|Debut: 2007 | BirthDate: 9/11/1983 | Team: Red Sox | Position: OF|
Profile: After rib injuries stole 2010 from Jacoby Ellsbury, he came back with a storm and won fantasy leagues by the bushel with his first 30/30 season in the Red Sox outfield. The real surprise wasn’t the .321 batting average or the 39 stolen bases, though. He hit 32 home runs! In twice the MLB plate appearances he accumulated last year, he’d hit 17 home runs. Regression is on the way, but it may not be complete. Jeff Zimmerman found that he added over 30 feet of distance to his batted balls in the second half and did have decent power coming up in the Minor Leagues. Let’s say he hits 20 home runs next year — that would be both regression and a great home run total for someone that is likely to steal around 40 bags once again. (Eno Sarris)
Quick Opinion: Jacoby Ellsbury had a 2011 that was so good that even a little regression will leave him with first-round type talent. As long as the ribs are fine.
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