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2018 Trade Value: #21 to #30

Noah Syndergaard’s velocity is a mixed blessing in terms of long-term value.
(Photo: Keith Allison)

As is the annual tradition at FanGraphs, we’re using the week of the All-Star Game — while the industry pauses to take a metaphorical breather — to take stock of the top-50 trade assets in the sport. For more context on exactly what we’re trying to do here, see the honorable-mentions post linked at the top of the page.

For this post and the others in this series, I’ve presented a graphic (by way of the wizard Sean Dolinar) breaking down each player’s objective skill level (represented, in this case, by a five-year WAR projection from ZiPS), contract/team-control details, rank in last year’s series, and then year-by-year details of age/WAR/contract through 2023, although a couple players have control beyond those five years. For those readers who are partial to spreadsheets rather than blocks of text, I’ve also included all the players we’ve ranked so far are in grid format at the bottom of the post.

The ZiPS WAR forecasts did influence the rankings a bit: for players who were bunched together, it acted as an impartial tiebreaker of sorts, but the industry opinions I solicited drove the rankings.

With that said, let’s get to the next 10 spots on the Trade Value list this year.

Five-Year WAR +20.8
Guaranteed Dollars
Team Control Through 2023
Previous Rank
Year Age Projected WAR Contract Status
2019 25 +3.1 Pre-Arb
2020 26 +4.0 Pre-Arb
2021 27 +4.3 Arb1
2022 28 +4.6 Arb2
2023 29 +4.8 Arb3
Pre-Arb
Arb

Ohtani was ticketed before the season to appear much higher than this, but some concern about an imperfect UCL has now turned to what most feel is an inevitable Tommy John surgery at some point during the course of his six controlled years. If you remove much of this year on the mound from his cost-controlled seasons, take away another 12-18 months for surgery, and add to that some uncertainty about whether the stuff/feel/stamina comes all the way back, and we’re now talking about three or four years of a premium but somewhat risky talent. If you look around, that’s roughly where he’s landed as far as comps. While the expectation of health has shifted south a bit since Opening Day, the evaluation of his talent has moved north a bit, both as a pitcher and hitter, following his uneven looks in spring training.

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Kiley McDaniel Chat – 7/18/18

12:09

Kiley McDaniel: Hello and welcome to this baseball chat. First some links

12:09

Kiley McDaniel: Eric wrote about how African American players stood out at the Futures Game and also in the 2019 draft class and what that could mean: https://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/the-futures-game-was-black/

12:10

Kiley McDaniel: And I’m currently going through the annual trade value rankings, with 21 thru 30 likely getting posted during this chat: https://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/2018-trade-value-31-to-40/

12:10

Tony Womack: Sanchez’s WAR projections seemed low. Would his ranking differ if he was projected 3-4 WAR?

12:11

Kiley McDaniel: Struck me as a little low as well. The WAR figures for catchers impact the rankings the least, since they don’t include framing and the non-WAR abilities that catchers bring to the table (handling a staff, mental game, etc.) are the most notable of any other position.

12:11

Sats: Is Victor Victor Mesa a potential top 25 prospect, and what kind of grades would you put on his tools

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2018 Trade Value: #31 to #40

Jose Altuve will not be constrained by your “aging curves.”
(Photo: Keith Allison)

As is the annual tradition at FanGraphs, we’re using the week of the All-Star Game — while the industry pauses to take a metaphorical breather — to take stock of the top-50 trade assets in the sport. For more context on exactly what we’re trying to do here, see the honorable-mentions post linked at the top of the page.

For this post and the others in this series, I’ve presented a graphic (by way of the wizard Sean Dolinar) breaking down each player’s objective skill level (represented, in this case, by a five-year WAR projection from ZiPS), contract/team-control details, rank in last year’s series, and then year-by-year details of age/WAR/contract through 2023, although a couple players have control beyond those five years. For those readers who are partial to spreadsheets rather than blocks of text, I’ve also included all the players we’ve ranked so far are in grid format at the bottom of the post.

