Tiered Outfielder Ranks for the National League

Let’s do one last round of ranks for the rest of the season. Cause I know you guys are still in it and winning your leagues because we’re helping so much, right? Right??

In any case, the trade deadline is coming up and this might help you decide on a trade or two. And to help you even further, this time I’m putting in the rest-of-season projections from Steamer. One stop shopping.

And because I can, I’m using pale ales to name the tiers. Read and drink responsibly.

Russian River’s Pliny the Younger

Name PA H HR R RBI SB AVG OBP
Andrew McCutchen 205 53 7 28 28 7 0.298 0.381
Carlos Gonzalez 201 54 10 31 32 7 0.300 0.367

You could make an argument that Gonzalez’s finger injury should make this one-man tier, but if he’s healthy, he’s right there with the Buc’s center fielder. And while the team may have reasons to shut him down, he’s having a great year and could have his own motivation to stay on the field. Both of these players are deserving of a pilgrimage to watch.

Stone’s Enjoy By

Name PA H HR R RBI SB AVG OBP
Bryce Harper 189 44 8 24 25 5 0.265 0.343
Giancarlo Stanton 179 41 11 25 28 1 0.266 0.357
Justin Upton 174 42 7 25 22 3 0.277 0.363
Shin-Soo Choo 199 46 6 29 18 5 0.272 0.375
Adrian Gonzalez 215 57 8 24 31 0.296 0.368
Carlos Gomez 185 43 6 19 22 11 0.256 0.309
Yasiel Puig 184 49 7 23 25 7 0.293 0.353

A couple stalwarts are missing, but these guys were supposed to be here. The injury concerns for the first two? We’ll ignore them for now, since they are both so young. But the year hasn’t been without concern. Justin Upton seems like he’s percolating, and boy does Choo like his new digs. Adrian Gonzalez lost the max power, and his home park won’t help matters much, but he works as an elite outfielder even without it. In the first version of these ranks, I had Yasiel Puig and Carlos Gomez in the next tier. I don’t believe either of their current batting averages. But with their counting stats, they can hang in this tier. If a player like Bryce Harper isn’t guaranteed to hit better than the mid .260s, then Gomez and Puig can manage the same, and they look like they are, at the very least, stealing more bases.

Drake’s Aroma Coma Double IPA

Name PA H HR R RBI SB AVG OBP
Matt Holliday 174 44 6 24 24 2 0.292 0.375
Jay Bruce 187 43 9 24 28 2 0.258 0.331
Jason Heyward 177 40 6 25 18 4 0.263 0.354
Hunter Pence 210 53 7 25 28 3 0.276 0.334
Starling Marte 179 46 4 24 16 10 0.277 0.325
Matt Kemp 128 31 5 17 17 3 0.276 0.345
Allen Craig 189 52 7 23 28 1 0.302 0.354
Carlos Beltran 161 40 6 21 23 2 0.280 0.348
Michael Cuddyer 198 51 8 26 29 3 0.286 0.351
Jayson Werth 168 40 6 23 18 2 0.272 0.360
Norichika Aoki 196 51 3 25 15 7 0.290 0.352
Dexter Fowler 195 45 4 30 17 6 0.274 0.370
Carl Crawford 122 30 3 16 11 5 0.271 0.322
Domonic Brown 154 37 6 17 20 3 0.268 0.330

This might be my favorite IPA right now, so it’s no surprise that this is my favorite tier. If I was to go shopping for an outfielder, this is absolutely where I’d be shopping. There are plenty of buy-lows with high upside (Matt Kemp, Matt Holliday, Jason Heyward, and Carl Crawford in particular) and even the guys that are going well (Starling Marte, Hunter Pence and Jayson Werth) aren’t the type of players that inspire unconditional trust. You’re more likely to convince an owner in this tier to part with their outfielder than the two above, and these are all starters in mixed leagues, and decent OF1s in NL-only leagues.

Sierra Nevada Hoptimum

Name PA H HR R RBI SB AVG OBP
Matt Carpenter 207 51 3 24 20 1 0.284 0.364
Martin Prado 222 58 4 29 22 3 0.291 0.346
Ryan Ludwick 64 15 3 7 9 0.255 0.327
B.J. Upton 158 32 5 17 18 6 0.232 0.309
Gerardo Parra 166 41 3 22 14 4 0.278 0.342
Jon Jay 200 50 3 26 16 3 0.279 0.344
Carlos Quentin 179 39 7 22 23 0.249 0.341
Garrett Jones 181 43 7 21 25 1 0.259 0.319
Todd Frazier 176 38 6 19 21 2 0.244 0.316
Logan Morrison 147 33 5 16 18 0.255 0.343
Andre Ethier 146 35 4 17 18 1 0.272 0.350
Jason Kubel 152 33 6 18 20 0.249 0.325
Eric Young 187 42 2 16 15 11 0.251 0.322
Jose Tabata 197 47 2 24 16 5 0.270 0.339
Adam Eaton 106 27 1 14 9 5 0.289 0.363

