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10/4/1978 (38 y, 4 m, 20 d)
1996 June Amateur Draft - Round: 29, Pick: 17, Overall: 862, Team: Chicago Cubs
$33M / 3 Years (2013 - 2015)
Lohse refused his assignment to Triple-A Round Rock and is now a free agent. (7/29/2016)
Contract Crowdsourcing 2015-16: Day 13 of 15
Carson Cistulli (FanGraphs)
Milwaukee's Untimely Collapse
Mike Petriello (FanGraphs)
Going Low and Away with the Brewers
August Fagerstrom (FanGraphs)
Aceless in Milwaukee
Matt Klaassen (FanGraphs)
Divorcing Wins From Starter Production
Scott Spratt (RotoGraphs)
(Click Year to Expand /
Year in Review:
In April, it looked like Lohse was picking up right where he left off in his 15-win 2008 season. He finished the first month of the season with a 3-0 record and a 1.97 ERA. But he struggled with ineffectiveness and injuries the remainder of the season and had two stints on the disabled list. His ailments included a sore knee, weakness in his forearm, and a strained groin. In his final 18 games, Lohse posted a 3-10 record with a 5.78 ERA. Despite the injuries, Lohse was able to maintain his velocity. Where he really suffered a drop-off was with his curveball. The pitch that was so effective for him in 2008 became a negative offering in 2009, with a -0.48 wCB/C.
The Year Ahead:
Heading into the 2008 season, Lohse had a lifetime 4.82 ERA with a .460 winning percentage, numbers which were in line with what he did in 2009. So, was 2008 the fluke year, or has he become a different pitcher and is 2009 the outlier due to injuries? In 2008, he had the highest GB/FB ratio of his career at 1.43 and tied for his lowest HR/FB mark at 8.6%. Last year his GB/FB was 1.24, still above his career average of 1.12. Lohse’s HR/FB had been trending down since 2004 prior to 2009’s more normal 11.4%. Lohse’s offspeed pitches have been improving. In 2007, both his slider and change-up were above-average pitches. In 2008, his curve joined them as a solid pitch. Lohse is a different pitcher than he was earlier in his career. His strikeout rate is up, his walk rate is down, he has better offspeed pitches and he gets more ground balls. If healthy, he is a good bounce-back candidate. (Brian Joura)
Hey, remember when the St. Louis Cardinals signed Kyle Lohse to a four-year, $41 million contract? After a dismal 2010 for Lohse, it's probably fair to call that one a failure. Lohse only made 18 starts for the Cardinals, winning four games and posting a 6.55 ERA. His peripheral numbers weren't nearly that bad -- under 3.5 BB/9 and only 0.9 HR/9 -- but a .369 BABIP and a (likely related) 60% strand rate did Lohse in. His FIP came in a 4.52 and his xFIP at 4.98, so there's a chance that we can expect more out of Lohse in his opportunities next year. However, the question is whether or not he will get those opportunities. Lohse is currently slotted in as the fifth starter for the Cards, and, with a poor start, it's hard to imagine that Tony La Russa wouldn't be quick to try the next in line. Lohse won't be of much help in Ks nor WHIP, so his only hope for fantasy value would be to luck into a solid win total or a decent ERA. Expecting either of those to happen would be folly. Avoid Lohse in fantasy drafts. (Jack Moore)
The Quick Opinion:
Kyle Lohse is the fifth starter for St. Louis for now, but the leash is probably short. Another 6.00+ ERA probably won't happen again, but there's not much fantasy value here.
Lohse continues to be an incredibly volatile pitcher. He was healthy for much of 2011 and was excellent in 30 starts, recording a 3.39 ERA and 3.67 FIP after a year of merely 18 starts, a 6.55 ERA and a 4.42 FIP in 2010. He wasn't a particularly different pitcher either year based on peripherals, and although 2011 shows he's capable of good results, he shouldn't be relied on for them – look for him to be much closer to average than either the elite or horrible he's showed the past two seasons. And now he's in a competition with Jake Westbrook for the final spot in the rotation, further decimating his fantasy status. (Jack Moore)
The Quick Opinion:
Lohse was effective when healthy but struggled to stay on the field. He remains a frustratingly inconsistent pitcher.
Lohse enjoyed a tremendous 2012 campaign with the St. Louis Cardinals and was rewarded with a three-year, $33M deal by the Milwaukee Brewers. The important questions were (1) how would his numbers change in a homer-friendly ballpark, and (2) could he maintain an increased swinging-strike rate? The right-hander surrendered more home runs in 2013 and his ERA reflected that; however, it never became unwieldy and his low WHIP helped limit the overall damage. A 3.35 ERA is nothing at which fantasy owners should scoff -- and considering he's outperformed his FIP each of the past three seasons, it seems reasonable to expect that to happen again. As for his swinging strike rate, it stayed above seven percent for the second consecutive reason. A large portion of that can likely be ascribed to the fact that he's featuring his mediocre fastball less and relying more upon his offspeed pitches, particularly his slider. If that trend continues, his strikeout rate could even increase a bit. Overall, though, that's not where owners should expect to derive value from Lohse. He's good for a low-threes ERA and a low WHIP. With what should be an improved Brewers' lineup, he should rack up more wins, too. (JP Breen)
The Quick Opinion:
Lohse has surreptitiously become one of the most-productive starters of the past few seasons. His transition to Miller Park understandably yielded more long balls, but he projects to offer significant value in ERA, WHIP and even wins. Confidently treat the 35-year-old as a top-50 starter on draft day.
It can be a bit difficult to get excited about a pitcher who has never reached seven strikeouts per nine in a season, but there is a lot to like about Kyle Lohse in deeper fantasy formats. For one, he has evolved into one of the truly elite command pitchers dating back to his time in St. Louis. In fact, over the last four seasons, he has not exceeded two walks per nine, and that has held his WHIP under 1.20 in each of those seasons. Second, Lohse has been exceptionally durable, exceeding 185 innings in each of his last four seasons and averaging more than 200 innings over the last three. At 36 years old and with no velocity to worry about losing, Lohse seems a fair bet to do what he always does in 2015. The question will simply be if a 3.50 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, and 12 wins will be enough to make up for his 130 strikeouts in your format. (Scott Spratt)
The Quick Opinion:
Lohse is a tremendously consistent pitcher, but low strikeout totals make him more a deep league option despite his solid ERA, WHIP, and health track record.
As of this writing, Kyle Lohse has not signed a deal of any kind to play baseball for a living. It could be possible that Lohse is waiting for right offer, but it's more likely that he's waiting for any offer. Lohse enters the 2016 season as a 37-year-old who was below replacement level in 2015. His ground ball rate has been diving, his home run has been rising, and he's walking more batters than ever. Milwaukee even relegated him to the bullpen for some of 2015. At this point, Kyle Lohse is basically a yawn personified. He may be a last-minute addition to a 25-man roster, or may even have to accept a minor-league contract. He may see an uptick in performance with a full-time move to the bullpen, but then he'd be a 37-year-old long reliever. This is most likely a better job than many, but it the prospect of it may be enough for Lohse to finally hang up his goatee -- err -- spikes. (David Temple)
The Quick Opinion:
What lies ahead for Kyle Lohse in 2016 is less intriguing than the reason that brought you to see Kyle Lohse's FanGraphs page in 2016. Perhaps you fell asleep on your keyboard? If so, Good Morning!
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Updated: Friday, February 24, 2017 3:33 AM ET
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