The ZiPS WAR forecasts did influence the rankings a bit: for players who were bunched together, it acted as an impartial tiebreaker of sorts, but the industry opinions I solicited drove the rankings.

With that said, let’s get to the next 10 spots on the Trade Value list this year.

Five-Year WAR +14.5
Guaranteed Dollars
Team Control Through 2024
Previous Rank
Year Age Projected WAR Contract Status
2019 23 +2.8 Pre-Arb
2020 24 +3.0 Pre-Arb
2021 25 +3.0 Arb1
2022 26 +2.8 Arb2
2023 27 +2.9 Arb3
Pre-Arb
Arb

I feel like I’m supposed to kick this off with a Ferris Bueller reference, but I couldn’t come up with anything fitting. Walker is one of the rare prospects who gets the coveted “has a chance to become be an ace” label that’s only true of a handful of pitchers on Earth at a given time. For all the (rightful) handwringing about how scouts don’t truly understand upside when guys like Joses Altuve or Ramirez can emerge as the best hitters in the game after never appearing on a top-100 list, the group of aces who weren’t at some point described as a potential ace is basically just Cliff Lee, and he was touted in the minors.

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2018 Trade Value: #41 to #50

Max Scherzer’s contract renders him an option only for big-market clubs.
(Photo: Keith Allison)

As is the annual tradition at FanGraphs, we’re using the week of the All-Star Game — while the industry pauses to take a metaphorical breather — to take stock of the top-50 trade assets in the sport. For more context on exactly what we’re trying to do here, see the honorable-mentions post linked at the top of the page.

For this post and the four to follow, I’ll present a graphic (by way of the wizard Sean Dolinar) breaking down each player’s objective skill level (represented, in this case, by a five-year WAR projection from ZiPS), contract/team-control details, rank in last year’s series, and then year-by-year details of age/WAR/contract through 2023, although a couple players have control beyond those five years. For those readers who are partial to spreadsheets rather than blocks of text, I’ll also include all the players we’ve ranked so far are in grid format at the bottom of the post.

The ZiPS WAR forecasts did influence the rankings a bit: for players who were bunched together, it acted as an impartial tiebreaker of sorts, but the industry opinions I solicited drove the rankings.

With that said, let’s get to the final 10 spots on the Trade Value list this year.

Five-Year WAR +16.3
Guaranteed Dollars
Team Control Through 2024
Previous Rank
Year Age Projected WAR Contract Status
2019 22 +2.2 Pre-Arb
2020 23 +3.0 Pre-Arb
2021 24 +3.7 Pre-Arb
2022 25 +3.7 Arb1
2023 26 +3.7 Arb2
Pre-Arb
Arb

This last spot, as I’m sure was true on all of the versions of the list Dave did, was a tough to decide upon. As you can see from the honorable mentions, basically every type of player has a solid candidate for this spot. One could argue on behalf of Matt Olson, for example, that he’s a similar player to Tucker, has just one fewer year of control, and has already posted 3.6 WAR in his first 167 games. That said, Tucker seems to get a bit of a boost from the industry because of his recent call-up and that isn’t all nonsense: calling a top prospect up to a contending team before there’s any incentives by way of service time suggests the things non-Astros people know about Tucker (mental makeup, etc.) are positive.

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2018 Trade Value: Honorable Mentions

The industry places Javy Baez and Manny Machado just outside the top-50 players by trade value.
(Photo: Keith Allison)

All-Star week has arrived, which means a lot of things, like that the races for the 2018 postseason have begun to take shape (at least in the NL, where postseason races exist) and also that many of those who work in baseball are currently taking rushed, abbreviated vacations. Around here, though, it marks the time for a different tradition — namely, the start our annual Trade Value series.

The inimitable Dave Cameron did this list for 13 years, 10 of them for this website. He’s now moved on the Padres, though, and FanGraphs has somehow ended up with me in his place. This list wouldn’t be possible without the model established by Cameron, nor the help of Sean Dolinar, Dan Szymborski, and Carson Cistulli in putting together this year’s series. A special thanks is also due to industry friends who put up with much rougher early versions of this list, were generous with their time, and helped whip it into shape.

