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Contract Crowdsourcing 2017-18: Ballot 12 of 15

Free agency begins five days after the end of the World Series. As in other recent offseasons, FanGraphs is once again facilitating this offseason a contract-crowdsourcing project, the idea being to harness the wisdom of the crowds to the end of better understanding the 2017-18 free-agent market.

Below are links to ballots for five of this year’s free agents, all of them relief types.

Other Players: Yonder Alonso / Jake Arrieta / Alex Avila / Jose Bautista / Carlos Beltran / Jay Bruce / Melky Cabrera / Trevor Cahill / Welington Castillo / Lorenzo Cain / Andrew Cashner / Jhoulys Chacin / Alex Cobb / Bartolo Colon / Zack Cozart / Johnny Cueto / Yu Darvish / Lucas Duda / Jarrod Dyson / Alcides Escobar / Yunel Escobar / Doug Fister / Todd Frazier / Jaime Garcia / Carlos Gomez / Carlos Gonzalez / Miguel Gonzalez / Curtis Granderson / Jeremy Hellickson / Matt Holliday / Eric Hosmer / Chris Iannetta / Jon Jay / Howie Kendrick / Francisco Liriano / Jonathan Lucroy / Lance Lynn / J.D. Martinez / Cameron Maybin / Mitch Moreland / Logan Morrison / Mike Moustakas / Ricky Nolasco / Eduardo Nunez / Brandon Phillips / Michael Pineda / Jose Reyes / CC Sabathia / Carlos Santana / Masahiro Tanaka / Chris Tillman / Justin Upton / Jason Vargas / Neil Walker / Jayson Werth.

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Matt Albers (Profile)
Some relevant information regarding Albers:

  • Has averaged 50 IP and 0.1 WAR over last three seasons.
  • Has averaged 0.1 WAR per 65 IP* over last three seasons.
  • Recorded a 0.8 WAR in 61.0 IP in 2017.
  • Is projected to record 0.5 WAR per 65 IP**.
  • Is entering his age-35 season.
  • Made $1.2M in 2017 as part of deal signed in March.

*That is, a roughly average number of innings for a reliever.
**Prorated version of final 2017 depth-chart projections available here.

Click here to estimate years and dollars for Albers.

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Contract Crowdsourcing 2017-18: Ballot 11 of 15

Free agency begins five days after the end of the World Series. As in other recent offseasons, FanGraphs is once again facilitating this offseason a contract-crowdsourcing project, the idea being to harness the wisdom of the crowds to the end of better understanding the 2017-18 free-agent market.

Below are links to ballots for five of this year’s free agents, all of them starting pitchers.

Other Players: Yonder Alonso / Jake Arrieta / Alex Avila / Jose Bautista / Carlos Beltran / Jay Bruce / Melky Cabrera / Trevor Cahill / Welington Castillo / Lorenzo Cain / Andrew Cashner / Jhoulys Chacin / Alex Cobb / Bartolo Colon / Zack Cozart / Johnny Cueto / Yu Darvish / Lucas Duda / Jarrod Dyson / Alcides Escobar / Yunel Escobar / Doug Fister / Todd Frazier / Jaime Garcia / Carlos Gomez / Carlos Gonzalez / Miguel Gonzalez / Curtis Granderson / Jeremy Hellickson / Matt Holliday / Eric Hosmer / Chris Iannetta / Jon Jay / Howie Kendrick / Francisco Liriano / Jonathan Lucroy / Lance Lynn / J.D. Martinez / Cameron Maybin / Mitch Moreland / Logan Morrison / Mike Moustakas / Ricky Nolasco / Eduardo Nunez / Brandon Phillips / Jose Reyes / Carlos Santana / Justin Upton / Neil Walker / Jayson Werth.

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Michael Pineda (Profile)
Some relevant information regarding Pineda:

  • Has averaged 144 IP and 2.6 WAR over last three seasons.
  • Has averaged 3.3 WAR per 180 IP over last three seasons*.
  • Recorded a 1.1 WAR in 96.1 IP in 2017.
  • Is projected to record 0.0 WAR per 180 IP**.
  • Is entering his age-29 season.
  • Made $7.4M in 2017 after avoiding arbitration in January.

