Help Support FanGraphs

Adam Wainwright
Birthdate: 8/30/1981 (35 y, 6 m, 29 d)     Bats/Throws: R/R     Height/Weight: 6-7/230     Position: P
Drafted: 2000 June Amateur Draft - Round: 1, Pick: 29, Overall: 29, Team: Atlanta Braves
Contract: $97.5M / 5 Years (2014 - 2018)
RotoWire News: Wainwright gave up three earned runs (one earned) on five hits and a walk over four innings in Thursday's 5-3 Grapefruit League win over the Marlins. (3/24/2017)
Profiles:  2010  2011  2012  2013  2014  2015  2016  2017  (Click Year to Expand / Close)
Profile: Wainwright pitched just 28 innings in 2015 after rupturing his achilles, but returned in 2016 to just miss (198.2) his sixth big league season of 200 innings or more. Likely due to missing so much time, 2016 was the least productive season of Wainwright’s career if measuring by earned run average (4.62), the first time in his 10 major league seasons at a starter that he finished with an ERA over 4.00. Strangely, Wainwright was actually one of the best starting pitchers in baseball last June and July, two months which actually represent some of the best pitching of his career. The 6’7” Wainwright finished each of those two months in the top 10 in Wins Above Replacement, but his inability to bookend (7.16 ERA in April, 6.10 in August, 5.05 in September) his season with similar results might be attributed to the usage of his fastball (90.1 average mph), which spiked (38%) in June and then was substituted more frequently with his sinker as the season went on. Aiding what appears to be the beginning of decline was a career high home run per flyball rate (12%) combined with a career low ground ball rate (44%), two indicators that need to be watched closely as he starts out of the gate in 2017. As expected for any 35 year old pitcher, Waino is no longer the consistent near ace he once was, but his exceptional summer performance last year gives hope that he still offers owners above average value and that this decline will be gradual. (Trey Baughn)

The Quick Opinion: Wainwright got off to a horribly slow start in 2016, so how he comes out of the gate this season will be a key indicator for what to expect for the rest of 2017. His dominant stretches last summer should at least keep fantasy owners curious for what Wainwright can still accomplish, so don’t ignore him just based on his rough finish last year. As it stands he’s a #3-type starting pitcher with room for improvement, which means he could possibly be underrated.

If you would like to make a projection for this player, please Log In or Register.

Time Frame
By Year
By Age
By Day
By Game
Full Season