Help Support FanGraphs

Evan Longoria
Birthdate: 10/7/1985 (31 y, 5 m, 21 d)     Bats/Throws: R/R     Height/Weight: 6-2/180     Position: 3B
Drafted: 2006 June Amateur Draft - Round: 1, Pick: 3, Overall: 3, Team: Tampa Bay Devil Rays
Contract: $135.6M / 10 Years (2013 - 2022) + 1 Option Years
RotoWire News: Longoria (neck) will play third base and bat third in the lineup in Monday's Grapefruit League game against the Pirates, Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times reports. (3/20/2017)
Profiles:  2010  2011  2012  2013  2014  2015  2016  2017  (Click Year to Expand / Close)
Profile: Longoria's 36 home runs last year established a new career best as he eclipsed the 30-homer mark for the first time since 2013. His resurgence can be attributed to more pulled hard-hit fly balls — the kind of batted balls that most frequently clear outfield fences — than ever before. And he achieved the feat while almost perfectly replicating his career batting average. Unfortunately, that's where the good news ends. It's hard to know if the fly balls will keep coming, sure. Worse, though, is his walk rate declined for the fifth straight season, contributing to his hemorrhaging 50 points of on-base percentage (OBP) during that time. His power, while flashy, couldn't make up for his losses, as evidenced by the third-worst weighted runs created plus (wRC+) of his career, better than only his other two most recent seasons. The problem: Longoria is becoming less patient, and you'll be hard-pressed to convince this author it doesn't correlate with his offensive woes. In traditional average-based leagues, Longoria is still the same ol' Longo we've come to know and love; the selectiveness doesn't particularly concern us. But in OBP leagues or points-based formats that reward walks, he might be in irreversible decline. Per ESPN's Player Rater, he ranked only seventh among pure third basemen due to superior alternatives and a weak supporting cast in St. Petersburg. Early returns on ADP show he's not too expensive, but there's also not as much upside as you might hope or expect. (Alex Chamberlain)

The Quick Opinion: Longoria's home run explosion masked the problems under the hood - namely, his swing-happy tendencies that have dismantled his walk rate. OBP losses and the Rays' lackluster offense weaken his projections despite the possibility of a revived power stroke. He's a top-10 third baseman you might be wise to fade in 2017.

If you would like to make a projection for this player, please Log In or Register.

2009Batting 7th1110000000000000000.000
TotalBatting 7th1110000000000000000.000

2009Batting 7th0.0 %0.0 %
TotalBatting 7th0.0 %0.0 %

SeasonBatting 7thGB/FBLD%GB%FB%IFFB%HR/FBIFH%BUH%Pull%Cent%Oppo%Soft%Med%Hard%PitchesBallsStrikes
2009Batting 7th0.000.0 %0.0 %100.0 %0.0 %0.0 %0.0 %0.0 %0.0 %0.0 %100.0 %0.0 %0.0 %100.0 %101
TotalBatting 7th0.000.0 %0.0 %100.0 %0.0 %0.0 %0.0 %0.0 %0.0 %0.0 %100.0 %0.0 %0.0 %100.0 %101