*That is, a roughly average number of innings for a starting pitcher.
**That is, because he’s unlikely to pitch after undergoing Tommy John surgery this year.

Click here to estimate years and dollars for Pineda.

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Contract Crowdsourcing 2017-18: Ballot 10 of 15

Free agency begins five days after the end of the World Series. As in other recent offseasons, FanGraphs is once again facilitating this offseason a contract-crowdsourcing project, the idea being to harness the wisdom of the crowds to the end of better understanding the 2017-18 free-agent market.

Below are links to ballots for five of this year’s free agents — once again, most all of them starting pitchers.

Other Players: Yonder Alonso / Jake Arrieta / Alex Avila / Jose Bautista / Carlos Beltran / Jay Bruce / Melky Cabrera / Trevor Cahill / Welington Castillo / Lorenzo Cain / Andrew Cashner / Jhoulys Chacin / Alex Cobb / Bartolo Colon / Zack Cozart / Johnny Cueto / Yu Darvish / Lucas Duda / Jarrod Dyson / Alcides Escobar / Yunel Escobar / Doug Fister / Todd Frazier / Jaime Garcia / Carlos Gomez / Carlos Gonzalez / Curtis Granderson / Matt Holliday / Eric Hosmer / Chris Iannetta / Jon Jay / Howie Kendrick / Jonathan Lucroy / J.D. Martinez / Cameron Maybin / Mitch Moreland / Logan Morrison / Mike Moustakas / Eduardo Nunez / Brandon Phillips / Jose Reyes / Carlos Santana / Justin Upton / Neil Walker / Jayson Werth.

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Miguel Gonzalez (Profile)
Some relevant information regarding Gonzalez:

  • Has averaged 145 IP and 1.5 WAR over last three seasons.
  • Has averaged 1.9 WAR per 180 IP over last three seasons.
  • Recorded a 1.4 WAR in 156.0 IP in 2017.
  • Is projected to record 1.1 WAR per 180 IP**.
  • Is entering his age-34 season.
  • Made $5.9M in 2017 after avoiding arbitration in January.

*That is, a roughly average number of innings for a starting pitcher.
**Prorated version of final 2017 depth-chart projections available here.

Click here to estimate years and dollars for Gonzalez.

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Contract Crowdsourcing 2017-18: Ballot 9 of 15

Free agency begins five days after the end of the World Series. As in other recent offseasons, FanGraphs is once again facilitating this offseason a contract-crowdsourcing project, the idea being to harness the wisdom of the crowds to the end of better understanding the 2017-18 free-agent market.

Below are links to ballots for five of this year’s free agents, all of them starting pitchers, probably.

Other Players: Yonder Alonso / Jake Arrieta / Alex Avila / Jose Bautista / Carlos Beltran / Jay Bruce / Melky Cabrera / Trevor Cahill / Welington Castillo / Lorenzo Cain / Andrew Cashner / Jhoulys Chacin / Alex Cobb / Zack Cozart / Jarrod Dyson / Lucas Duda / Alcides Escobar / Yunel Escobar / Todd Frazier / Carlos Gomez / Carlos Gonzalez / Curtis Granderson / Matt Holliday / Eric Hosmer / Chris Iannetta / Jon Jay / Howie Kendrick / Jonathan Lucroy / J.D. Martinez / Cameron Maybin / Mitch Moreland / Logan Morrison / Mike Moustakas / Eduardo Nunez / Brandon Phillips / Jose Reyes / Carlos Santana / Justin Upton / Neil Walker / Jayson Werth.

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Bartolo Colon (Profile)
Some relevant information regarding Colon:

  • Has averaged 176 IP and 2.0 WAR over last three seasons.
  • Has averaged 2.0 WAR per 180 IP over last three seasons.
  • Recorded a 0.6 WAR in 143.0 IP in 2017.
  • Is projected to record 1.5 WAR per 180 IP**.
  • Is entering his age-∞ season.
  • Made ca. $12.5M in 2017 as part of deal signed in November 2016.

*That is, a roughly average number of innings for a starting pitcher.
**Prorated version of final 2017 depth-chart projections available here.