For those new to the series, it marks an attempt to answer the question “Who would bring back the most in trade if he were put on the market before the deadline?” What’s notable about this list — as opposed to the prospect types I assemble with Eric Longenhagen — is that it’s the only one for which my opinion doesn’t matter. The goal here isn’t for me to project anybody’s future value but rather to capture the opinions of the industry and how they value players in reality, right now.

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Kiley McDaniel Chat – 7/11/18

12:11

Kiley McDaniel: Kiley is here, live, and wants to chat with you!

12:12

Rick C: On a scale of 1-10, how big of a blunder was it for the Braves to fail to come to an agreement with Stewart?

12:14

Kiley McDaniel: Maybe a 3 or 4? We had 5 players ranked ahead of Stewart that were on the board for that pick. He’s a prep righty that was trending down leading up to draft day, an especially risky class of player. The 2019 class is college bat heavy and would appear to have enough 50 FV types to give the Braves a chance to get a comparable talent at 9 that’s a hitter and closer to the big leagues than Stewart would be, thus eliminating the only real negative: putting off having an elite prospect by a year.

12:14

Kiley McDaniel: Also fans, generally speaking, freak out way too much when a player doesn’t sign.

12:15

Larry: A lot of Braves fans saying that not signing Stewart isn’t a huge deal because of the compensation pick. Is that true though? The GCL/DSL levels of that system are extremely bare right now.

12:15

Kiley McDaniel: But what if you pick a guy that never plays at those levels? Also, missing one prospect from rookie ball doesn’t matter. There aren’t championships for most loaded rookie ball team.

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Kiley McDaniel Chat – 6/26/18

12:38

Kiley McDaniel: Sorry for the delay! Errand running went a little sideways then got a call back from an int’l scout. But I am here now!

12:38

Tommy N.: Should I worry about Weathers not signing?

12:39

Kiley McDaniel: Good first question. Lots of rumors flying around about unsigned prep picks. Suffice it to say we’ve heard somewhat reliable buzz about all of them possibly not signing, but it’s likely almost all of them do…though the buzz is of varying seriousness. So can’t really help you with the specific ones more than an inkling as to what happens right before the deadline.

12:41

Kiley McDaniel: Hold on, just got some buzz to report on that exact topic

12:42

Kiley McDaniel:

 

Kiley McDaniel
@kileymcd

 

Source: Pirates comp round pick (36th overall) Florida prep RHP Gunnar Hoglund attended orientation for summer scho… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
26 Jun 2018
12:42

Kiley McDaniel: Okay back to the chat

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Kiley McDaniel Chat – 6/20/18

12:10

Kiley McDaniel: Hello! I am here to baseball chat with you. Home after seeing the top 2019 MLB Draft prep types at PG National, also saw a Dunedin/Port Charlotte game and the FSL All Star Game while I was over there. Going to see college Team USA next week with what is the most loaded roster they’ve had in a long time, may be a dozen day one guys on the team.

12:10

greg: Is there a direct link to THE BOARD on the homepage or under a menu that I’m missing?

12:11

Kiley McDaniel: Yes there is, mouse over the LEADERS header and its near the top of that menu

12:12

Lilith: Going into the season, India was pegged as a guy with average tools across the board. How has this season changed how you view his upside? Also, is it possible that he could stick at short? Thanks

12:13

Kiley McDaniel: He lost some weight and as sometimes happens, the tools got better when he did that. Power went from 50 to 55, speed went from 40-45 to 50, defense went from fringy to above at 3B and his offensive approach improved, then the stats jumped with the new power which he mostly tapped into

12:14

Kiley McDaniel: The upside is still no 60 tools, but there’s plenty of 3 win players in the bigs with no 60 tools that are just above average at everything and play everyday at a useful position, so he could turn into that. Seems likely to fall into the 2.0 to 3.0 WAR band for me, though.

