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Todd Frazier
Birthdate: 2/12/1986 (31 y, 1 m, 18 d)     Bats/Throws: R/R     Height/Weight: 6-3/215     Position: 3B
Drafted: 2007 June Amateur Draft - Round: 1s, Pick: 4, Overall: 34, Team: Cincinnati Reds
Contract: $12M / 1 Years (2017)
RotoWire News: Frazier went 2-for-4 with a home run, a double and two runs scored in Monday's game against the Dodgers, Dan Hayes of CSN Chicago reports. (3/27/2017)
Profiles:  2012  2013  2014  2015  2016  2017  (Click Year to Expand / Close)
Profile: Generally speaking, hitting more home runs correlates to better offensive production. Yet despite increasing home run totals over the last three seasons, Frazier's park-adjusted offense (based on weighted runs created) decreased from 22% above league average in 2014 to 15% in 2015 to just 2% last season. I guess 40 bombs just doesn't mean what it used to. Frazier has become an extreme fly-ball hitter, leading the league in fly ball percentage last year after finishing third in 2015. Unfortunately, that makes for a terrible batting average on balls in play, and subsequently a cratering batting average. In fact, his average ranked fifth-worst among qualified hitters in 2016. That Frazier's walk rate jumped to a career-high 9.6% somewhat helps in on-base percentage leagues, but his expected batting average contributions are so low, it's of little solace. Luckily, Frazier is still a well-rounded contributor in the other four categories. Playing in a small ballpark helps his homer, runs, and RBI totals, and even with a declining speed score at age 31, he's still a threat to steal, having swiped 16 bags on average over the past three seasons. Still, runs and RBIs are partly a function of the team around him, which currently isn't very impressive, making Frazier a low-floor, middling-ceiling option at a deep position. (Rylan Edwards)

The Quick Opinion: Frazier continues to hit homers at an impressive pace, but he's also a serious liability in terms of batting average. While still a threat on the bases, consider that he's also a 31-year old who struggles to reach base 30% of the time despite an increase in walk rate. Pay for his 2016 power but not his 2014 breakout. Frazier is a much different player now.

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