- Preparing For The Winter - Ottoneu Edition
- Reviewing Brad Johnson's 2015 Bold Predictions
the Phillies with 3.9 WAR. He also fell four stolen bases short of my projection.
1-f0r-8 (5 almosts)
9. Brad Boxberger will save at least 35 games
Well there's no uncertainty here. Boxberger
- Jeff Nelson's Strike Zone
today, let's go ahead and give Jeff Nelson -- who will be behind the plate for tonight's Cubs/Pirates game -- the same treatment.
With a left-handed batter up.
With a right-handed batter up
- The Daily Grind: Peavy Conley, Bour, Ketel
. That's, uh, bullish. There's a chance he'll only get three plate appearances, especially if the game is close. I do like Napoli as a DFS bargain today. I just can't justify taking him ahead of Nelson Cruz
- Q&A: Jimmy Nelson, Brewers Emerging Ace
Jimmy Nelson has emerged as Milwaukee's best starter thanks to a pair of tweaks. The 26-year-old righty has unleashed a spike curveball and tightened up his delivery. The results are striking. Nelson
- The Daily Grind: Jones, Corbin, Smyly, Valencia
. SaberSim likes Jimmy Nelson, but I'm not so sure.
Stack Targets: Miley, Estrada, Chris Bassitt, Mike Foltynewicz, Josh Tomlin, Tyler Duffey, Holmberg, Brad Hand, Jerome Williams
3. Tomorrow's Targets
- Nelson Cruz: A Late Bloomer Exceeds Expectations
Nelson Cruz leads both leagues in home runs, and he ranks second behind Bryce Harper in SLG. Neither is a surprise. The Seattle slugger left the yard 40 times with Baltimore last season, and moving
- The Daily Grind: Lester, Nelson, Adonis
It's the Standings, Stupid
Daily DFS - Lester, McCullers
GB / FB Splits
Tomorrow's Targets - Nelson, Buchanan, Adonis, Dyson
1. It's the Standings, Stupid
- The Daily Grind: Second Half, Danks, Koehler, Paulsen
on the year, putting him among the league leaders. I anticipate a second half surge - roughly .265/.330/.400. With it should come another 15 stolen bases. He'll face Jimmy Nelson at power happy Miller Park
- The Daily Grind: Trades, Nelson, Heaney, Valencia
Daily DFS - Nelson, Anderson
Tomorrow's Targets - Heaney, RdlR, Valencia, Ichiro
1. Three Trades
I had a busy weekend from a fantasy perspective. I
- The Daily Grind: E-Rod, Porcello, Taylor
recommend building your ideal lineup and then choosing a pitcher who fits.
Stack Targets: Sean O'Sullivan, Kendall Graveman, Brad Hand, Colby Lewis, Jeremy Guthrie, Tyler Cravy, David Hale, Josh Collmenter
- The Daily Grind: E-Rod, Strasburg, Plouffe
guess as to how he'll perform.
Also consider: Steven Wright, Carlos Rodon, Lance McCullers, Mike Bolsinger, Mike Foltynewicz, Jimmy Nelson
Pitchers to Exploit: I'm picking Stephen Strasburg
- Nelson Cruz is Doing It Differently
Remember when nobody wanted Nelson Cruz? He’d been with the Rangers but his contract had ended and steroids and everyone was like, “Nooooo thanks.” Well, not exactly everybody. After a long time
- What's Jimmy Nelson Brewing?
I'm enamored with Jimmy Nelson. I'll get that out of the way immediately. Fair or unfair -- and rational or irrational for that matter -- I am a sucker for big pitchers, and Nelson fits the bill
- The Daily Grind: Moustakas, Kelly, Mayberry, Marisnick
consider: Jimmy Nelson, J.A. Happ
Pitchers to Exploit: I understand that Aaron Sanchez is a well-regarded pitcher. He looks the part, but he certainly doesn't act it. He leans heavily on a plus sinker
- The Necessary Analysis of a Red-Hot Nelson Cruz
Just as I was beginning to work this up, I got an email saying Nelson Cruz had been named the American League Player of the Week, which provides for a very convenient introductory sentence. Over
- The Daily Grind: Rogers Centre, Nelson, Peavy
Thoughts About Ackley
Daily DFS - Rogers Centre
GB / FB Splits
Tomorrow's Targets - Nelson, Peavy, Davis, Peralta
1. Thoughts About Ackley
I've found myself
- The Change: New Pitches from Nelson, Eovaldi, Boxberger
Eovaldi, and Brad Boxberger.
