, 12 Jan 2012 21:20:07 +0000

I won’t believe Luke Scott is a Ray until I see his W-4.