Click here to estimate years and dollars for Colon.

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FanGraphs Audio: The Unusual Prospect Trajectories of Certain Astros, Dodgers

Episode 780
Like any pair of clubs, the pair of clubs currently participating in the World Series features certain players who’ve achieved major-league relevance by atypical means. Lead prospect analyst Eric Longenhagen discusses that topic and also not that topic.

Don’t hesitate to direct pod-related correspondence to @cistulli on Twitter.

You can subscribe to the podcast via iTunes or other feeder things.

Audio after the jump. (Approximately 1 hr 2 min play time.)

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Contract Crowdsourcing 2017-18: Ballot 8 of 15

Free agency begins five days after the end of the World Series. As in other recent offseasons, FanGraphs is once again facilitating this offseason a contract-crowdsourcing project, the idea being to harness the wisdom of the crowds to the end of better understanding the 2017-18 free-agent market.

Below are links to ballots for five of this year’s free agents, all of them starting pitchers or probably starting pitchers.

Other Players: Yonder Alonso / Alex Avila / Jose Bautista / Carlos Beltran / Jay Bruce / Melky Cabrera / Welington Castillo / Lorenzo Cain / Zack Cozart / Jarrod Dyson / Lucas Duda / Alcides Escobar / Yunel Escobar / Todd Frazier / Carlos Gomez / Carlos Gonzalez / Curtis Granderson / Matt Holliday / Eric Hosmer / Chris Iannetta / Jon Jay / Howie Kendrick / Jonathan Lucroy / J.D. Martinez / Cameron Maybin / Mitch Moreland / Logan Morrison / Mike Moustakas / Eduardo Nunez / Brandon Phillips / Jose Reyes / Carlos Santana / Justin Upton / Neil Walker / Jayson Werth.

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Jake Arrieta (Profile)
Some relevant information regarding Arrieta:

  • Has averaged 198 IP and 4.5 WAR over last three seasons.
  • Has averaged 4.1 WAR per 180 IP over last three seasons.
  • Recorded a 2.4 WAR in 168.1 IP in 2017.
  • Is projected to record 3.3 WAR per 180 IP**.
  • Is entering his age-32 season.
  • Made $15.6M in 2017 after avoiding arbitration in January.

*That is, a roughly average number of innings for a starting pitcher.
**Prorated version of final 2017 depth-chart projections available here.

Click here to estimate years and dollars for Arrieta.

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The Defensive Runs Saved by Chris Taylor’s Hat

My father’s an avid tennis player, and there’s this thing he says anytime — or, because he’s a dad, precisely every time — he mis-hits a ball for an accidental winner. “Welp, I paid for the whole racquet,” is what he says. It’s a goofy way of acknowledging some good fortune, of apologizing for having benefited from something other than one’s actual skill.

The Los Angeles Dodgers pay Chris Taylor mostly for what he does with his bat and his glove and legs. But they employ the whole Chris Taylor. And while there was no reason to care about it before last night, one is compelled to acknowledge today that the whole Chris Taylor includes Chris Taylor’s ball cap.

Here’s why that’s relevant. With one out, runners on first and third, and the scored tied at 0-0, Houston’s Alex Bregman hit a liner to center field. What happened next actually kinda did shock everyone.

For those who haven’t fully pivoted to video, the footage above depicts center fielder Chris Taylor diving for Bregman’s liner, missing Bregman’s liner, and then somehow deflecting Bregman’s liner to left fielder Joc Pederson by means of his hat. While the base hit allowed Josh Reddick to score from third, the ricochet to Pederson forced George Springer to stop at second, limiting Bregman to a single. Rich Hill would strike out the next two batters. No further runs would score.

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Contract Crowdsourcing 2017-18: Ballot 7 of 15

Free agency begins five days after the end of the World Series. As in other recent offseasons, FanGraphs is once again facilitating this offseason a contract-crowdsourcing project, the idea being to harness the wisdom of the crowds to the end of better understanding the 2017-18 free-agent market.

Below are links to ballots for five of this year’s free agents, a collection of corner types and designated hitters.

