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Jorge de la Rosa
4/5/1981 (35 y, 10 m, 15 d)
$0.2M / 1 Years (2017)
De La Rosa signed a minor league deal with the Diamondbacks on Sunday that includes an invitation to spring training, Jesse Sanchez of MLB.com reports. (2/19/2017)
The Biggest Free-Agent Bargain Still Out There
Dave Cameron (FanGraphs)
MASH Report (4/28/16)
Jeff Zimmerman (RotoGraphs)
Rockies Playing Time Battles: Pitchers
Blake Murphy (RotoGraphs)
Trying To Optimize The Rockies Rotation For Coors »
Mike Petriello (FanGraphs)
Rockies Rotation: Rocky & de la Rosa
Robert J. Baumann (RotoGraphs)
(Click Year to Expand /
Year in Review:
De La Rosa has re-found his ability to induce worm-burners and has matured as a pitcher in Colorado. Now with ground-ball rates averaging 45% over the past two years, his FIP has settled in around four and there's a temptation to say that there's a chance he takes another step forward next year. After all, his BABIP was slightly high (.316) and the last three years have all seen increases in strikeout rate (up to 9.39 K/9 last year) and decreases in his WHIP (down to 1.38 last year). But there's something strange about De La Rosa: he routinely gives up line drives (20.7% career), and his career BABIP is therefore higher than most (.324). This was true before Coors field and probably has more to do with his mediocre fastball, which, despite being speedy (93.6 mph last year), gets pummeled routinely (-37.2 runs career).
The Year Ahead:
Thank goodness for De La Rosa's secondary pitches, particularly his slider and changeup. Perhaps there is still room for improvement if he starts to use those positive pitches more often next year, but his mix has held relatively steady in Colorado. The good news, no matter if he steps forward or not in 2010, is that De La Rosa has been good for over a strikeout per inning in purple and should continue to provide in that category going forward. He has some volatile splits, though (5.97 ERA / 1.52 WHIP pre-All Star, 3.29 ERA / 1.31 WHIP post-All Star in 2008-2009) and the full story of this journeyman pitcher has yet to be told. Banking on him to take another step forward in 2010 is not advisable, and deep league managers should pick him only if he falls to the reserve rounds and is available among similarly risky options. (Eno Sarris)
Once referred to as "The Mexican John Rocker", de la Rosa has always been something of an enigma. Even as he's matured into a quality starting pitcher, he's continued to befuddle. His high strikeout and groundball rates show the tools to be an elite starting pitcher, but his ERA has consistently been higher than his FIP would suggest. He's the kind of pitcher who is often labeled as a breakout candidate, because the talent is better than the results have shown, but sometimes, these guys just never get it. When you add in the high risk that comes with pitchers who throw a lot of pitches to get through the line-up three times, and de la Rosa is probably going to be overvalued in most leagues. (Dave Cameron)
The Quick Opinion:
He's an above average starting pitcher, but don't pay a price that reflects the potential to be great.
Jorge De La Rosa’s season went up in smoke on May 24th, as he exited after 2 1/3 innings and headed straight for the operating table to undergo season-ending Tommy John surgery. Up to that point, he had seen a slight drop in his strikeout rate but a sharp drop in his walk rate, for a career-best 2.36 strikeout-to-walk ratio, but it’s difficult to judge whether or not this was legitimate progress or just a good early-season run. De La Rosa has been very diligent in his rehab, and may make it back to the majors in less than 12 months, but no matter what he is not going to pitch a full season. And since pitchers aren’t usually back to their old selves until two years after Tommy John surgery, you definitely want to tread lightly with De La Rosa -- don’t draft him unless you have a very deep league or a lot of open disabled list spots. (Paul Swydan)
The Quick Opinion:
De La Rosa is extremely unlikely to take the hill before mid-May, and may not be completely effective upon his return, so monitor his progress from the safe distance of the waiver wire.
