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6/11/1987 (29 y, 9 m, 18 d)
$1.2M / 1 Years (2017)
Carrera (thigh) returned to the lineup Friday, Mike Wilner of Sportsnet reports. (3/24/2017)
Blue Jays-Indians, Game 4 Notes
David Laurila (FanGraphs)
What Did the Blue Jays Do to Ezequiel Carrera?
Jeff Sullivan (FanGraphs)
Blue Jays' Playing Time Battles: Hitters
Blake Murphy (RotoGraphs)
The Productive Minor-League Free Agents of 2014
Carson Cistulli (FanGraphs)
Streaming Options for Stolen Bases
Nicholas Minnix (RotoGraphs)
(Click Year to Expand /
The 24-year old speedster can certainly steal bases, but he doesn't do much more. He has never hit a Major League home run, and has only three over his last two years in Triple-A. His Triple-A average sat between .268 and .287, but in Cleveland that fell to .243. Paired with only a 7% walk rate, that meant very few opportunities for him to ply his trade, and yet he still managed 10 steals in 226 PA. With some improvement in his approach and luck (his .293 batting average on balls in play was low for a guy with his speed and GB tendencies), he could easily be a threat for 30+ steals in a full season of work, but the chances are slim that he will get anywhere near that this year. The Indians outfield is set with Shin-Soo Choo, Michael Brantley and Grady Sizemore, and the Tribe will turn to Shelley Duncan and possibly Jason Donald as OF reserves before Carrera. Thomas Neal, Trevor Crowe and some others might even get a look first. If Carrera does play, feel free to pick him up if you need steals and can afford to take the hit in just about everything else, but don't hold your breath. (Chad Young)
The Quick Opinion:
The outfielder could add some stolen bases to a speed-hungry fantasy team, but he would have to get playing time for that to happen, and right now, that doesn't look likely. Even if he does play, only pick him up if you are desperate for steals.
With Shin-Soo Choo's departure, Carrera temporarily sat atop the Indians depth chart for an outfield spot. With Nick Swisher's arrival, he moved back to being the fourth outfielder. Which is best, because that is really where he belongs. His speed has helped him overcome poor discipline and a lack of power to be a nearly-league-average hitter (94 wRC+ in 2012), but the chances are that drops closer to the 73 wRC+ he posted in 2011, the more he plays. A mediocre center fielder, Carrera is really more pinch runner than anything else, and he does steal bases at a fast enough clip to warrant some fantasy attention, should injuries force him into action. But he'll hurt you in everything else, so even if he does play, only take him if you are desperate for steals. (
The Quick Opinion:
In 384 major league plate appearances, Carrera has 18 steals, suggesting 30-35 stolen base potential in a full season. That alone will get you some fantasy attention, but he doesn't have a position and he is a drain on every other category.
Ways in which baseball is not like capitalism: in capitalism, the key to success is to do one thing really well. Ezequiel Carrera does one thing quite well, and that is run: he’s averaged forty stolen bases a year over the last three seasons between the majors and minors. But though it looked like Carrera had a chance to become a Vince Coleman or a Brian Hunter given the opportunity, he ended up fielding like the former and hitting like the latter. Maybe ten or twenty years ago, those steals might have gotten him a free crack at a job. But in our enlightened age, fourth outfielders who can’t hit or field don’t tend to stay fourth outfielders, and they don’t make their way onto fantasy teams, no matter how many bases they might steal. (Patrick Dubuque)
The Quick Opinion:
Sorry, Ezequiel, turns out you actually needed to do more than one thing.
Ezequiel Carrera continues to post impressive offensive performances in the minors with his second straight 43 stolen base performance and an impressive .370 weighted on base average, which was 11th overall for the Triple-A International League. Still, with that effort he joined a sundry of other quadruple-A type of hitters, such as Dan Johnson and Kevin Pillar, atop those leaderboards. Triple-A! By far the worst isolated slugging rate of this group, he led the league in stolen bases thanks in part to the third best on base percentage in the league. Carrera signed a minor league contract with the Blue Jays this offseason. The acquisition of Michael Saunders, prospect Dalton Pompey and another quad-A type option in Kevin Pillar should prevent Carrera offering fantasy value. (
The Quick Opinion:
A Quad-A, speed-only typecast, Carrera will have to impress the Jays during Spring Training. Expect something approaching 100 plate appearances, a .300 OBP and seven-ish stolen bases in 2015.
Ezequiel Carrera has gotten playing time in the majors for four different teams over the last five seasons with his highest number of plate appearances (226) coming in 2011. It is pretty clear what teams see in him: a short-term injury replacement or backup outfielder with enough speed to play all three positions sufficiently and provide a few steals. Carrera doesn't walk, strikes out out a lot, and has basically no power. Over a full season of plate appearances, he could probably steal 30 bases, but his career line of .259/.309/.349 shows why he probably will not ever get that many plate appearances. At the moment he looks like he is slated to be the fourth or fifth outfielder for the Blue Jays. Even assuming he makes the Opening Day roster, he will be fortunate to get much more than 250 plate appearances. That translates to very little draft day value, except maybe in very deep AL-only category leagues where steals are at a premium. Even then, Carrera and players like him are usually available for streaming during the season. An endgame bench option in deep leagues, at best. (Matt Klaassen)
The Quick Opinion:
The only thing that makes Carrera potential useful in fantasy is that he can steal bases in category leagues, and he will need some luck to get enough playing time for that to translate into actual value.
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Updated: Wednesday, March 29, 2017 3:37 AM ET
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