Other Players: Yonder Alonso / Alex Avila / Jose Bautista / Jay Bruce / Melky Cabrera / Welington Castillo / Lorenzo Cain / Zack Cozart / Jarrod Dyson / Lucas Duda / Alcides Escobar / Yunel Escobar / Todd Frazier / Carlos Gomez / Carlos Gonzalez / Curtis Granderson / Eric Hosmer / Chris Iannetta / Jon Jay / Howie Kendrick / Jonathan Lucroy / Cameron Maybin / Mitch Moreland / Logan Morrison / Mike Moustakas / Eduardo Nunez / Brandon Phillips / Jose Reyes / Carlos Santana / Neil Walker.

***

J.D. Martinez (Profile)
Some relevant information regarding Martinez:

  • Has averaged 554 PA and 3.5 WAR over last three seasons.
  • Has averaged 3.8 WAR per 600 PA* over last three seasons.
  • Recorded a 3.8 WAR in 489 PA in 2017.
  • Is projected to record 2.7 WAR per 600 PA**.
  • Is entering his age-30 season.
  • Made $11.8M in 2017 as part of deal signed in February 2016.

*That is, a roughly average number of plate appearances for a starter.
**Prorated version of final 2017 depth-chart projections available here.

Click here to estimate years and dollars for Martinez.

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Contract Crowdsourcing 2017-18: Ballot 6 of 15

Free agency begins five days after the end of the World Series. As in other recent offseasons, FanGraphs is once again facilitating this offseason a contract-crowdsourcing project, the idea being to harness the wisdom of the crowds to the end of better understanding the 2017-18 free-agent market.

Below are links to ballots for five of this year’s free agents, all of them corner-outfield types.

Other Players: Yonder Alonso / Alex Avila / Welington Castillo / Lorenzo Cain / Zack Cozart / Jarrod Dyson / Lucas Duda / Alcides Escobar / Yunel Escobar / Todd Frazier / Carlos Gomez / Eric Hosmer / Chris Iannetta / Jon Jay / Howie Kendrick / Jonathan Lucroy / Cameron Maybin / Mitch Moreland / Logan Morrison / Mike Moustakas / Eduardo Nunez / Brandon Phillips / Jose Reyes / Carlos Santana / Neil Walker.

***

Jose Bautista (Profile)
Some relevant information regarding Bautista:

  • Has averaged 623 PA and 1.8 WAR over last three seasons.
  • Has averaged 1.7 WAR per 600 PA* over last three seasons.
  • Recorded a -0.5 WAR in 686 PA in 2017.
  • Is projected to record 1.7 WAR per 600 PA**.
  • Is entering his age-37 season.
  • Made $18.5M in 2017 as part of deal signed in January.

*That is, a roughly average number of plate appearances for a starter.
**Prorated version of final 2017 depth-chart projections available here.

Click here to estimate years and dollars for Bautista.

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FanGraphs Audio: Establishing the Curveball

Episode 779
Baseball orthodoxy suggests that it’s necessary for a pitcher to “establish the fastball” before turning to his secondary pitches, no matter their objective quality. In Game 7 of the ALCS, meanwhile, Houston right-hander Lance McCullers threw 24 consecutive curves en route to a dominant four-inning relief appearance. This is merely one of the obnoxious paradoxes presented to managing editor Dave Cameron on this edition of FanGraphs Audio.

Don’t hesitate to direct pod-related correspondence to @cistulli on Twitter.

You can subscribe to the podcast via iTunes or other feeder things.

Audio after the jump. (Approximately 41 min play time.)

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Contract Crowdsourcing 2017-18: Ballot 5 of 15

Free agency begins five days after the end of the World Series. As in other recent offseasons, FanGraphs is once again facilitating this offseason a contract-crowdsourcing project, the idea being to harness the wisdom of the crowds to the end of better understanding the 2017-18 free-agent market.

Below are links to ballots for five of this year’s free agents, all of them outfield types.

Other Players: Yonder Alonso / Alex Avila / Welington Castillo / Zack Cozart / Lucas Duda / Alcides Escobar / Yunel Escobar / Todd Frazier / Eric Hosmer / Chris Iannetta / Howie Kendrick / Jonathan Lucroy / Mitch Moreland / Logan Morrison / Mike Moustakas / Eduardo Nunez / Brandon Phillips / Jose Reyes / Carlos Santana / Neil Walker.

