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3/21/1982 (34 y, 11 m, 6 d)
2003 June Amateur Draft - Round: 1, Pick: 13, Overall: 13, Team: Toronto Blue Jays
$0.2M / 1 Years (2017)
Hill agreed to a minor league deal with the Giants, FOX Sports' Ken Rosenthal reports. (2/17/2017)
Sunday Notes: Cubs-Indians, Disrupting Timing, Ban»
David Laurila (FanGraphs)
Projecting the Prospects in the Aaron Hill Trade
Chris Mitchell (FanGraphs)
Brewers' Playing Time Battles: Hitters
Alex Chamberlain (RotoGraphs)
PTP'ers Who Could Become PTP'ers
Paul Sporer (RotoGraphs)
Aaron Hill's Polarizing Defense
Neil Weinberg (FanGraphs)
(Click Year to Expand /
Year in Review:
The American League Comeback Player of the Year, Hill returned with a vengeance after missing a good portion of 2008 with a concussion. He set a new team mark for homers by a second baseman with 36, a number that also led all Major League keystone fielders in '09. The power was consistent in '09. Hill hit at least five homers in each month. His average, though, bottomed out in June and July before bouncing back late in the season. Hill maintained his .286 batting average despite posting a BABIP of just .290. He drove in 100+ runs despite hitting second all year. Defensively, he slipped a bit post-concussion. However, he's still a steady fielder who occasionally flashes plus range.
The Year Ahead:
The 36 homers and 108 RBI look like a fluke. Hill is not built like a power hitter... but he did slug 47 doubles and 17 homers in '07. A more reasonable output for 2010 would be 20-25 homers and 80 RBI, which would still put Hill among the top five-to-seven fantasy second basemen in the Majors. He's signed through 2011, with three club options beyond then. It's a good deal for Toronto. Fantasy managers would be smart to take a page from Toronto's book and resist the urge to overpay for his services based on his '09 output; expect numbers similar to his '07 season and be thankful for anything more. (Marc Hulet)
Like fellow '09 breakout star Adam Lind, Hill struggled mightily in 2010. The second baseman got homer-happy and got away from his line-drive approach. His line-drive rate dropped from 19.6% in '09 to 10.6% in '10, one of the lowest rates in the Majors amongst regulars. Despite the significant increase in fly balls, Hill's home-run output dropped from 36 to 26 (albeit in 154 fewer PAs). The Jays are expected to work with Hill on getting back to his old approach in 2011, which is good news for fantasy owners. He's a great buy-low candidate as a lot of people will sour on his .205 batting average. Although he'll probably never be as good as he was in '09, Hill is not going to produce a BABIP of .194 again. As of this writing, Hill was still a candidate to move to third base in 2011, but he'll likely remain at second base. Some time at third base, though, would increase his fantasy value. (Marc Hulet)
The Quick Opinion:
Hill's 2009 power output got into his head and he tried too hard to hit for power in '10. If he can get back to hitting hard line drives then he should have significant value as an offensive-minded second baseman.
Back-to-back frustrating summers in Toronto after a monster 2009 season led to the trade that sent Aaron Hill to Arizona, where, thanks to a .356 batting average on balls in play, he was worth more with the Diamondbacks (1.6 WAR) in 33 games than he was worth to Toronto in 104 games (-0.8 WAR). Change of scenery, indeed. While Hill regularly sports an above-average strikeout rate, he still refuses to take a walk. He never will. Walk, that is. What’s concerning is that Hill’s power deserted him in 2011, as he stroked only 11 home runs, after seasons of 36 and 26. Hill’s infield fly rate remains high (13.2% in 2011) and ask the fans in Toronto, it’s those infield fly balls that will drive you insane. However, as a starting second baseman in the National League West, playing in the thin air out in Phoenix, and with his 2011 line-drive rates rising from a remarkably low 10.6% in 2010, Hill’s likely got some fantasy value yet. (Navin Vaswani)
The Quick Opinion:
Hill will be hard-pressed to ever repeat his 2009 season, and even though his power numbers dropped in 2011, his power potential remains, giving him fantasy value as a starting second baseman in the National League. The fly balls really need to stop, but if Hill takes to the desert like he did in 2011, he could be an option in the later rounds of your draft.