I did a full workup of Nelson's new pitch today on the front page, and it looks nice. A curveball with as much depth and velocity as his new spike curve has should
- Jimmy Nelson Found a New Pitch
to a new pitch last year.
This year, the Spring Training list was once again full. Brewers' starter Jimmy Nelson is on there, and he's often been called a two-pitch guy since his changeup
- The Daily Grind: Iglesias, ARod, Greene
roster as a growth asset.
A more regrettable decision involves sitting Paul Goldschmidt against Clayton Kershaw. I had Adam Lind against the seemingly easy Jimmy Nelson. Little did I know that Nelson
- The Daily Grind: Pelfrey, Hammel, Lobstein, O'Sullivan
Guthrie, Kyle Kendrick, Roberto Hernandez, Yovani Gallardo, Vance Worley, Jimmy Nelson
3. Tomorrow's Targets - Lobstein, O'Sullivan,
Pitchers to Start: When I stream, I take one of two approaches. I
- Brad Johnson's 10 Bold Predictions
, but he has to seize it before the Phillies roster other players like Jeff Francoeur (in camp as an NRI) or add external talent. If he does play, the stolen bases should follow.
9. Brad Boxberger
- Nelson Cruz: Meet Safeco Field
On Monday, one of the more anticipated transactions of the past two off-seasons finally came to pass: Nelson Cruz finally signed with the Mariners. Seattle's interest in him dates back to at least
- Mariners Reward Nelson Cruz's Overconfidence
, the Giants and Padres more or less made the same offer. Sandoval didn't necessarily go to the high bidder. Nelson Cruz? Nelson Cruz went to the high bidder.
That high bidder being the Seattle Mariners
- Mariners Reportedly Sign Nelson Cruz
The Mariners have made no secret out of their desire to trade for a right-handed slugger, so perhaps this report from the Dominican newspaper El Caribe should not surprise us too much:
- Steven Souza and Michael Taylor: Buried in Washington
playing time. Fans certainly aren't clamoring for it to happen.
Entering his age 26 season, I'm reminded of Nelson Cruz. While Souza probably doesn't have the same power upside, he has the potential
- Nelson Cruz Home Run Estimates
Nelson Cruz got a one year deal with the Orioles last year and had a career season. He had career highs in Home Runs, RBIs and Runs. Most people considered him an after thought on draft or auction
- Ethics And Fantasy
has always been "if you get caught, serve the time." My opinions of Rodriguez, Melky Cabrera, or Nelson Cruz as people were not affected by their role in biogenesis.
A few other potential use cases
- The Daily Grind: 9-17-14 - Presented by FanDuel
to pitch at Coors Field. Too bad.
Late: J.A. Happ has the not so easy task of quieting the Orioles lineup. The lefty will have to navigate potent sluggers like Adam Jones and Nelson Cruz, both
- Quick Looks at Gausman, Carrasco, Nelson, Doubront, Turner
and then they can look lost when the two breakers are thrown. I need to go look at one of his earlier season games one day to see what chnaged. As for now, the results seem real.
- The Daily Grind: 9-1-14 - Presented by FanDuel
of the 12 games are early. There are a LOT of really good pitchers lined up for today. Stacks are few and far between.
Jimmy Nelson versus Jacob Turner is NOT a recipe for runs. Well it could
- The Daily Grind: 8-25-14 - Presented by FanDuel
Jorge de la Rosa.
Seth Smith is viable against Jimmy Nelson.
Dustin Ackley will probably bat second with Kendrys Morales hitting cleanup.
Derek Norris, Jonny Gomes, Nate Freiman, and Sam
- The Daily Grind: 8-20-14 - Presented by FanDuel
. Of those, the Nick Martinez versus Nate Eovaldi game in Miami has the worst pitchers. The ballpark and the Rangers inept offense make stacks a little difficult.
R.A. Dickey and Jimmy Nelson can both
- Brad Boxberger Has Arrived, In Reverse
Brad Boxberger, of course. He's 26. He's in his third major league season and his third major league organization. He was once a first-round pick -- if you can really say "No. 43 overall is a first
- The Daily Grind: 8-4-14 - Presented by FanDuel
suspect they'll jump on Kendrick early before he settles in.