***

Lorenzo Cain (Profile)
Some relevant information regarding Cain:

  • Has averaged 561 PA and 4.4 WAR over last three seasons.
  • Has averaged 4.7 WAR per 600 PA* over last three seasons.
  • Recorded a 4.1 WAR in 645 PA in 2017.
  • Is projected to record 3.6 WAR per 600 PA**.
  • Is entering his age-32 season.
  • Made $11.0M in 2017 as part of extension signed in January 2016.

*That is, a roughly average number of plate appearances for a starter.
**Prorated version of final 2017 depth-chart projections available here.

Click here to estimate years and dollars for Cain.

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Contract Crowdsourcing 2017-18: Ballot 4 of 15

Free agency begins five days after the end of the World Series. As in other recent offseasons, FanGraphs is once again facilitating this offseason a contract-crowdsourcing project, the idea being to harness the wisdom of the crowds to the end of better understanding the 2017-18 free-agent market.

Below are links to ballots for five of this year’s free agents, including a shortstop and some not-shortstops.

Other Players: Yonder Alonso / Alex Avila / Welington Castillo / Zack Cozart / Lucas Duda / Eric Hosmer / Chris Iannetta / Howie Kendrick / Jonathan Lucroy / Mitch Moreland / Logan Morrison / Eduardo Nunez / Brandon Phillips / Carlos Santana / Neil Walker.

***

Alcides Escobar (Profile)
Some relevant information regarding A. Escobar:

  • Has averaged 658 PA and 0.8 WAR over last three seasons.
  • Has averaged 0.8 WAR per 600 PA* over last three seasons.
  • Recorded a 0.5 WAR in 629 PA in 2017.
  • Is projected to record 0.5 WAR per 600 PA**.
  • Is entering his age-31 season.
  • Made $6.5M in 2017 as part of deal signed in March 2012.

*That is, a roughly average number of plate appearances for a starter.
**Prorated version of final 2017 depth-chart projections available here.

Click here to estimate years and dollars for A. Escobar.

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Contract Crowdsourcing 2017-18: Ballot 3 of 15

Free agency begins five days after the end of the World Series. As in other recent offseasons, FanGraphs is once again facilitating this offseason a contract-crowdsourcing project, the idea being to harness the wisdom of the crowds to the end of better understanding the 2017-18 free-agent market.

Below are links to ballots for five of this year’s free agents, including a number of infield types.

Other Players: Yonder Alonso / Alex Avila / Welington Castillo / Lucas Duda / Eric Hosmer / Chris Iannetta / Jonathan Lucroy / Mitch Moreland / Logan Morrison / Carlos Santana.

***

Howie Kendrick (Profile)
Some relevant information regarding Kendrick:

  • Has averaged 457 PA and 1.5 WAR over last three seasons.
  • Has averaged 2.0 WAR per 600 PA* over last three seasons.
  • Recorded a 1.6 WAR in 334 PA in 2017.
  • Is projected to record 1.5 WAR per 600 PA**.
  • Is entering his age-34 season.
  • Made $10.0M in 2017 as part of deal signed in February 2016.

*That is, a roughly average number of plate appearances for a starter.
**Prorated version of final 2017 depth-chart projections available here.

Click here to estimate years and dollars for Kendrick.

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FanGraphs Audio: The Postseason Episode, Part Two

Episode 778
Baseball’s championship series are now complete or nearly complete. Managing editor Dave Cameron discusses them exclusively or nearly exclusively.

Don’t hesitate to direct pod-related correspondence to @cistulli on Twitter.

You can subscribe to the podcast via iTunes or other feeder things.

Audio after the jump. (Approximately 41 min play time.)

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Contract Crowdsourcing 2017-18: Ballot 2 of 15

Free agency begins five days after the end of the World Series. As in other recent offseasons, FanGraphs is once again facilitating this offseason a contract-crowdsourcing project, the idea being to harness the wisdom of the crowds to the end of better understanding the 2017-18 free-agent market.

