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1/4/1976 (41 y, 1 m, 19 d)
1996 June Amateur Draft - Round: 23, Pick: 23, Overall: 688, Team: Los Angeles Dodgers
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Lilly said Wednesday that he is retiring, ESPN's Buster Olney reports. (11/27/2013)
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(Click Year to Expand /
Year in Review:
The left-hander had one of the more precise seasons in recent memory, as Lilly walked 36 of the 706 total batters he faced. He’s came a long way since joining the National League. Back in 2006 he walked 81 against 797 batters in his final season in the American League. Since joining the Cubs he’s yet to walk more than 65 in a single season. Lilly’s fantastic FIP and tRA have to be taken with a grain of salt since his HR/FB was a bit too low considering his 50.6% fly-ball rate. Still, it’s not hard to see 2009 being the best season of Lilly’s career.
The Year Ahead:
A decent option if wins and an ERA around 4.00 works for you. He’s not an ace and never will be. Lilly won’t walk many – although do expect more than 2009 offered – and strikes out a fair amount, the question really comes down to how low he can keep his home-run rate, which, as we know, isn’t entirely up to a starting pitcher’s skill. If you can get him at a price separate of his 2009 performance, then he’s a good choice; otherwise, pass. Monitor Lilly in the spring, though, as he’s been battling knee problems (although it is not considered serious at this point). (R.J. Anderson)
While Lilly was very good for Los Angeles after being acquired in a mid-season trade, there are four reasons to be concerned about how well he'l perform in 2011 - their names are Ethier, Kemp, Gibbons, and Thames. The Dodgers have compiled an historically awful outfield defense, and Lilly is among the most extreme fly ball pitchers in all of Major League Baseball. Last year, 52.6 percent of all of his balls in play were fly balls, and with those lead-footed statues responsible for tracking down balls in the gaps, Lilly could be in for some frustrating outings. He depends heavily on limiting hits on balls in play (his career BABIP is just .271) so that the home runs he allows don’t score too many runners at once. If those fly balls start falling in before he gives up a long ball, he could put up some ugly numbers in a hurry. Toss in his advancing age and Lilly is probably not a guy you want to spend market prices on this year. (Dave Cameron)
The Quick Opinion:
On a roster with speedy fly catchers, he'd be a recommended buy. He's on the 2011 Dodgers, however, so you might want to say a prayer for his sanity instead.
The 36-year-old Ted Lilly is entering his 14th major league season. Over the past three seasons, his strikeout (7.7, 7,7, 7.4) and walk rates (1.8, 2.0, 2.4) have been relatively constant. Walks and strikeouts aren't his real problem, giving up home runs is his issue. He has averaged 1.35 home runs per nine over his career which is consistent with what he has done in the last few years (1.12, 1.49, 1.31). To put it in perspective, looking at all pitchers that pitched over 500 inning since 2008, he has the fifth-highest total at 1.34 HR/9. His fly ball tendencies have helped him suppress his batting average on balls in play (.270 career value) and therefore allows him to have a decent WHIP (1.25). One problem with Lilly recently is that he has missed significant time in both 2009 (34 games) and 2010 (17 games) due to shoulder issues. If a pitcher with double-digit wins, 180ish strikeouts, a 3.75 ERA, and a 1.25 WHIP is valuable in your league, feel free to pick up Lilly. Just understand that there is probably more injury risk with him because of his age and past injury history. (Jeff Zimmerman)
The Quick Opinion:
Lilly is a fly ball pitcher that lives and dies off the home run. He is fairly consistent, but recently injuries have become more of concern.
If you look only at the top-line stats of 5-1, 3.14, it certainly looks like a shoulder injury robbed Ted Lilly of what was shaping up to be a fantastic season. That's only because he didn't stay healthy enough for reality to catch up with him, however, because in every other way Lilly was trending downward. His 5.73 strikeouts per nine rate was down substantially from the seven and eight range it had been in for the previous few years, and that was paired with a walk rate that was higher than it had been since 2006. Lilly was saved by career-best home run rate and batting average on balls in play, but he's a notoriously homer-prone pitcher, and coming off shoulder surgery & headed into his age-37 season, his future -- including his rotation spot on an overstuffed Dodger roster -- is uncertain at best. (
The Quick Opinion:
Ageless lefty Ted Lilly saw good results in eight games before losing the rest of the season to shoulder injury, but his poor peripherals meant that it's likely the missed time just helped him skip the regression that was almost certainly coming anyway.
Ted Lilly's full name is Theodore Roosevelt Lilly. He also retired after 2013. Sweet name, bad fantasy pickup. (David Temple)
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Updated: Thursday, February 23, 2017 3:33 AM ET
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