The Pirates will see Brad Hand. He was somebody I was mildly excited about headed into the season, but his peripherals have been terrible. I
- Nelson Cruz and HR/LD%
Last Friday night, Nelson Cruz faced off against Felix Hernandez, and in the second inning this happened to a baseball:
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Perhaps you might prefer
- The Daily Grind: 7-26-14 - Presented by FanDuel
they normally would. However, he's throwing a ton of changeups this season, and there's no reason he should lose the speed differential on the pitch.
3. Sunday Picks
Pitchers to Start: Jimmy Nelson
- The Daily Grind: 7-21-14 - Presented by FanDuel
this time around, which makes for a sneaky waiver wire start.
Jimmy Nelson's first couple starts flashed both promise and signs for concern. Strikeouts should be a strength for Nelson, but he may
- The Daily Grind: 7-11-14 - Presented by FanDuel
. Sometimes you're forced to take those risks.
Go run to the wire for Jimmy Nelson. His minor league numbers suggest he could be worth rostering on a regular basis. A start against Adam Wainwright
- Finding the Ideal Leadoff Hitter
Baltimore Orioles (42-39)
LOR Leader: Nick Markakis, .246
Markakis is batting .298/.358/.410. Those are pretty prototypical leadoff numbers. J.J. Hardy (.243) ranks second. Nelson Cruz
- Important Life Questions And Brad Miller
. I've been dealing with a lot of this philosophical life stuff recently, and it's been difficult.
I'm talking, of course, about Brad Miller, and it seems I'm not alone, as the baseball community
- The Daily Grind: 5-24-14 - Presented by FanDuel
his 5.40 ERA, but the Tigers are not your garden variety offense.
Hey, I found both Randy Wolf and Jimmy Nelson. And I'm not really sure where to put them. Nelson is mildly interesting as a guy you
- Jimmy Nelson And The Art Of Being Almost Ready
This past Sunday, I headed to downtown Oklahoma City to see the Redhawks, Houston's Triple-A affiliate, take on the Nashville Sounds. The starting pitcher for the Sounds was Jimmy Nelson, the top
- Tightening Brad Miller's Leash
Brad Miller is no longer taking walks or getting hits. That’s obviously a problem, because it means he’s killing your team in average, failing to drive in runs and not getting on base to score runs
- Brad Johnson Baseball Chat -- 4/3/14
explain 12:02Brad Johnson: Eno is on a plane to Jamaica12:02Comment From LenardLost Ramos and was offered Posey, Desmond, and Donaldson in return for Wright, Trumbo, and Gyorko. I can slide Brad Miller
- 21 Players Whose Fielding Could Affect Their Fantasy Value
, so there's that.
6. Michael Cuddyer, OF
Cuddy is really terrible in the outfield. That hasn't stopped the Rockies in the past (ahem, Brad Hawpe), but they do have four center fielders
- Brad Johnson's 10 Bold Predictions
- The Players' Association May Target Qualifying Offers
With Nelson Cruz signing a one-year, $8 million contract with the Baltimore Orioles, qualifying offers are back in the spotlight. The executive director of the player's association, Tony Clark, has
- Warning! Beware of Nelson Cruz
Lately I've been hearing some rumors connecting the Tigers to free agent outfielder Nelson Cruz. I understand how fans have been hungry for another power bat since Prince Fielder was traded
- Get to Know Brad Boxberger
Get to know new Tampa Bay Ray Brad Boxberger.
He likes running water.
No running water in hotel... Great job @HolidayInn— Brad Boxberger (@Brad_Boxberger) August 6, 2013
- Where Could Nelson Cruz Even Fit?
A few things to know about Nelson Cruz:
Cruz is 33 years old
He's coming off a PED suspension
The last three years, he's been worth the same WAR as Sean Rodriguez and John Buck
He's a free
- A Frightening List of Nelson Cruz Comparisons
I don't mean to pick on Nelson Cruz. I know I already named him as the biggest land mine of the 2014 free agent class, and I'm not trying to pile on. But down here in Orlando, it is widely expected
- Nelson Cruz Defies Real World Value
While Nelson Cruz might be one of the least favorite of available free agents among nerd faces, it's hard to ignore what he does rather consistently for your fantasy squad -- and that's hit home runs
- Contract Crowdsourcing 2013-14: Nelson Cruz
is likely to receive, FanGraphs is also requesting that readers make note of how much they'd pay each free agent were they, themselves, actual GMs.