Below are links to ballots for five of this year’s free agents, all of them first basemen.

Other Players: Yonder Alonso / Alex Avila / Welington Castillo / Chris Iannetta / Jonathan Lucroy.

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Lucas Duda (Profile)
Some relevant information regarding Duda:

  • Has averaged 406 PA and 1.4 WAR over last three seasons.
  • Has averaged 2.1 WAR per 600 PA* over last three seasons.
  • Recorded a 1.1 WAR in 491 PA in 2017.
  • Is projected to record 2.1 WAR per 600 PA**.
  • Is entering his age-32 season.
  • Made $7.3M in 2017 after avoiding arbitration in January.

*That is, a roughly average number of plate appearances for a starter.
**Prorated version of final 2017 depth-chart projections available here.

Click here to estimate years and dollars for Duda.

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FanGraphs Audio: Travis Sawchik’s Moral Predicament

Episode 777
Travis Sawchik recently won his second consecutive title in the simulation baseball league of which he and a number of major-league beat reporters are a part. The tactics on which he’s relied for success, however, are the very sort that he’s condemned in actual baseball. Will he be able to sleep at night? Should he be able to? These are merely two of the questions he’s reluctant to answer on this edition of FanGraphs Audio.

Don’t hesitate to direct pod-related correspondence to @cistulli on Twitter.

You can subscribe to the podcast via iTunes or other feeder things.

Audio after the jump. (Approximately 1 hr 16 min play time.)

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Contract Crowdsourcing 2017-18: Ballot 1 of 15

Free agency begins five days after the end of the World Series. As in other recent offseasons, FanGraphs is once again facilitating this offseason a contract-crowdsourcing project, the idea being to harness the wisdom of the crowds to the end of better understanding the 2017-18 free-agent market.

Below are links to ballots for five of this year’s free agents, including four catchers and also Yonder Alonso.

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Alex Avila (Profile)
Some relevant information regarding Avila:

  • Has averaged 268 PA and 1.3 WAR over last three seasons.
  • Has averaged 2.2 WAR per 450 PA* over last three seasons.
  • Recorded a 2.5 WAR in 376 PA in 2017.
  • Is projected to record 1.7 WAR per 450 PA**.
  • Is entering his age-31 season.
  • Made $2.0M in 2017, as part of deal signed in December 2016.

*That is, a roughly average number of plate appearances for a starting catcher.
**Prorated version of final 2017 depth-chart projections available here.

Click here to estimate years and dollars for Avila.

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FanGraphs Audio: Mike Hattery, FanGraphs Resident for September

Episode 776
Mike Hattery is a contributor to Cleveland sports weblog Waiting for Next Year and served as FanGraphs’ writer-in-residence for the month of September. He’s also the guest on this edition of FanGraphs Audio.

Don’t hesitate to direct pod-related correspondence to @cistulli on Twitter.

You can subscribe to the podcast via iTunes or other feeder things.

Audio after the jump. (Approximately 1 hr 5 min play time.)

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FanGraphs Audio: The Postseason Episode, Part One

Episode 775
All of baseball’s division series are complete or nearly complete. Managing editor Dave Cameron discusses them exclusively or nearly exclusively.

Don’t hesitate to direct pod-related correspondence to @cistulli on Twitter.

You can subscribe to the podcast via iTunes or other feeder things.

Audio after the jump. (Approximately 43 min play time.)

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FanGraphs Audio: The Evolving Criteria of the Pitching Prospect

Episode 774
There is, technically, such a thing as a pitching prospect; the presence of pitchers on draft boards and top-100 lists suggests as much. As the profile of the major-league pitcher evolves, however, so does the criteria by which minor leaguers and amateur talent have to be assessed. Should evaluators employ a “minimum acceptable velocity”? How ought the chance of injury be integrated into a Future Value grade? Guest Eric Longenhagen answers questions very similar to these, if not these questions exactly.

Don’t hesitate to direct pod-related correspondence to @cistulli on Twitter.

You can subscribe to the podcast via iTunes or other feeder things.

Audio after the jump. (Approximately 56 min play time.)

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