Archive for Daily Notes

Eric Longenhagen Chat: 8/23/2018

Eric A Longenhagen: What’s up, everybody? Baseball chat engage

Mike: Your Bryse WilsonMichael Fulmer comp has me really intrigued. What is that based on? Velocity and GB rate? I was impressed with Wilson’s first start.

Eric A Longenhagen: The body, the pitch mix and quality of the stuff, the limitations with pitch utility and repertoire depth. Lotta similarities.

Dan: Brailyn Marquez. Thoughts?

Eric A Longenhagen: 19y/o Cubs lefty in short season. Thoughts are same as last year. Low-to-mid 90s, will show a 55 curveball and knows how to work it to both-handed hitters. I bet the changeup comes, he has good feel. Body went backwards from last summer to this year but it hasn’t affected performance.

Chris: Any clue what has happened to Mickey Moniak as of recently?

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Shohei Otani, Brendan McKay, and the Blueprint for a Two-Way Player

In case you missed the excitement last week, here it is: according to reports, there’s a very good chance that Japanese star Shohei Otani will be posted this offseason and appear in a major-league uniform next year. Part of Otani’s great appeal — and the source of his reputation as the Japanese Babe Ruth — is his capacity both to pitch and hit at a high level. Two-way players are intriguing to us: in an era of ever increasing specialization, the probability of a single player excelling on both sides of the ball is low. Forget the ace who also serves as his team’s cleanup hitter: even a player who could function competently as both a fourth outfielder and mop-up man would open up roster possibilities that many teams would love to exploit.

However, being a two-way player is hard. Beyond even the question of talent, a player faces other concerns: finding adequate rest, scheduling his throw days as a pitcher, and cultivating sufficient stamina to last a whole season in a dual role. Addressing these concerns successfully requires a great degree of planning on the part of a team. And while there’s speculation as to how a major-league organization might answer all those questions adequately, one team is already implementing that level of infrastructure with a highly coveted prospect.

Prior to becoming the fourth-overall pick by the Tampa Bay Rays this past June, Brendan McKay had starred as both a weekend starter and middle-of-the-order bat at the University of Louisville for three years, winning numerous player-of-the-year, All-American, and two-way-player awards along the way. With his clean lefty swing, level-headed approach, and prowess on the mound, he was often favorably compared to John Olerud. Rays leadership was quick to state that, despite being announced as a first baseman at the draft, McKay would continue to be developed as both a pitcher and hitter.

Back in February, I had the opportunity to see McKay open the college season against two teams in Clearwater, Florida. Over the two games, against admittedly overmatched competition, he went 2-for-4 with a home run and three walks while striking out nine over six scoreless innings. He greatly impressed me with his skill and calm demeanor both on the mound and at the plate, never overreaching, not becoming too aggressive, working with what pitchers and hitters gave him. At the time, the question for most people in the stands was, “Which way will he play in pro ball?” So far, McKay is making the question “Why can’t he do both?” a legitimate one.

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Daily Prospect Notes: 6/6

Daily notes on prospects from lead prospect analyst Eric Longenhagen. Read previous installments here.

Gleyber Torres, INF, New York AL (Profile)
Level: Triple-A   Age: 20   Org Rank: 1   Top 100: 7
Line: 3-for-3, HR, BB

Even with Ruben Tejada’s recent trade to Baltimore, Torres’s reps are likely to come mostly at second and third base, as Tyler Wade remains entrenched at shortstop in Scranton. I saw him play both positions last week and lots of second base in the Fall League, and he looked like a fish out of water at both spots, especially around the second-base bag. He has the physical tools to play anywhere on the infield and will likely improve with reps, but he’s not ready for the majors right now.

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Marco Estrada Has Maybe the Changiest Changeup

It’s right there in the name. Change-up.

It’s right there in all the names, really. The best fastballs, usually, go the fastest. The best curveballs, usually, curve the most. The best changeups, then, would change the most. That property — change — isn’t quite as intuitive as the first two, but really, in a good changeup, you just want difference. You want separation from the primary pitch.

As my colleague Eno Sarris wisely pointed out on Twitter last night, measuring the characteristics of a changeup, on its own, is a mostly useless endeavor. If the main purpose of a changeup is to give hitters a different look off the fastball, don’t you also need the characteristics of that fastball to give context to the change?