In this edition: Nelson Cruz.
- Breaking down Brad Miller for 2014
Believe it or not, when I solicited future shortstop topics last week, the name that came up the most was Brad Miller of the Seattle Mariners.
Don’t get me wrong, I like Miller just fine, and I
- A Nelson Cruz and Jhonny Peralta Suspension FAQ
an FAQ, because this early no Qs have been FA'd, so consider this FAQ more anticipatory. Let's focus on the suspended Nelson Cruz, and the suspended Jhonny Peralta.
So Nelson Cruz and Jhonny
- Brad Miller Is Worth Claiming
Unable to stomach Brendan Ryan and his .230 wOBA as the team's primary shortstop any longer, the Seattle Mariners have reportedly called up 23-year-old Brad Miller in an attempt to breathe some life
- Totally Unaltered Tweet: Brad Hand, Practicing Dramaturgist
The following tweet -- concerning primarily Miami left-hander Brad Hand's involvement in the theater arts -- is entirely and in-no-way altered from the original (click to embiggen):
- Animated GIF File: Nelson Figueroa Is Neither Menacing, Violent
The reader might have suspected for a moment -- for a rather a long moment, in fact, full of terror on all sides -- that Reno Aces right-hander Nelson Figueroa was intent on throwing a baseball
- Jimmy Nelson's Rising Stock
Does Jimmy Nelson have the best pure stuff in the Brewers organization? The answer is yes, or at least that's what a source who has closely followed the right-handed pitcher's career told me
- Brad Peacock: New Plumage in Houston
of the Bay Area is Brad Peacock, former Nationals blue-chipper who was moved to Oakland last offseason in the Gio Gonzalez deal. Many may remember there was a fair amount of sleeper buzz last spring
- Brad Lidge's Memorable Moment
If we were to sit down and create a list of the five most memorable baseball moments of the 21st century, the home run Albert Pujols hit off Brad Lidge in Game Three Five of the 2005 NLCS would
- Steven Spielberg's [Brad] Lincoln
Brad Lincoln is hunched in the waiting room of a doctor's office, world-weary and rain-soaked. Outside, rain falls steadily. Lincoln is approached by two children who, to his surprise, know who
- FanGraphs Audio: Inside the Clubhouse w/ Brad Lidge
David Laurila, curator of FanGraphs’ Q&A Series, talks with Washington Nationals reliever Brad Lidge about playing with a pair of phenoms, great sliders of yore, and the prospect
- Brad Grant on Scouting Francisco Lindor
When the Indians took Francisco Lindor with the 8th-overall pick in last year’s draft, they brought into the fold -- in the opinion of scouting director Brad Grant -- “a potential Gold Glove
- Brad Hawpe Resurrects in Texas
The likelihood of the Texas Rangers signing Prince Fielder grew even slimmer on Friday when the team opted to take a cheaper route and sign Brad Hawpe to a minor league league deal. Hawpe, who
- Nelson Cruz Could Have Been on Your Team
Nelson Cruz compiled yet another solid campaign for a corner outfielder, hitting .263/.312/.509 with 29 home runs in 124 games. The 31-year-old Dominican has always been known for his behemoth-like
- A Chat With "Moneyball" Star Brad Pitt
This past weekend, I had the great honor of sitting down with two-time Academy Award nominated actor and star of the upcoming film "Moneyball," Brad Pitt. In the film, Pitt plays Oakland Athletics
- GIFs: Brad Peacock Has a Curveball
Washington National righty Brad Peacock made his first major-league start Wednesday night -- an appearance that was much anticipated by the present author, if by few others. The 23-year-old
- Nelson Cruz Replacements: Waiver Wire
There are three certainties in life: death, taxes, and Nelson Cruz hamstring injuries. The Texas slugger missed 54 games in 2010 and was on the DL three separate times thanks to his hamstrings. He
- Brad Lidge, Velocity and Trevor Hoffman
Brad Lidge didn't top 90 on the radar gun Monday.
