|Profile: In 2016, Carlos Santana posted career bests in: fWAR, wOBA, wRC+, SLG, ISO, OPS, K%, Hard%, HR/FB rate, and HR. No one should have doubted his ability to hit 30 HR (he had 27 twice before), but 2016 was definitely a career year. Early projections, as they should, suggest that Santana will regress toward his career norms, but if you are looking for a player who would be a good bet to repeat a breakout, Santana is where I'd gamble. After dealing with concussions that moved him away from C, and a failed experiment at 3B, and a rough 2015 marred by a season-long back injury that he never disclosed, 2016 showed what Santana can do when healthy and locked into a position that doesn't require squatting 5-6 days a week. Give me the over on his projections and target him as a 1B/CI/Util bat in all leagues, particularly OBP or points leagues. (Chad Young)|
The Quick Opinion: Any time a player has a career year at age 30, the inclination is to assume the regression monster is coming. But I think Carlos Santana can vanquish that evil beast, outdoing his projections and coming closer to repeating his 2016 than he is to regressing to his career numbers.