FanGraphs Sabermetrics Library


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  1. Yea, nice piece for a non-saber inclined reader. Not sure how much anyone around here is going to get out of it. Couple years old news around these parts.

    Comment by Telo — March 10, 2011 @ 4:14 pm

  2. The idea isn’t necessarily to educate on BenZo, but more to educate on how you can better communicate with saber newbies. You don’t *have* to write stat-heavy pieces all the time, which is the main point here.

    Comment by Steve Slowinski — March 10, 2011 @ 4:17 pm

  3. That was pretty good, except I kept getting the message that he’s a bit better than average. It would then seem that he’s appropriately rated.
    I think you’d need to marshall the evidence a bit better to argue he’s top-ten in the game and earned, and should continue to earn, top10 MVP finishes.

    Comment by mettle — March 10, 2011 @ 5:01 pm

  4. Got it. Nice read.

    Comment by Scout Finch — March 10, 2011 @ 7:55 pm

  5. What about a look at whether his power was for real and whether he can bounce back to anywhere near a .400 wOBA in 2010?

    Comment by AJS — March 10, 2011 @ 10:33 pm

  6. Good piece – one minor quibble: robbing the solo HR is more valuable, as it gives you an out as well.

    Comment by Aaron — March 14, 2011 @ 9:48 am

  7. Robbing a HR does give you an out, but hitting a home run does no cause an out. Therefore they are equal. In one case you are saving a run and recording an out, in the other case you are scoring a run and saving an out. EQUAL

    Comment by Sean — April 27, 2011 @ 12:22 am

  8. baserunning isnt a huge part of zobrists game

    Comment by William — May 8, 2011 @ 5:55 pm

  9. I have to disagree… While a run boost and and an out are certain with the robbed HR, a saved out is not guaranteed with a HR since both a missed base during the home run trot, someone robbing the HR as is described, or even home fan interference could nullify the HR and cause an out when hitting a baseball over the fence…Although, I realize it would then technically not be a HR; however, the possibility of those happening mean hitting a homer, or hitting a ball over the fence, is inherently more risky than robbing one that is going over…Therefore, due to the fewer variables involved in robbing a homer, it is more valuable than hitting one.

    Comment by Derick Willis — May 18, 2011 @ 1:30 pm

  10. You said it yourself… Those situations are not Home Runs, and therefore don’t count (“technically” doesn’t really mean anything in this context). What’s being measured is not “hitting the ball over the fence” (an empirical observation) but “hitting a Home Run” (a statistic).

    Comment by Knuckles — June 14, 2011 @ 2:41 pm

  11. Robbing a home run is more valuable:

    Scenario 1: Rob HR – 0 runs allowed, 1 out
    Scenario 2: Do not rob HR – 1 run allowed, 0 outs

    Scenario 1: Hit HR – 1 run scored, 0 outs
    Scenario 2: Do not hit HR – 0 runs scored, 0 outs

    Comment by Andrew — May 1, 2012 @ 2:57 am

  12. It is a valuable part. He tallied 60 SB over the last 3 seasons combined and had a 75% success rate in the process. This year he should just stay put though, he’s only 8 for 14…

    I think he’d garner some more value if he would put the ball in play more, especially if he’s batting in the middle of the lineup like he has been. The top of the rays’ order is great at taking advantage of defensive miscues.

    Comment by Charlie — July 7, 2012 @ 3:21 pm

  13. @Andrew, what if not hitting the home run results in an out? The most sure-fire way to not make an out is to make sure the ball never touches the field of play (e.g. it leaves the yard).

    Comment by Charlie — July 7, 2012 @ 5:57 pm

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