Sure, yesterday was a big first step for the 34-year-old reliever. The first appearance of the year -- especially when it happens this late
- Brad Hawpe: Back From The Dead
I'm not sure about you, but there always seems to be that one player that ends up on my team(s) year after year. Right now that guy is Ryan Raburn, but over the least few years it was Brad Hawpe
- The 2011 Brad Emaus All-Stars
is no different, and with an idea sparked from Eric Seidman’s piece yesterday on Brad Emaus -- an article that the Mets completely ignored when they waived him today -- I present the 2011 Brad Emaus
- Replacing Brad Lidge
is closer Brad Lidge, who will miss 3-6 weeks before he can begin throwing again. When healthy, Lidge has proven to be one of the most dominant relievers in the game. To replace that dominance
- Texas Is Boring, or Why Nelson Cruz Is Underhyped
is Hamilton's fellow-outfielder-and-Ranger, the titular Nelson Cruz. On a per-PA basis, one could argue that Cruz has actually been better than Hamilton (2010's American League Most Valuable Player) over the last
- FanGraphs Audio: Rob Nelson of Big League Chew
A Day in the Life of an Idea Man
Rob Nelson, Inventor of Big League Chew
Finally, you can subscribe to the podcast via iTunes or other feeder things.
Audio on the flip-flop
- Nelson Figueroa Is Still Good
We know Ed Wade loves his former Phillies. The Astros rotation currently contains three former Phillies pitchers (J.A. Happ, Brett Myers, and Nelson Figueroa), with Figueroa being the latest to get
- Brad Bergesen: Servicable or Bust?
Brad Bergesen's player profile here at FanGraphs has been playing mind games with me for a few days. Simply put, it's tough to get a good handle on what to expect from this guy. I really do enjoy
- Nelson Cruz's Contact
Nelson Cruz has the fifth lowest contact rate of any hitter in baseball this year, with his 67.9% rate sandwiching him right between Howard and Cust. However, his K% isn't anywhere near
- The Underrated Brad Bergesen
Yards, Brad Bergesen and his 89 MPH fastball has snuck into the team photo and is threatening to stick around. I'm going to go so far as to say he's the best pitcher that most people have never heard
- Brad Lidge's Issues
Of all of the pitchers struggling on the Phillies, Brad Lidge is the most surprising. A glance at the relievers’ WAR board has Lidge firmly at the bottom of the totem pole; something unimaginable
- Nelson's Sweet Swing
At 28 years old, Nelson Cruz is not much of a prospect anymore relative to the traditional usage of the term, but he is definitely going to great lengths to rid the Quad-A reputation he has developed
- Mighty Joe Nelson
On Friday, the Florida Marlins non-tendered right-handed reliever Joe Nelson, officially allowing him to hit the open market. While the market for relief pitchers has not been as lucrative
- Has Nelson Cruz Broken His Quad-A Ceiling?
possess the skills to thrive at the highest level of competition.
Coming into the 2008 season, Rangers outfielder Nelson Cruz appeared to fit the label to a T. The 6-3, 230 pounder (who also toiled
- Brad Ziegler's Excellent Adventure
Oakland A's submariner Brad Ziegler took a rather circuitous route to major league success. Originally a 20th round selection by Philadelphia Phillies in the 2003 amateur entry draft, Ziegler
- Meet Brad Ziegler
that simply can't be hit in the air (Brandon Webb, Chien-Ming Wang).
And then there's Brad Ziegler. He's a side-arm reliever for the A's, and his fastball tops out at about 86 MPH. It's basically
- Daily Graphing - Brad Penny
Brad Penny and Hee Seop Choi for Guillermo Mota, Paul LoDuca, and Juan Encarnacion. That trade made two years ago was most likely Paul DePodesta's defining transaction as GM of the Dodgers. Nobody
- Daily Graphing - Brad Wilkerson
ESPN is reporting that Nationals players Brad Wilkerson, Terrmel Sledge, and a player to be named will be headed to the Rangers in exchange for Alfonso Soriano. After Brad Wilkerson hit a career
- Daily Graphing - Brad Lidge
There's been a lot of talk recently about the reason for Brad Lidge's NLCS game 5 blown save. One of the most common answers to that one blown save has been, "he's overworked". Let's see