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Kiley McDaniel Chat – 6/13/18

11:52

Kiley McDaniel: Hello from a McDonald’s in Tampa where I’m setting up shop for a bit before I hit a few games today, then hit PG National starting tomorrow, which is the first stop on HS showcase season for the 2019 Draft

11:55

Anonymous : When evaluating college players, what specific stats, if any, do you look at when trying to figure out if the player will be a productive player at a higher level?

11:57

Kiley McDaniel: BB/K ratio and ISO for hitters are both big. BB/K for pitchers too also tells a lot of what you need to know. If you’re bad at controlling the strike zone at the amateur level, it’s an uphill climb

11:57

Kiley McDaniel: Also, this chat will run a little shorter than usual, but I usually go over the alotted hour so I feel like we’re all okay with this every now and then

11:57

Teddy: Hey Kiley, can you expand on the Brett Cumberland just to the top 100? Is it about the defense taking a step forward? The offense doesn’t look very impressive this year on paper.

11:59

Kiley McDaniel: It’s a 120 wRC+ in basically a full year in Hi-A at age 21/22 with plus raw power, a late-count, lofted power approach and the frame/defense have improved this year. He was also in the top of the 45 tier, so he was around 150-200 already and like 20 guys graduated, so he would’ve been right around 130-150 if he hadn’t improved at all.

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Post-Draft Odds and Ends

Since it’s always draft-evaluation season, I thought it might make sense to start this post-draft notes column with some names for future draft classes. It’s too early to really rank these guys with any depth since we (and scouts) will be seeing all these players over the next couple months, so they will shuffle themselves a good bit this summer, but we definitely have a sense of who the top tier of talent is in the amateur ranks. These names are all in order of preference within the group in which they are identified.

2019 MLB Draft

For the 2019 class, there is a top tier of five prep standouts, while the college side is very deep in hitters. College pitching is very shallow at this early juncture, however. On the prep side, we have SS C.J. Abrams (Georgia), SS Bobby Witt, Jr. (Texas), LHP Hunter Barco (Florida), 3B Rece Hinds (Florida), and RHP Brennan Malone (North Carolina).

Atop the very deep college hitter class, we have SS Bryson Stott (UNLV), C Adley Rutschman (Oregon State), SS Logan Davidson (Clemson), C Shea Langliers (Baylor), SS Greg Jones (UNC Wilmington), RF Michael Toglia (UCLA), 3B Josh Jung (Texas Tech), RF Michael Busch (North Carolina), RF Matt Wallner (Southern Miss), and SS Braden Shewmake (Texas A&M).

As for that second tier of college bats, we have 3B Drew Mendoza (Florida State), 1B Andrew Vaughn (Cal), SS Will Holland (Auburn), CF Kam Misner (Missouri), 2B Chase Strumpf (UCLA), CF Wil Dalton (Florida), SS Will Wilson (North Carolina State), 1B Spencer Brickhouse (East Carolina), and 2B Nick Quintana (Arizona). All of those college hitters have top-two-round type profiles and the depth of the class means Team USA and the Cape will be deep with bats to watch this summer. There isn’t a clear top college pitcher, and none project for the top 15 picks at this point.

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Kiley McDaniel Chat – 6/6/18

12:13

Kiley McDaniel: Hello everyone, just wrapped up an Effectively Wild appearance that I’m guessing will be up tomorrow and now I am here with you, for what I’m guessing will be a lot of draft questions.

12:13

Tommy N.: Are you surprised Liberatore signed for slot did he really just want to start his career or was there something in his medicals to make him slide? Granted 3+ mil is still a lot of money.

12:14

Kiley McDaniel: Wasn’t medicals. I’ve been told the story and am pretty sure it’s correct, won’t be sharing for a little while at least for reasons you guys can probably assume. Great deal for TB.

12:14

Tommy N.: Padres draft kind of was underwhelming after Edwards and Weathers they drafted a good amount of college seniors is this because Xavier Edwards is going to cost much more than we expected?