After Aaron Hill's 36-homer outburst in 2009 for Toronto, few would have predicted the collapse of the next couple of seasons. He hit 26 out in 2010, but nothing else went right, as his walk rate -- never impressive -- dropped lower, and he sold out to hit fly balls that turned increasingly into outs. He was even worse in 2011, when even the power was gone. The Blue Jays and Diamondbacks engineered a trade of disappointing second baseman, and Hill managed a nice, if brief, resurgence on the Diamondbacks' way to the 2011 playoffs. Given the recent past, it seemed like a small-sample fluke, and Hill received a modest two-year extension. In 2012, Hill proved that contract to be one of the bargains of the year, even if no one noticed it. Hill did not hit as many homers (26) as he did back in 2009, but it was still his best season ever, as he finished at .302/.350/.522. Needless to say, fantasy owners should certainly not draft Hill expecting a repeat of 2012, but he has shown that he is a good hitter, and Arizona's ballpark is certainly congenial to power-hitting numbers. Hill will probably never have an above-average walk rate, but the combination of a better-than-average strikeout rate and good pop leads to good production. Hill probably will not hit .300 in 2013, but he can hit more than 20 home runs and add in double-digit steals. That is very good value from a second baseman. Hill probably is not in the first tier of 2013 fantasy second basemen, but after that group, he is right up there. (Matt Klaassen)
The Quick Opinion:
After two horrible years, Aaron Hill revived his career with one of the best unnoticed individual performances of 2012. Don't expect a repeat. Hill is not a first-tier second baseman, but he will probably be as at least as good or better as anyone in the second tier.
Hill has had a bizarre, up-and-down career. He's had a season with 100+ runs and 100+ RBI, a season with 36 homers and six steals, a season with eight homers and 21 steals, a season where he hit .302 with a .317 batting average on balls in play, a season where he hit .205 with a .196 BABIP, and several season where he missed a fair amount of time with injuries. There has never been a year where projecting Hill based on the previous season has worked out. The best approach to projecting him this year is to pick a midpoint and lean towards the conservative side of the middle given that he's easily on the back side of the aging curve at 32. The Oliver projection of .270 with 145 R+RBI, 17 homers and eight steals seems fairly reasonable. Assuming you're cool with that projection, where would that place him among second basemen? That line looks a lot like what Chase Utley and Jed Lowrie did last year, so that would make him a borderline top ten second baseman. But you might prefer to go with someone with more upside at second base like Neil Walker or Jedd Gyorko. So he's probably either the last "starter" at second in a twelve-teamer, or a middle infielder in a ten-teamer. (
The Quick Opinion:
Hill has been one of the most difficult players to project over the last half decade. It wouldn't be a shock for him to be worth anywhere between one and four wins this year. But a midpoint projection is more reasonable. Those numbers should mean he's a borderline top 10-12 second baseman, but given his age, injury history, and general unpredictability, don't rely on him at second and use him at your middle infield spot.
Aaron Hill has had a ridiculously up-and-down career, so it might be a mistake to write him off after a really bad year. But he'll be 33 this year, so the aging curve might prevent a bounceback this time. Steamer likes him to top 600 plate appearances and hit 16 home runs. If he does that, he's probably a borderline top 12 fantasy second baseman. But he hasn't topped 600 PA or hit 15+ homers on this side of 30. Steamer doesn't like his average to bounce back, and that's probably right given how his walk and strikeout rates went the wrong direction last year. At best, Hill is probably just an option for your middle infield slot in a mixed league. But he's hard to trust in anything shallower than a 14-team mixer or deeper. (
The Quick Opinion:
Hill has had an up-and-down career, but he's been more down than up in the last two seasons in which he was on the wrong side of 30. If he stays healthy, he could rank up enough plate appearances to be a middle infield option in shallower mixed leagues. But more likely he's only an option in deeper leagues.
Hill, heading into his age-34 season, has been with Arizona since late 2011, but he was included in the trade to Milwaukee that netted the D-backs Jean Segura. Hill was great for the remainder of 2011 after he was traded to Arizona, but since the story has been different. In fact, by wins above replacement, he was better in that 33 game stretch (1.5 WAR) than he has been from 2013 through 2015 combined (1.2 WAR). He also has been put into more of a utility position rather than starting second baseman. Age has definitely caught up with Hill. He has just 16 home runs in his last 894 plate appearances, despite playing in one of the National League's most hitter-friendly parks. His batting average on balls in play -- rarely a strength for the extreme pull, fly ball hitter -- has fallen considerably in the last two seasons as well. With Scooter Gennett representing a younger option at his position, full-time work for Hill at second base in Milwaukee looks unlikely. Third base -- with Will Middlebrook and Yadiel Rivera as the primary competition -- could be available for the taking, but even then, the numbers may disappoint and the team is likely looking for a young guy to take over and provide production beyond 2016. At best, Hill is a deep league 'playing time' sleeper that may stand at the plate 450+ times and provide some counting stats. (Dustin Nosler)
The Quick Opinion:
Once one of the game's best offensive second basemen, Hill has fallen considerably in the last two seasons. He's coming off his worst season in 2015 and now he's on a rebuilding team that has an incumbent younger option at his position.
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Updated: Monday, February 27, 2017 3:32 AM ET
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