On the surface, Marco Estrada’s repertoire might not be eye-popping. He doesn’t throw hard. He doesn’t have great movement. But what he does have, is this:

Largest Velocity Gaps, Fastball vs. Changeup
Player FB Velocity CH Velocity Velocity gap
Marco Estrada 89.9 79.1 -10.7
Erasmo Ramirez 92.1 81.8 -10.3
Chase Anderson 92.6 82.4 -10.2
Jeremy Hellickson 91.2 81.2 -10.0
Rick Porcello 92.7 82.9 -9.8
Jacob deGrom 95.8 86.2 -9.6
Andrew Cashner 96.2 86.7 -9.5
Max Scherzer 94.8 85.4 -9.4
Chris Archer 96.2 86.8 -9.3
Johnny Cueto 93.3 84.0 -9.3
Yordano Ventura 97.1 88.0 -9.1
*Right-handed starters
*Minimum: 500 four-seam fastballs (83)
*Minimum: 200 changeups (60)

On average, Estrada drops nearly 11 mph off his four-seam fastball with every changeup, giving him the largest difference of any right-handed starter in baseball. But we can take this a step further! There can be more to getting separation than just speed. There’s movement, too.

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Brandon Belt Looks to Break Out Again (Again)

Brandon Belt has shown this before: a 10- or 15-game stretch in which he looks to be the real slugging threat everyone talked about during his prospect days. He did it in August of 2013, and then he did it again to open the season in 2014; the latter seemed like it might be the one that would stick, but Belt broke his thumb on a hit by pitch in early May, suffered a concussion in July, and his season was effectively derailed.

In truth, we haven’t seen this sort of thing too often from San Francisco’s giraffe-like first baseman:


Sometimes a hitter just runs into one, and sometimes balls go very far at Coors Field. Regardless, his homer from last week was quite a punctuation mark — a mic drop, if you will — and it should at the very least force us to ask that familiar question concerning Belt: what can we really expect from him?

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So Jose Molina Has Three Stolen Bases

It’s a bit of an odd time to write about baseball. Some trades are trickling in, but we’re about a week removed from the All Star Game. The ASG break is a great time to do some summaries, compare some first halves, look at some guys who may be surprising or disappointing. But there’s only been a handful of days since everyone submitted those stories, and very little has happened since, at least as far as big-picture stuff goes. It is for this reason, and many other selfish reasons, that I am now writing about husky guys stealing bases.

This actually started as a tweet from fellow FanGraphs-er Jason Collette. It’s a fairly innocuous thing on its own. The fact that Molina has only scored three runs is a bit of an oddity, but more on a “weird baseball” level — which I assume Jason was going for. The fact that he has three steals is even less of a big deal. Lots of dudes don’t have many steals. As of this writng, 64 players have less than 3 steals. It is slightly noteworthy that Jose Molina has as many steals as both Starlin Castro and Andrelton Simmons, but only because guys like Castro and Simmons are smaller young guys that look like they should be speedy. Conversely, Molina looks like he should not be speedy. That is, he’s 39 years old and rotund.

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Why Cliff Lee’s Injury is Somewhat Surprising

Baseball is a presentation. It’s a thing that is part of our lives, but isn’t our lives. It lies in the world of the else. It’s theater, it’s drama, it’s entertainment. Because of this, we tend to romanticize it some. This is a totally normal response. We pull for teams, we root for certain guys, we sometimes wish others would fail. Just like any drama, there are heroes and villains and fools and underdogs. Every story has characters and every character has an archetype.

I’ve written about labels in baseball in the past. It’s a subject that interests me. Labels are just like any other word really, they only have meaning because we say they do. The thing you are looking at isn’t really a computer screen; it’s a thing we call a computer screen because we needed to call it something, so we picked that. We couldn’t call it a dog because we already named something else a dog. Words are placeholders, they are helpers. There’s nothing intrinsic about the words computer or screen beyond the value and definitions we place on them. I’d go deeper into this, but it would probably end with me telling you that you’re just a battery fueling the system of our robot overlords. Plus, I need to start talking about baseball.

The idea of a workhorse pitcher has been around the game for some time. You perhaps have read an article or a hundred articles about the death of the workhorse pitcher — how the days of Seaver and Carlton and Feller are over, how our pitchers are now babies and/or being babied. The reasons for this phenomenon are fairly clear and aren’t something I’m terribly interested in discussing at the moment, but the basic facts are true. Pitchers are pitching less innings than they used to. Because of this shift, certain pitchers who do perform at a greater frequency are still revered.