12:16

Kiley McDaniel: We like Grant Little and Dylan Coleman, Juwaun Harris has a lot of upside. College seniors means money savers to pay other players, so it’s a sign money is being moved around.

12:17

K-Man: Any opinion change on a player because of the team that drafted him?

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Kiley McDaniel Chat – 5/30/18

12:03

Kiley McDaniel: Hello everyone coming to you live from rainy Orlando while I’m waist deep in scouting notes that will be showing up on THE BOARD soon. Here’s what we have at the moment: https://www.fangraphs.com/scoutboard.aspx?draft=2018mlb&type=0&pos=all…

12:03

Greg: What’s the upcoming mock schedule?

12:04

Kiley McDaniel: One on Thursday or Friday, then another on Monday

12:04

Larry: Would you still put Gorman as the most likely pick for Atlanta?

12:05

Kiley McDaniel: Yes, but there’s a growing sense that, with teams in their meetings and little details leaking out, that beyond the top 5-6 picks, there’s a lot of uncertainty, private workouts and shifting opinions. And some crazy rumors in the top 5 at teams price shopping to figure out what all their options are.

12:05

Tommy N.: Any late draft whispers for the Padres and their newly acquired bonus pool money? Less likely to go underslot at 7 now?

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Top 25 Prospects: Chicago White Sox

Below is an analysis of the prospects in the farm system of the Chicago White Sox. Scouting reports are compiled with information provided by industry sources as well as from our own (both Eric Longenhagen’s and Kiley McDaniel’s) observations. For more information on the 20-80 scouting scale by which all of our prospect content is governed you can click here. For further explanation of the merits and drawbacks of Future Value, read this.

All the numbered prospects here also appear on THE BOARD, a new feature at the site that offers sortable scouting information for every organization. Click here to visit THE BOARD.

White Sox Top Prospects
Rk Name Age High Level Position ETA FV
1 Eloy Jimenez 21 AA RF 2019 65
2 Michael Kopech 21 AAA RHP 2019 60
3 Luis Robert 20 R CF 2020 60
4 Alec Hansen 23 AA RHP 2020 50
5 Zack Burdi 22 AAA RHP 2019 50
6 Zack Collins 22 AA 1B 2018 50
7 Dane Dunning 22 AA RHP 2018 50
8 Dylan Cease 22 A+ RHP 2020 45
9 Micker Adolfo 21 A+ RF 2021 45
10 Jake Burger 21 A 3B 2020 45
11 Blake Rutherford 20 A+ LF 2020 45
12 Ryan Cordell 26 AAA RF 2018 40
13 Carson Fulmer 22 MLB RHP 2018 40
14 Gavin Sheets 21 A+ 1B 2020 40
15 A.J. Puckett 22 A+ RHP 2019 40
16 Luis Gonzalez 22 A RF 2021 40
17 Seby Zavala 24 AA C 2020 40
18 Luis Alexander Basabe 20 A+ CF 2020 40
19 Ian Clarkin 23 AA LHP 2019 40
20 Spencer Adams 21 AA RHP 2019 40
21 Tyler Danish 22 MLB RHP 2017 40
22 Jameson Fisher 23 AA LF 2019 40
23 Aaron Bummer 24 MLB LHP 2018 40
24 Jordan Stephens 24 AAA RHP 2019 40
25 Danny Mendick 24 AAA SS 2019 40

65 FV Prospects

Signed: July 2nd Period, 2013 from Dominican Republic
Age 20 Height 6’4 Weight 205 Bat/Throw R/R
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Hit Raw Power Game Power Run Fielding Throw
30/50 70/80 50/70 45/40 45/50 60/60

Jimenez was largely compared head-to-head with now-Yankees SS Gleyber Torres as the top talents in the loaded 2013 July 2nd class. Both players signed with the Cubs, then later were traded as headliners in blockbuster trades for Aroldis Chapman and Jose Quintana, respectively.

