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5/8/1981 (35 y, 10 m, 18 d)
2006 Rule 5 Draft - Round: 1, Pick: 5, Overall: 5, Team: Baltimore Orioles
$2M / 1 Years (2016)
Simon (shoulder) was transferred to the 60-day disabled list Monday. (9/12/2016)
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(Click Year to Expand /
It’s rare to see a player pop up on fantasy radars when he turns 29, but that’s exactly what happened with Simon. While he had seen very limited action in 2008 and 2009, he got his first real shot to showcase his stuff in 2010. He only has 68 career innings to his name, but Simon seems to be lost when it comes to keeping the ball in the yard. Granted, all three samples we have from Simon are small, but 19 homers in 68 innings is worrisome, to say the least. Just because his overall strikeout numbers aren’t great, that doesn’t mean that there isn’t reason for his owners to hope for better returns next year. His fastball sits around 95 mph, and he misses a good amount of bats with his off-speed stuff. The problems with walks are real enough, but based on his minor-league numbers, it may very well be something we see him improve on. If he can drop his walk rate and slightly bump up his strikeout rate, the Orioles may be forced to use him in the back of the bullpen once again. He’s only worth something if he’s racking up saves, so keep an eye on the Orioles in spring training. Legal troubles, though, could keep him away from baseball in 2011 and beyond. (Zach Sanders)
The Quick Opinion:
Simon had his chance in the spotlight when he was closing games for Baltimore last season. If he gets the same opportunity, he's worth having around, but only if he's picking up saves.
Alfredo Simon’s done it all for the Orioles over the past couple of years -- He’s thrown in relief, started, been the long-man, and even closed, registering 17 saves in 2010. In 2011, after pitching out of the bullpen in May and June, Simon was slotted into the Baltimore rotation, and made 16 starts, putting up below-average numbers across the board. A few of those starts were impressive, but Simon struggled as the season went on. It was the first time Simon hit the 50-inning mark in the majors, and he ended up logging 115.2 innings. While he improved on his disastrous 2010 homerun rate of 18.2%, he still struggled to keep the ball in the yard. My point is: Simon showed signs of promise as a starter, and he throws hard, but his up-in-the-air status for 2012 -- Will Simon start? Will one of Baltimore’s younger pitchers push Simon back into a middle relief role? -- hurts what little fantasy value he has. If you’re thinking about drafting Simon, you need to find another league; yours is far too deep. (Navin Vaswani)
The Quick Opinion:
Simon had some fantasy value a couple of years ago because he was given a chance to close. Those days are gone. As a starter in 2011, Simon’s numbers were underwhelming, and while he’s been able to show potential -- some flashes of brilliance -- his undetermined role with Baltimore in 2012 means you’re better off looking elsewhere for pitching help.
Alfredo Simon's shock 2014 season was a revelation for the Reds, as he made 31 very nice starts out of the blue. The long-time reliever made it work with a lowish strikeout rate and some good batted ball fortune, aided and abetted by the stellar Reds defense. Switching to the American League with the less-than-spectacular Tigers defense behind him sends up all manner of warning sign. Worse yet, his numbers against pitchers really prop up his overall line. Remove his 22 strikeouts in 60 plate appearances against opposing hurlers, and suddenly his strikeout and walk rates don't look so great. His strikeout rate dips from 15.5% down to 13.9% and his walk rate creeps to the high side of 7%, just under league average. Suddenly, he keeps Kyle Gibson and Kevin Corriea company in the strikeout minus walk ranks. This is not good for business. Even if he can sustain his high strand rate (as he has for most of his career), Simon becomes a fringe starter with poor defense behind him, albeit in a more forgiving ballpark. The Tigers powerful offense will hand him many chances to win ballgames but allow others to buy high on Simon's strong 2014 season as 2015 doesn't look nearly as rosy for him. (Drew Fairservice)
The Quick Opinion:
After a strong and surprising 2014 season, everything is working against Alfredo Simon as he moves to the American League with a more porous defense supporting him.
Nobody can take Simon's 2014 away from him. He maintained a sub-three ERA for four months and made the All-Star game in his first full season as a starter at age 33. His final two months of that season served as a harbinger for his entire 2015 season. He added over half a run to his ERA thanks to a 4.69 ERA and 1.44 WHIP in his last 11 starts. Nobody really believed he could do it again in the most favorable of situations, but moving to the American League only further sealed his fate. Maybe he deserved better than his 5.05 ERA, but it's only optics at that point, as reaching his ERA indicators would've only taken five or six runs off the board. His already-awful strikeout rate fell, his walk and home run rates both jumped, and the batted ball and strand rates that were key factors in the big 2014 were average and well-below average, respectively in 2015. Now 35 years old, Simon will likely be asked to move back to the bullpen when he signs, with some swingman starts being his best chance at getting back into a rotation. It's tough to make a case to even put him on your list, regardless of how deep of a league you play in, let alone actually draft him. (
The Quick Opinion:
Simon was one of the easier regression calls in all of baseball last year. It wasn't going to be easy to maintain his 2014 success even if he had stayed in the National League, but moving to the American League only made it a taller task that was he wholly unable to overcome. At 35, his already-scant fantasy value has fully disappeared.
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Updated: Saturday, March 25, 2017 3:38 AM ET
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