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7/29/1984 (32 y, 7 m, 25 d)
2003 June Amateur Draft - Round: 1, Pick: 24, Overall: 24, Team: Los Angeles Dodgers
$1.5M / 1 Years (2015)
Billingsley acknowledged that his career is likely over, Michael Perez of the Crescent-News reports. (6/16/2016)
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(Click Year to Expand /
Year in Review:
Through mid-August, Billingsley had 12 wins and was on pace to match his standout season of 2008. But in his final eight games he was 0-5 with a 5.31 ERA. In his final 40.2 innings, Billingsley gave up 20 walks and seven homers. He finished the year with a 3.94 BB/9 and a 0.78 HR/9. Previously, Billingsley had allowed just 10 homers in 155.2 innings. The drop-off was so severe that Billingsley did not make a start in either the NLDS or NLCS. After throwing a four-seam fastball more than 59% of the time in 2008,that number dropped to 49.6% in 2009. Instead, Billingsley threw more cutters and curves, a move created out of necessity. In September, his average fastball velocity was 91.8 mph, the same as his overall figure for the year. But Pitch Type Values showed it as a negative pitch, with a -2.93 wFB/C for the month.
The Year Ahead:
Even with his late-season troubles, Billingsley was a valuable fantasy hurler in 2009. His K/9 rate as a starter was the 10th-best mark in the Majors and his WHIP was better than average. Billingsley’s ERA was his poorest category, yet his FIP at 3.82 was 21 points lower. With no corresponding decline in his average fastball velocity, look for Billingsley to bounce back towards 2008 numbers in 2010. His end of the year problems were more pronounced, as the Dodgers were in the playoffs and it was big news when he was removed from the playoff rotation. That bad publicity could drive down his price in fantasy in 2010, giving an opportunity to get a top-notch hurler at a discounted price. (Brian Joura)
While his decrease in strikeout rate gets most of the attention, his simultaneous decrease in walks generally goes unnoticed. While a loss of strikeouts can be a sign of decline, in Billingsley's case, it appears to have been the result of a conscious decision to throw more strikes. The overall result was that Billingsley produced similar results to the rest of his career, even if the package was slightly different. Despite his reputation for inconsistency, his skillset is relatively stable, and you should expect roughtly 2.5 strikeouts for every walk and a ton of groundballs. That combination usually leads to high quality results, and while Billingsley is due for a spike in his home run rate, he’s good enough to survive a few extra long balls. He’s not a top tier pitcher, but he’s solidly in the second group of National League starters, and he’s better than many people perceive. He could be a solid value on draft day. (Dave Cameron)
The Quick Opinion:
Steadier than he's given credit for, you can pencil Billingsley in for 200 innings of good performance. Don't expect ace production, but you probably won't have to pay ace prices in order to get him.
Chad Billingsley is a pitcher with some core stats in decline that may limit his value in the future. He ranks 57th out of 59 pitchers from 2006 to 2011 in walk rate (3.92). He has been able to produce while maintaining this high walk rate by having a high strikeout rate -- eight per nine innings, or 15th out of 59 qualified starters. The problem is that his strikeout rate is on a four-year decline from 2008 to 2011 (9.0 to 8.2 to 8.0 to 7.3). He has been able to maintain a reasonable ERA because of lifetime home run per fly ball rate of 0.67. This value is about the same at home (0.64) as it is on the road (0.69), so he has no real home and away split. For 2012, look at valuing Bills similar to other pitchers with a seven-ish strike out rate and a four-ish walk rate rate (like Carlos Zambrano). (Jeff Zimmerman)
The Quick Opinion:
Billingsley has been able to maintain a decent fantasy value because of a high strikeout rate. With that rate in decline, his fantasy value is also in decline.
Billingsley is nothing if not eternally frustrating. His 3.34 FIP was the second best of his career and would have been top ten in the National League had he been qualified, largely due to a career-low 2.71 walk rate. But despite the success, nothing comes easy for him; after a solid April, he was dreadful in May and roughed up in June before putting together a fantastic run in July & August. Unfortunately for Billingsley, he didn't pitch after August 22 due to pain in his right elbow, which cost him two trips to the disabled list. The team is cautiously optimistic after he was able to get it up to 94 mph in offseason workouts, but the history of pitchers trying to make it through elbow trouble without surgery isn't good. (
The Quick Opinion:
After an inconsistent first half, Chad Billingsley had seemed to finally put it all together to deliver one of the most dominating stretches of his career before being sidelined by elbow trouble. He chose to avoid Tommy John surgery this winter and he'll need to beat the odds in 2013 to become one of the few pitchers to successfully pitch through a partially torn UCL.
Chad Billingsley's attempt to pitch through a partially torn elbow ligament lasted exactly 12 innings, and now he'll miss part of 2014 as well after undergoing Tommy John surgery. Since he went down so early, he might be back by May or June, though it's difficult to know whether he'll still have a spot in a deep Dodger rotation. It's too bad; Billingsley is perpetually underrated and had finally managed to get his control issues handled in 2012 before his elbow started barking in the first place.
The Quick Opinion:
It's maybe not the worst idea in the world to stash Billingsley in an empty disabled list spot if you have one, but don't expect much from him until the second half, especially since his role is uncertain.
Once a solidly underrated mid-rotation starter, Chad Billingsley's return from 2013 Tommy John surgery was derailed when hurt his arm again during rehab and underwent flexor tendon surgery. Having made only two MLB appearances in the last two seasons and with arm-related time on the disabled list in each of the last three, he's an interesting buy-low candidate, but nothing more until he proves he can stay healthy. (
Repeated elbow injuries have derailed Chad Billingsley's last three seasons. Once an effective pitcher, he struck out less than 10% of the hitters he faced in the few innings he managed to throw last season. Now a free agent with an ugly medical history, a team with little to lose will likely throw Billingsley a minor league contract with an invite to spring training -- far from a guarantee that he sees time in a major league rotation, and even farther from a guarantee that he ever returns to form. Billingsley is not fantasy-relevant. (Alex Chamberlain)
The Quick Opinion:
Chad Billingsley, hampered by multiple elbow injuries the last three years, is not currently signed to a Major League contract and does not carry any fantasy value.
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Updated: Saturday, March 25, 2017 3:38 AM ET
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