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Kiley McDaniel Chat – 5/22/18

12:06

Kiley McDaniel: Kiley is here but Scout needs a quick potty break, so we’ll get going a few minutes behind schedule

12:14

Kiley McDaniel: Okay we are back

12:15

Kiley McDaniel: Quick update on my schedule: headed out tonight to see Mason Denaburg vs. Triston Casas in the FL state HS playoffs and will head out tomorrow morning to Clearwater to see Shane McClanahan face Wichita State in the AAC conference tourney, may run back over on Thursday to see Tim Cate as well, but may also stay here to see Florida/Tampa if the pitching lines up

12:15

Kiley McDaniel: Now to your questions…

12:15

Jim in Chicago: If Casey Mize doesn’t go #1, where does he end up?

12:17

Kiley McDaniel: This seems to be the question of the moment. Detroit is seriously thinking about other options at 1-1, and the talk of this got around right after out mock came up. The specifics about what medicals Mize has shared, what Detroit has, what other teams have and what those medicals say is a little hazy and some of the answers are protected by HIPAA so we won’t get everything we would like to know pre draft.

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Top 30 Prospects: Minnesota Twins

Below is an analysis of the prospects in the farm system of the Minnesota Twins. Scouting reports are compiled with information provided by industry sources as well as from our own (both Eric Longenhagen’s and Kiley McDaniel’s) observations. For more information on the 20-80 scouting scale by which all of our prospect content is governed you can click here. For further explanation of the merits and drawbacks of Future Value, read this.

All the numbered prospects here also appear on THE BOARD, a new feature at the site that offers sortable scouting information for every organization. Click here to visit THE BOARD.

Twins Top Prospects
Rk Name Age High Level Position ETA FV
1 Royce Lewis 18 A CF 2020 55
2 Nick Gordon 22 AA SS 2019 50
3 Alex Kirilloff 20 A RF 2021 50
4 Fernando Romero 23 MLB RHP 2018 50
5 Stephen Gonsalves 23 AAA LHP 2019 50
6 Travis Blankenhorn 21 A+ 2B 2021 45
7 Wander Javier 19 R SS 2022 45
8 Brusdar Graterol 19 A RHP 2023 45
9 Mitch Garver 27 MLB C 2018 45
10 Brent Rooker 23 AA 1B 2020 45
11 LaMonte Wade 24 AA LF 2019 45
12 Akil Baddoo 19 A CF 2021 45
13 Jose Miranda 19 A 2B 2022 45
14 Yunior Severino 18 R 2B 2023 45
15 Blayne Enlow 19 A RHP 2022 40
16 Jaylin Davis 23 A+ RF 2020 40
17 Lewin Diaz 21 A+ 1B 2021 40
18 Jake Reed 25 AAA RHP 2018 40
19 Jake Cave 25 AAA CF 2018 40
20 Zack Littell 22 AAA RHP 2019 40
21 Landon Leach 18 R RHP 2023 40
22 John Curtiss 25 MLB RHP 2018 40
23 Gabriel Moya 23 MLB LHP 2018 40
24 Andrew Bechtold 21 A 3B 2022 40
25 Ryley Widell 20 R LHP 2022 40
26 Zack Granite 25 MLB CF 2018 40
27 Tyler Jay 23 AA LHP 2019 40
28 Lewis Thorpe 22 AA LHP 2019 40
29 Alex Robinson 23 A+ LHP 2019 40
30 Luke Bard 27 MLB RHP 2018 40

55 FV Prospects

Drafted: 1st Round, 2017 from JSerra HS (CA)
Age 18 Height 6’2 Weight 188 Bat/Throw R/R
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Hit Raw Power Game Power Run Fielding Throw
30/55 50/55 25/50 60/60 45/55 55/55

Lewis was one of the best players on the summer showcase circuit in 2016, showing a rare combo of hit, power, and speed tools, though it was unclear if he fit better in the infield or center field. He had an up-and-down spring for his high school, with contact concerns caused by some mechanical changes, but he finished strong and the raw tools were still there, helping him go No. 1 overall in a year without a clear-cut top prospect.