Since we went with double IPAs throughout, let’s keep it there. Hoptimum is the Sierra Nevada Pale Ale of double IPAs: solid, above-average, useful. These players are all solid, above-average, and useful — but now we’re talking about third outfielders in mixed leagues at best. Obviously, Matt Carpenter‘s inclusion here will upset an owner or two. But just look at those rest-of-season projections. Even if you bump them up a bit, they do not fit in the tier above. He’s a good second baseman, but as an outfielder, he’s better used as an OF3/4 that gets slotted in and out of the lineup. He’s Martin Prado without the speed. Most of these guys need a caddy, anyway. In some cases, it’s a platoon caddy (Andre Ethier, Garrett Jones, Jason Kubel), but in some cases, a power/speed platoon in H2H might make sense. Adam Eaton is hanging on by the fingertips of his upside. He should maybe be in the next tier, but if he really got going, he would fit in at the top of this tier, easily.

Knee Deep’s Hop Shortage

Name PA H HR R RBI SB AVG OBP
Cameron Maybin 10 2 1 1 0.251 0.319
Evan Gattis 135 32 6 16 18 1 0.256 0.310
Junior Lake 185 44 4 18 19 8 0.254 0.297
Gregor Blanco 193 41 2 17 16 7 0.243 0.323
Denard Span 191 46 2 23 13 5 0.267 0.328
Nate Schierholtz 152 36 5 17 19 2 0.265 0.326
David DeJesus 167 39 3 21 13 2 0.265 0.341
Will Venable 172 38 5 21 17 7 0.247 0.312
Cody Ross 142 34 4 15 17 1 0.268 0.332
Jeff Francoeur 141 32 3 14 15 2 0.249 0.298
Delmon Young 107 27 3 11 13 0.272 0.309
Logan Schafer 156 37 2 15 14 4 0.259 0.310
Marlon Byrd 155 35 4 15 17 1 0.250 0.303
Darin Ruf 137 31 4 14 15 1 0.255 0.321

Hop Shortage is like a hop fist to the mouf. It’s too much. Maybe, after a day of double IPAs, it could punch through your wrecked palate. These players all could be useful in the right situation. In NL-only leagues, they are all still starters, for example. Despite their many, disparate flaws.

Hangar 24’s Double IPA

Name PA H HR R RBI SB AVG OBP
Lucas Duda 86 18 3 10 10 0.243 0.334
Christian Yelich 130 30 2 12 12 3 0.252 0.309
Jake Marisnick 106 23 2 10 10 4 0.239 0.287
Caleb Gindl 70 16 2 7 7 1 0.260 0.320
Kyle Blanks 59 13 2 6 7 0.246 0.319
John Mayberry 172 39 5 17 19 2 0.252 0.309
Juan Lagares 134 33 2 12 12 3 0.261 0.297
Travis Snider 111 26 3 14 11 2 0.259 0.326
Jordan Schafer 79 17 1 9 6 4 0.236 0.313
Chris Heisey 156 35 5 19 16 2 0.247 0.302
Chris Denorfia 146 35 3 16 13 3 0.266 0.324
Justin Ruggiano 110 24 3 11 12 4 0.247 0.314
A.J. Pollock 107 26 1 10 11 3 0.268 0.316
Tyler Colvin 63 14 2 8 8 1 0.249 0.301
Juan Pierre 49 12 5 3 3 0.267 0.318
Alexi Amarista 146 34 2 12 14 2 0.251 0.293

If the Hoptologist makes you screw up your face, this one is just unremarkable. In fact, it’s basically a replacement-level double IPA. Blah. And these players are blah. They’re a grab bag of blah. The three at the top have the upside to join the next tier, but they also have plenty of flaws (including their team’s situation) that keep them down for now. Coincidentally, the three all strike out too much. It’s an easy way to tank your batting average. I’d also watch Kyle Blanks when the inevitable Carlos Quentin injury comes, and Caleb Gindl doesn’t have a great swing, and he’s too small and yeah he has tons of flaws, but he’s playing every day for now. That’s more than the rest of these guys can say. In fact, can anyone else in this tier say that? Alexi Amarista might take over at short for the Padres, but if you want one of the worst shortstop in the business playing the outfield for your team, you’re in trouble.



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With a phone full of pictures of pitchers' fingers, strange beers, and his two toddler sons, Eno Sarris can be found at the ballpark or a brewery most days. Read him here or at October. Follow him on Twitter @enosarris.


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Yasiel Puig
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Yasiel Puig

Why is my average so low?

Yasiel Puig
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Yasiel Puig

Nvm, ROS stats, I’m an idiot

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