Once upon a time, De La Rosa had a 93-mph fastball in his arsenal, and primed with that cheese and some more refined control, he was on the verge of becoming a fantasy stud. Then in 2010, he missed a bunch of time thanks to an injury to his middle finger, and then in 2011 he blew out his elbow and needed Tommy John surgery. His comeback was delayed by complications during rehab, and he ended up having three lost years -- from 2010 to 2012 he tossed just 191.1 innings and totaled just 3.0 WAR. Good numbers for a single season, but certainly not for three. When he came back this past season, he had lost two mph off of that fastball, but he compensated by turning more to his two-seam fastball and offspeed offerings. The new mix of pitches led to him allowing the lowest percentage of fly balls in his career -- just 27.6%. He gave up his fair share of line drives, but he was able to strand three-fourths of the runners who reached base, which kept his ERA low. His 3.76 FIP wasn't exactly dogmeat either, as it clocked in at 13 percent better than league average. Turns out, keeping balls from landing in the cheap seats is a good path to success. Who knew? The trick will be whether or not he can do it again. His 7.7% HR/FB was easily a full-season low, and with the diminished velocity taking away his ability to will strikeouts out of thin air, he will need to maintain that low home run rate in order to remain successful. If he can, he'll be a great bet in the middle rounds. But you're better off hoping he slides towards the end of your draft.
The Quick Opinion:
One of the milder surprises of the 2013 season, De La Rosa once again put himself on the map as a solid, mid-tier fantasy starter. He isn't going to get strikeouts, and he isn't going to be super efficient either, but as long as he can keep the ball in the ballpark and his team in the game, he'll be a decent bet to be productive.
Since he’s returned from mid-2012 Tommy John surgery, Jorge de la Rosa has been a little more committed to other fastballs besides his four-seamer. His splitter has remained especially effective, even as he’s traded a touch of swing-and-miss on it for more grounders, and his control is much better, even if it’s not quite league-average. Two 2014 developments made him more difficult to beat: the return of his velocity, and his introduction of what looks like a good cut fastball for both whiffs and grounders. In fact, he was above 50% worm-killers overall for just the second time in his career last season, and he’s better equipped to remain that way. A lot about the left-hander’s evolution and indicators, particularly recently, suggests that he’s learning how to succeed at Coors Field, where his ERA was a full two runs better than his road mark last year. With a 3.53 ERA, 3.98 FIP, 3.57 xFIP, and 12.7% strikeout minus walk rate after the break, de la Rosa seemed to announce that he was all the way back as well as his team’s unquestioned ace. Alas, any ace of the Rockies still pays an upside penalty, and this one appears to come with a slightly below-average strikeout rate now. There’s a little profit potential here, but it’s basically in NL-only leagues, not most mixed formats, where he’s more of a fringe play or streamer. (Nicholas Minnix)
The Quick Opinion:
de la Rosa, with a pitch mix designed to net him 50% ground balls and reduce free passes, has learned how to win at Coors Field since his June 2012 Tommy John surgery. The upside is still capped, however, meaning that he’s mostly truly an interesting play only in NL-only formats and just an end-of-the-bench streamer in mixed leagues.
Jorge De La Rosa is capable of great performances. Just last season, he had games where he shut out the Athletics over seven innings in Oakland; held the red-hot August New York Mets to six base runners and two runs over six innings, striking out seven; struck out eight Cardinals at Coors Field, allowing just five base runners and two runs over seven innings. There was also his four-start stretch to finish the season, in which he posted 25 strikeouts in 26 innings, with a 2.08 ERA and 2.90 FIP against the Pirates, Giants, Padres, and Dodgers. But De La Rosa never sustains this greatness. Just before the season-ending run, he gave up five runs to the Braves somehow, and at one point had back-to-back starts where he allowed six runs. In his first start of the season, on April 20, he allowed nine runs and 10 base runners to the Padres in just two innings. That his first start came on April 20 is also a red flag. De La Rosa is often hurt. In fact, his final start came in that Sept. 16 outing, so he ended up starting late and finishing early. Good work if you can get it. If you're in a mixed league, you probably don't want to get on the De La Rosa rollercoaster. He doesn't post good enough strikeout or WHIP numbers to be valuable in that format, and obviously the Rockies are going to be hard up for wins. But if you're in an NL-only league, you could do worse. Whenever he is healthy, the Rockies will find him a spot in the rotation, and in the aggregate, De La Rosa will do just fine. (Paul Swydan)
The Quick Opinion:
Jorge De La Rosa is slightly maddening, slightly thrilling, and slightly comforting. At the end of the day, he'll be thoroughly average, and there are worse things you can be.
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Updated: Monday, February 20, 2017 11:40 AM ET
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