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Kiley McDaniel Chat – 5/16/18

12:03

Kiley McDaniel: Hello everyone, a couple quick plugs for the new @FG_Prospects twitter account and yesterday’s mock draft: https://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/2018-mlb-mock-draft-v-2-0/ and of course THE BOARD, which will be updated shortly https://www.fangraphs.com/scoutboard.aspx

12:03

Peter: What’d you think of Muller the other day? What does he project as? #4?

12:05

Kiley McDaniel: Saw Florida/St. Lucie yesterday with Kyle Muller and Justin Dunn pitching, included some notes on twitter and Cristian Pache video @kileymcd if you’re interested in that. Muller now appears to be essentially what was expected out of HS: low 90’s touch 95, solid avg offspeed that could be 55’s along with starter command and a sturdy frame with some projection. Still young enough that things can still change a bit, but he’s fully recovered from a rocky 2017. Also has easy plus raw power he’ll get to use in Double-A.

12:05

Foolish Child: is Bart’s floor the Mets at 6?

12:06

Kiley McDaniel: I think it’s probably 5/CIN but yeah maybe 6/NYM, right around there.

12:06

Jimmy: Do you buy or sell the Dodgers missing the playoffs ?

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Kiley McDaniel Chat – 5/2/18

2:02

Kiley McDaniel: Kiley is here! Just got to south GA as a stopover for Scout to see some family and play in the woods.

2:03

Kiley McDaniel: Plan is to see Kumar Rocker vs. Cole Wilcox then Anthony Seigler tomorrow, Ryan Rolison at South Carolina Friday, Cole Sands/FSU at Clemson Saturday, Joey Bart at GT Sunday, Ryan Weathers Monday, Travis Swaggerty at Auburn Tuesday then hopefully Parker Meadows playoff game Wednesday on the way home. Full week!

2:03

Kiley McDaniel: All subject to change, but that sounds like a pretty good run even with some adjustments

2:03

Kiley McDaniel: We’ll have a new mock draft next week around this time, probably just 10 picks but a different order than the last one

2:04

Kiley McDaniel: I’ll have the Twins list coming soon, the draft board will be a part of THE BOARD and an update to minor league portion of THE BOARD is also in the works

2:04

Kiley McDaniel: Along with video/reports on the players I’m seeing so yeah Eric and I have a lot going on right now

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Kiley McDaniel Chat – 4/16/18

2:07

Kiley McDaniel: Okay here I am, you’ll get me for about an hour then I’m off to Gainesville to see Singer/Mize with a dash of Jonathan India

2:07

Paul: ACUNA BOMB

2:07

Jorge: ACUÑA ACUÑA ACUÑA ACUÑA ACUÑA ACUÑA ACUÑA ACUÑA ACUÑA ACUÑA ACUÑA ACUÑA ACUÑA ACUÑA ACUÑA ACUÑA ACUÑA ACUÑA ACUÑA ACUÑA ACUÑA ACUÑA ACUÑA ACUÑA ACUÑA ACUÑA ACUÑA ACUÑA ACUÑA ACUÑA ACUÑA ACUÑA ACUÑA ACUÑA ACUÑA……….sorry have a good day

2:07

Just A Dude: Did you hear the sound of Acuña Jr.’s first homerun from wherever you’re sitting?

2:07

Jordan: Juan Soto, is there anything he can’t do

2:07

Kiley McDaniel: well seems like his main sin is not being acuna

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Top 22 Prospects: Toronto Blue Jays

Below is an analysis of the prospects in the farm system of the Toronto Blue Jays. Scouting reports are compiled with information provided by industry sources as well as from our own (both Eric Longenhagen’s and Kiley McDaniel’s) observations. For more information on the 20-80 scouting scale by which all of our prospect content is governed you can click here. For further explanation of the merits and drawbacks of Future Value, read this.

All the numbered prospects here also appear on THE BOARD, a new feature at the site that offers sortable scouting information for every organization. Click here to visit THE BOARD.

