The daily grind: 4-30-13

The Daily Grind provides daily match-up advice for tinkerers and daily fantasy players. I welcome advice to help make this column more effective, including notice of impending weather events, new injuries, and changes to platoon situations. Ownership rates are from Yahoo!

The daily picks are a mixture of Daily League specific advice and information for the more typical fantasy owner.

Today’s grind

Pitcher (to start): Zach McAllister will face a Phillies lineup that should be a little bit better with the return of Carlos Ruiz.

As I noted yesterday, Kevin Slowey has worked his way back into my good graces. In particular, an increased swinging strike rate and excellent control should result in an ERA around my 4.00 target for waiver pitchers.

I’m grudgingly using Jose Quintana against the Rangers in a league where I own him outright.

Pitcher (bum): Four pitchers have particularly difficult assignments today.

Jarrod Parker will face the Angels.

Vance Worley takes on the Tigers.

The Orioles will see Brandon Maurer, who is showing signs of settling down.

Philip Humber has the easiest match-up against a home run happy Yankees lineup.

Hitter (power): Yankees believers should keep using Travis Hafner.

Chris Johnson should get the start against Gio Gonzalez, but this isn’t choice number one.

Brandon Moss and Seth Smith are part of the template. They face fastball-dependent Garrett Richards.

Hitter (speed): The speed crowd is starting to hit the waiver wires and find more real life playing time.

Rajai Davis has a difficult match-up against Jon Lester, but he’ll try to swipe a base if he reaches.

Craig Gentry will start against Quintana.

Retroactive Review: Ace
Looking back at some of Justin Verlander's most interesting moments.

Juan Pierre should find few problems slapping at Jeremy Hefner‘s offerings.

Tomorrow’s grind

Pitcher (to start): I picked up Dillon Gee but I’m unsure if I’ll start him. I need to analyze this current funk. Do note that he’s playing the Marlins tomorrow.

David Phelps will rarely earn notice in this column, but a match-up with the Astros is hard to pass up.

Trevor Bauer will challenge Cliff Lee and the Phillies. I’m not rushing out to own this match-up, but Bauer’s pedigree means that this is your one shot to own him—if you want to.

Andrew Cashner‘s ownership is up from 10 percent last week to 26 percent now. I didn’t think I’d get a second chance to recommend him, but a match-up with the Cubs is good for him.

Something has me uncomfortable about Wei-Yin Chen still, but the Mariners offense is non-threatening and Aaron Harang is particularly flammable.

Pitcher (bum): As I just mentioned, Harang seems to catch fire early and often. In a bad way.

Erik Bedard is struggling mightily.

Hitter (power): Jonny Gomes will see Mark Buehrle.

Hitter (speed): Try Will Venable against Scott Feldman.

Continue with Pierre. The Mets’ shoddy defense should increase his odds of reaching base.

You can hold Gentry too, although Chris Sale is not an easy assignment.

Noteworthy news

The Marlins’ only hitter, Giancarlo Stanton, has hit the 15 day disabled list. Marcell Ozuna has been recalled. He’s a solid four or five category prospect. He’s worth a shot if you need outfield help.

Weather watch

Looks like a great weather day.

Good enough for me

Ruiz is shockingly owned in only 30 percent of leagues, probably by the resident Phillies fans. He’s a good bet to be a top 10 catcher and middle-of-the-lineup threat over the rest of the season, so pick him up!


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Brad Johnson
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Brad Johnson

My news filter somehow failed to pick up on Stephen Strasburg’s forearm tightness. No details as yet.

ABSkippers
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ABSkippers
So this is the ultimate question for the Daily Grind.  I play in a 12-team mixed keeper league (5 keepers) which is pretty stash happy with the minor leaguers (4 bench slots, 1 DL).  Granted, the guys who were stashing Trout and Harper in 2011 are sitting on some valuable assets ($6 a piece this year), but I have been a committed grinder (I always lead my league in transactions) and rode the Brandon Moss, Chris Carter, and Rajai Davis trains to first place last year. However, the one current minor leaguer out there on our waiver wire is Billy… Read more »
Brad Johnson
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Brad Johnson
This is a cop out answer, but I don’t think either choice is “wrong.” I’m not a huge believer in Hamilton as a star for what it’s worth, and I think it’s unlikely that he gets any real action this season. Maybe PR duties in September. The 100 SB is nice for that category auto-win, but that lends itself to building an unbalanced roster to make up the deficit in HR/RBI/AVG. If Hamilton were to get hurt or fall into Dusty’s bad graces, you’re suddenly working a punt on steals. Of course, if you can comfortably fit Hamilton onto your… Read more »
Danny
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Danny
Brad, you’ve helped me into fantasy baseball over the past two years, and I occasionally look at this daily grind for advice on matchups if I have a free roster spot and an immediate need for an easy stat steal.  But honestly, lately, it’s become predictable.  You always tell me to pick up Dillon Gee (despite the fact that he’s been sucking), grab Davis or Pierre if I need a SB, avoid Kyle Kindrick (despite the fact that he’s finally pitching well), and whether Gentry will be starting or not.  The grind has become exactly that: a grind of recycled… Read more »
Brad Johnson
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Brad Johnson
Danny, I appreciate the critique. Unfortunately, the scope of this column lends itself to predictable suggestions. I think you’ll find that I usually have more nuanced advice in the comments and I started the “good enough for me” section to inject some of that into the column. Ultimately, I have more ambitious projects planned for the future, but the Grind is designed to be a simplified meeting space to discuss daily roster moves in traditional fantasy leagues. In software parlance, the repetitive nature of the column is a feature, not a bug. As for Gee, I still see a useful… Read more »
Danny
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Danny

Yeah, I realized after I posted my comment that there really isn’t a better way to do this article.  Like you said, “the scope of the column lends itself to predictable suggestions.”  Sorry if it looked like I was ripping into you; I really do appreciate your advice, I think I was just bitter cause I’m looking for a new edge in my league, and can’t find it.  How do you feel about that kid in Milwaukee, Burgos?  This year’s Fiers?

Brad Johnson
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Brad Johnson

I almost recommended him for his first match-up, but I haven’t watched him pitch yet and I try not recommend for or against players that I haven’t personally scouted. Not that I’m an awesome scout or anything, but I do find visual impressions are helpful for interpreting stats.

That said…I’m generally very bearish on rookies who throw 87 and show very low swinging strike rates. Fiers at least came in and racked up K’s, Burgos doesn’t seemed destined to do that.

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