And this isn’t without good reason. We know that the ability to pitch a good deal of innings is a valuable skill. It keeps the pressure off the bullpen, and helps teams keep the amount of pitchers they need to use during a season low. High-volume pitchers are usually good performers as well, as even a pitcher with the rubberiest arm wouldn’t go that many innings if he was always getting lit up by the fifth. There are a lot of useful skills a pitcher can have, durability is one of them. Read the rest of this entry »

An Early Look at the Price of a Win This Off-Season

Over the last few years, we have analyzed nearly every notable contract signed in Major League Baseball, and one of the tools that we have used regularly is a pricing model that we often refer to as $/WAR. Basically, this calculation takes a look at the expected production from a player during the life of the contract that he just signed, then also the total cost of the contract over the length of the deal, and divides the production by the price. This calculation attempts to estimate the price paid for the expected production, and gives us an idea of what teams are paying for projected wins in baseball’s closest thing to a free market.

To be clear, FanGraphs didn’t invent this calculation, and this isn’t an idea specific to us. Doug Pappas was doing similar calculations a decade ago using a method he called Marginal Payroll and Marginal Wins. Nate Silver also wrote about the marginal value of a win during his time at Baseball Prospectus, and Tom Tango has been calculating $/WAR for contracts for years on his blog. Over the last few years, plenty of others have written about the price of a win in MLB, and there are multiple methods to perform this kind of calculation.

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Daily Notes: Misusing Projections to Mildly Amusing Ends

Sunday features three games of particular note — each of those games featuring one of the three clubs presently contending for the American League’s two wild-card spots.

An excerpt from our wild-card playoff odds page allows one to examine the present state of affairs.

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Daily Notes: Saturday’s Notable Games of Note

Table of Contents
Here’s the table of contents for today’s edition of the Daily Notes.

1. Saturday’s Notable Games of Note
2. Today’s MLB.TV Free Game(s)
3. Today’s Complete Schedule

Saturday’s Notable Games of Note
Introductory Note
As the table below indicates, stolen entirely from the playoff odds located elsewhere on this site, three American League teams enter play on Saturday each with a reasonable opportunity of qualifying for the league’s two wild-card spots.

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Daily Notes: Corey Kluber Society on the Precipice of History

Table of Contents
Here’s the table of contents for today’s edition of the Daily Notes.

1. Corey Kluber Society on the Precipice of History
2. Today’s MLB.TV Free Game(s)
3. Today’s Complete Schedule

Corey Kluber Society on the Precipice of History
The Purpose of This Post
The purpose of this post is to announce a meeting of the Corey Kluber Society tonight (Friday) at 8:10pm ET.

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Daily Notes: Ft. A Count of Every Club’s Meaningless Games

Table of Contents
Here’s the table of contents for today’s edition of the Daily Notes.

1. A Count of Every Club’s Meaningless Games
2. Today’s MLB.TV Free Game
3. Today’s Complete Schedule

A Statistical Update on Players in Deadline Deals
With four days remaining in the major-league regular season, only three clubs — Cleveland, Tampa Bay, and Texas — possess some manner of playoff odds that aren’t either 0.0% or 100.0%. Some teams (Kansas City, New York AL) have only just been eliminated from a possible postseason berth; others (Chicago AL, Houston, Miami) have possessed playoff odds of 0% for over a month.

What the author has done, in the table below, is to calculate the number of meaningless games every major-league team will have played by the end of the season — where meaningless indicates games played while the team in question has possessed either a 0% or 100% chance of making the playoffs, per Cool Standings. Note that this is different, probably by a little bit, than what is frequently referred to as “mathematical elimination,” but (a) is another, pretty similar type of mathematical elimination and also (b) was easier to calculate, as the author’s internet browser happened already to be pointed to Cool Standings.

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Daily Notes: A Statistical Update on Players in Deadline Deals

Table of Contents
Here’s the table of contents for today’s edition of the Daily Notes.

1. A Statistical Update on Players in Deadline Deals
2. Today’s MLB.TV Free Game
3. Today’s Complete Schedule

A Statistical Update on Players in Deadline Deals
On August 2nd of this year, the author published in these same Notes a leaderboard featuring all — or, at least, the most notable — players to have changed teams ahead of the July 31st deadline for non-waiver deals.

Nearly two months later, what the author has done is to aggregate and publish below a pair of similar leaderboards — in this case, featuring the statistical records for August and September of all those same players who appeared on the leaderboards from two months ago.

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Daily Notes: Power on the 20-80 Scouting Scale for 2013

Table of Contents
Here’s the table of contents for today’s edition of the Daily Notes.

1. Power on the 20-80 Scouting Scale for 2013
2. Today’s MLB.TV Free Game
3. Today’s Complete Schedule

Power on the 20-80 Scouting Scale for 2013
In a post that appeared in these pages this past February, prospect writer Mark Smith used statistical proxies to investigate the thresholds at the major-league level of different baseball tools as measured on the 20-80 scouting scale. Smith found, for example, that Jose Bautista’s home-run rate of 6.6% between 2010 and -12 represented the standard for 80 power and that Michael Bourn’s average of 9 BsR per annum did the same for baserunning/speed.