Blue Jays Top Prospects
Rk Name Age High Level Position ETA FV
1 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 18 AA 1B 2019 65
2 Bo Bichette 19 AA 2B 2019 60
3 Anthony Alford 22 MLB CF 2018 55
4 Danny Jansen 22 AAA C 2018 50
5 Nate Pearson 21 A- RHP 2020 50
6 Ryan Borucki 23 AAA LHP 2018 45
7 T.J. Zeuch 22 A+ RHP 2019 45
8 Logan Warmoth 22 A+ SS 2020 45
9 Eric Pardinho 17 R RHP 2021 40
10 Reese McGuire 22 AAA C 2018 40
11 Sean Reid-Foley 22 AA RHP 2019 40
12 Thomas Pannone 23 AA LHP 2019 40
13 Lourdes Gurriel 24 MLB UTIL 2018 40
14 Rowdy Tellez 23 AAA 1B 2019 40
15 Richard Urena 22 MLB SS 2019 40
16 Yennsy Diaz 21 A RHP 2020 40
17 Samad Taylor 19 A 2B 2022 40
18 Riley Adams 21 A+ C 2021 40
19 Justin Maese 21 A RHP 2020 40
20 Hagen Danner 19 R C 2023 40
21 Zach Jackson 23 AA RHP 2019 40
22 Jon Harris 24 AA RHP 2018 40

65 FV Prospects

Signed: July 2nd Period, 2015 from Dominican Republic
Age 18 Height 6’1 Weight 200 Bat/Throw R/R
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Hit Raw Power Game Power Run Fielding Throw
40/65 65/70 40/70 40/30 40/50 60/60

Guerrero was identified as an elite talent years before the Jays signed him at age 16, exhibiting an advanced feel for hitting and raw power like his father. Unlike the elder Guerrero, Vlad Jr. has generally developed earlier — already looking too big for third base as a teenager and polishing his tools at a very young stage. Whether Vlad Jr. settles as a fringey third baseman or a first basemen/designated hitter is up for debate, but his easy plus hit and power tools (with ceiling for more) are not and will make his ascent to the big leagues a quick one.

60 FV Prospects

Drafted: 2nd Round, 2016 from Lakewood HS (FL)
Age 19 Height 6’0 Weight 200 Bat/Throw R/R
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Hit Raw Power Game Power Run Fielding Throw
30/50 65/70 40/60 45/45 45/50 55/55

Bichette was a well-known prospect in high school due to his bloodlines (father Dante and older brother Dante Jr., who was a first-round pick by the Yankees in 2011), his big tools (plus raw power), and his loud, max-effort swing. Many teams didn’t take him seriously as a top-two-round prospect, partly souring after his brother busted with a similar swing, but Bo has rare bat and body control along with good enough pitch selection to make his approach work, something his older brother did not.

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Kiley McDaniel Chat – 4/18/18

12:10

Kiley McDaniel: Hello everyone, I’m in the South right now live from a Courtyard. I saw Ethan Hankins on Monday, Cole Wilcox and Chattanooga-Jacksonville last night. The plan is to see Kumar Rocker tonight, Anthony Seigler tomorrow, Casey Mize on Friday then head back to Florida for Wichita/UCF and Auburn/Florida.

12:10

Kiley McDaniel: Also Eric and I put up an updated draft top 55 today: https://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/updated-2018-mlb-draft-rankings/

12:11

Kiley McDaniel: and we’ll have a mock draft going up tomorrow

12:11

Kiley McDaniel: and in case you don’t follow me on twitter, here’s a Nick Gordon homer from last night

 

Kiley McDaniel
@kileymcd

 

Doubled up prep RHP Cole Wilcox with a Double-A game in Chattanooga last night. Here’s FG’s 77th best prospect Twin… twitter.com/i/web/status/9…
18 Apr 2018
12:11

Tommy N.: Kelenic has risen to 8 on your updated rankings do you think the Padres could snag him at 7?

12:11

Freddy: Any idea who Atlanta is connected with?

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