Steamer Fantasy Baseball Auction Values Now Up

I’m happy to announce the fantasy values have come to FanGraphs+! Based on Steamer projections, these values are for standard, OBP, and “only” leagues based on the following descriptors: 12 teams, 23 starting lineup slots, $260 budget. They will appear on the projections’ leaderboard for FanGraphs+ subscribers.

The methodology for these values has long floated around the site, but there are a few minor changes that have been made to better the accuracy and efficacy of these values.

The replacement levels have been altered to cover a full league’s worth of players. In the past, we had assumed that the last round of two contained replacement players, but discarding this assumption leads to fuller, more accurate auction values. Now, the top 276 players are worth a combined $3120, which is the full budgeted amount for a 12-team auction draft.

In the past, we’d limited results to players that met a certain at-bat or innings threshold. This is no longer the case. However, there is still need for a baseline uninfluenced by low counting stats, the league averages and standard deviations were calculated using the players with at least 350 ABs or 40 IP.

Enjoy!




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Zach is the creator and co-author of RotoGraphs' Roto Riteup series, and RotoGraphs' second-longest tenured writer. You can follow him on twitter.
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snapper
Member
snapper

Can you possibly add values for AL and NL only leagues?

Thanks!

jmilman77
Member
jmilman77

I see they are separated by NL and AL. Do the values represent mixed league or single league values?

snapper
Member
snapper

Huh, missed that. They must be single league.

snapper
Member
snapper

Is this assuming a 1 C league? C’s are really undervalued.

snapper
Member
snapper

Thanks Zach.

Any plans to post 2 C price?

byron
Member
Member
byron

This is a cool experiment, but I think the comments are pointing out why it’s not particularly useful as-is. Different budgets, positional requirements, stats: until you can enter a custom league setup, I’m not sure how many people will get use out of this.

Mike D
Member
Member
Mike D

Agreed with byron and I think LPP has its calculation flaws, although you should have inputs similar to LPP before calculating a dollar value.

tylersnotes
Member

what threshold did you set for replacement level at each position? looking at your 2011 articles, i get the sense that there have been some fluctuations since then with 3b and C becoming a bit deeper and 2b becoming shallower.

felderman
Member
felderman

statistical neophyte question: if your league uses a 280 cap instead of a 260, would multiplying each value by 1.07 give you a comparable auction value?

cbosko
Member
cbosko

What would the auction value for these players be for a league that has a $400.00 team budget instead of $260.00?

sgtjunior
Member
Member
sgtjunior

Biggest question I have is how is it Cabrera’s value is lower than Pujols? If you switch to AL only, he is the only player to see his value diminish. Down to 4th behind even Prince. I see no statistical reason he should be higher than Miggy. What am I missing?

Mark
Member
Mark

So how do I see these auctionvalues??? Where do I go on your website??

wjylaw
Member
wjylaw

Billy Butler’s AL only number is ridiculously low at $14, and seems to indicate some kind of math error if you compare him to other players in the “DH” position. (notwithstanding the fact it’s an even more glaring error if you compare his stats to other 1B’s, where he qualifies this year)

jacob_m
Member
jacob_m

Looking at 5×5, it seems there are only 182 players at or above replacement and the sum of those reaches $1901. The total for the top 276 is of course lower since the remaining players are negative value.

Am I missing something?

jacob_m
Member
jacob_m

And the answer to my own question is yes. Never mind.

POPPYDIGITAL
Member
POPPYDIGITAL

gents, was having trouble computing what the proper starting amount would be for an 18-team 24 round draft for a H2H mixed league (C-1B-2B-3B-SS-OF-OF-OF-DH-SP-SP-SP-SP-SP-RP-RP + 8 bench). i couldn’t figure out which variables to use to get the correct proportions. here are some of the #s that i would think factor into this equation:

12 teams X $260 = 3,120
18 teams X $260 = 4,680

12 teams X 23 players taken = 276
18 teams X 24 players taken = 432

can you help? thanks

YankeeGM
Member
YankeeGM

Maybe you guys could post the values for your own leagues (Ottoneu)?

wpDiscuz