With just a week left in the current season, the author has reproduced Smith’s effort for 2013 itself — for power, specifically.

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Daily Notes: The Top Prospect-Age Hitters by FIB*

Table of Contents
Here’s the table of contents for today’s edition of the Daily Notes.

1. The Top Prospect-Age Hitters by FIB*
2. Today’s MLB.TV Free Game
3. Today’s Complete Schedule

The Top Prospect-Age Hitters by FIB*
Minor-league regular seasons everywhere have come to their respective conclusions. Last week, before the author had become a really big deal and moved to Europe, he published a leaderboard of the top-10 qualified minor-league pitchers by kwERA (i.e. an ERA estimator derived entirely from just strikeout and walk rates).

Today, despite the fact that he’s a really big deal now and lives in Europe, the author has condescended to publish a second leaderboard — in this case, of the top-10 qualified minor-league hitters by FIB*, or Fielding Independent Batting (Asterisk). What FIB* isn’t is the same metric introduced to readers by Bradley Woodrum about two years ago. That one, called Fielding Independent Batting, but without the very integral asterisk, accounts for xBABIP and is presented as an index stat, like wRC+. What FIB* is is a batting metric calculated almost precisely like FIP, except then placed on the same scale as wOBA*.

*The equation, in full: [(HR*12 + BB*3 – K*2) * .141] + .3267.

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Daily Notes, Partially Crowdsourced

Table of Contents

Here’s the table of contents for next September 20th’s edition of the Daily Notes.

1. Matt Harvey: Can’t He Decide On That Surgery Already?
2. The Story of Luke Hochevar’s 63rd Save
3. Derek Jeter’s MVP Comeback Season Continues
4. The iPhone 6, and how you can not only watch the MLB.TV Free Game on it, you can also play center field.
5. Today’s Complete Schedule, except for the Dodgers and Diamondbacks, still stuck in Australia, waiting to get out since April.

Alternatively, here’s the table of contents for today’s partially crowdsourced edition of the Daily Notes.

1. An Introduction
2. Hot Bruce Chen GIF
3. Mike Trout Slash Lines
4. Today’s MLB.TV Free Game
5. Today’s Complete Schedule

An Introduction

I am graph-impaired, and far more comfortable writing poems about anti-semitic urine collectors, scripts for the new NBC comedy, “Park Factors and Recreation,” and fake fantasy mailbags than actual non-fictional content about current issues on the baseball diamond.

Thus, in preparation for filling Carson’s shoes this morning, I begged the loyal NotGraphs readers to help me fill these notes. They responded by requesting hot Bruce Chen GIFs, Mike Trout’s slash line, and daily drink selections to help you cope with watching the Astros on the MLB.TV free game of the day, which is perhaps MLB’s punishment for not upgrading to a more expensive app.

I will try to fulfill these requests, and also provide you with a chart of today’s starting pitchers. Carson will be back on Monday, and all will be better.

Hot Bruce Chen GIF

Commenter Samy Dangerfield requested a hot Bruce Chen GIF. This is the best I can do.

CRITICAL NOTE: He’s hot because there are two suns. And the grey stuff is steam. Someone please teach me Photoshop.

Mike Trout Slash Lines

Commenter ettin wanted Mike Trout slash lines. According to this 2011 Baseball Prospectus piece by Emma Span, which you probably do not want to read at work, slash fiction refers to stories about people (and cartoon characters?) having, uh, very graphic extracurricular lives. Thus, I assume that ettin was asking for lines like this:

“…and then Trout gently stroked his bat…”

“…and with the final poker hand decided, Mike Trout, Albert Pujols, and the Rally Monkey were the only ones with any clothes still left on….”

“…and Trout said to Josh Hamilton, ‘I know exactly how we can bust that slump….'”

Or maybe he just wanted to know that Trout’s at a ridiculous .330/.435/.570, topping last year, with an even more ridiculous second-half line of .346/.496/.581, with 53 walks in 56 games. No walks since Sunday though… Monday ended a 9-games-with-a-walk streak.

Today’s MLB.TV Free Game

Houston at Cleveland | 19:05 ET Brett Oberholtzer (60.1 IP, 107 xFIP-, 1.0 WAR) faces Zach McAllister (125 IP, 113 xFIP-, 1.5 WAR) in the day’s longest-combined-last-names-of-starting-pitchers matchup. Also, the Indians should probably try and win this thing for the sake of their wild-card hopes.

Readers’ Preferred Broadcast: Vin Scully, three hours later, broadcasting an entirely different game.

Today’s Complete Schedule

Here’s the complete schedule for all of today’s games, with beer and non-beer pairings, courtesy of prolific and helpful NotGraphs commenter Well-Beered Englishmen, whom you can also find on Twitter. Ah, Twitter. Pitching probables and game times aggregated from and a random guess as to who will be pitching for the Yankees, since, as of this writing, it’s TBD*.


Away Beer Non-Beer Home Time
Paul Maholm ATL Three Floyds Alpha King Gin and Tonic CHC Scott Baker 14:20
Mat Latos CIN Yuengling Traditional Lager Louis Roederer Brut Champagne PIT Fr. Liriano 19:05
Oberholtzer HOU St Arnold’s Pumpkinator Cuyahoga River Water CLE Zach McAllister 19:05
Jacob Turner FLA Dogfish Head Punkin Ale Classic Mojito WAS J. Zimmermann 19:05
D. Matsuzaka NYM Pabst Blue Ribbon Vodka, Straight PHI Cole Hamels 19:05
Tim Lincecum SF Brooklyn Pennant Ale Manhattan NYY Ron Guidry* 19:05
Andre Rienzo CHW New Holland Dragon’s Milk Anaconda Malt Liquor DET Max Scherzer 19:08
Jason Hammel BAL Cigar City Jose M. Am. Porter Quivira Zinfandel ’10 TB David Price 19:10
Esmil Rogers TOR Sleeman’s Honey Brown Ale Baileys Caramel Irish Cream BOS Jon Lester 19:10
Rand. Delgado ARI Left Hand Milk Stout Nitro Ace Pumpkin Cider COL Jhoulys Chacin 20:10
Shelby Miller STL Leinenkugel’s Oktoberfest White Russian MIL Johnny Hellweg 20:10
Martin Perez TEX Lakewood Lager Long Boat Sauv. Blanc (NZ) KC Ervin Santana 20:10
Matt Albers MIN Anchor Porter Leese-Fitch Cab. Sauv. ’10 OAK Bartolo Colon 22:05
Eras. Ramirez SEA Stone Ruination Ramen with 1 Tbsp Sriracha LAA Jered Weaver 22:05
Edin. Volquez LAD Stone Sublimely Self-Righteous Margarita on the Rocks SD Robbie Erlin 22:10


*Okay, I checked again and it’s CC Sabathia. But why change a whole chart?!

Daily Notes, Introducing WAWWA

In the interest of shaking up these electronic pages a bit, I’ve decided to dig into the old FanGraphs mailbag to answer some questions from questionable readers. Remember, if you are interested in asking a question of FanGraphs representatives, use the frequent chats that occur on this site, because that is a much better option. If you insist on emailing a question to the totally-not-made-up mailbag, send it to

Question #1: Hey, who are you? – Stephen, Dallas, TX
Excellent question, Stephen. I’m David Temple. You may know me from my excellent work at NotGraphs, where I currently hold titles as Most Handsome and Best Writer. NotGraphs is that little purple section of this site. You should check it out — there’s a lot of really great work over there. Most of it comes from me.

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Daily Notes, Including the Most Boring GIF of All Time

Table of Contents

Here’s the table of contents for today’s edition of the Daily Notes.

1. The Standings, and How Teams Stand According to Them
2. The Corey Kluber Society, Its Current Status
3. How 1987 Baseball Card Values Compared to Actual Player Value
4.Today’s MLB.TV Free Game
5. Today’s Complete Schedule

The Standings, and How Teams Stand According to Them

There are a dozenish contests remaining in the regular season, and fourteen teams with legitimate playoff aspirations, several of them owing to the Texas Rangers. According to FanGraphs’ very own playoff odds, the NL Wild Card is and has been resolved, and the Rays, Indians and Rangers are the leading contenders to have their playoff hopes determined by a single game.

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Daily Notes: Now with Less Cistulli

Before we begin, a brief note: Carson Cistulli will be celebrating in the French style for the next week (that sounds dirtier than I meant it) and will not be able to note things on the daily. As such, he’s foolishly enlisted several other writers from across the ___Graphs family of websites to fill in. He assured us that there is no pressure, as no one will read these things anyway. Anyway, the Daily Notes, for better or for worse, will probably be slightly different from that to which you are accustomed for the rest of this week. And now, the noting:

– Tonight we would have been privileged to watch Jose Fernandez make his 29th start and marvel at the fact that the Marlins were so unbelievably right that he could handle the jump from A-ball to the Majors (leaving aside questions of service time, which are unseemly). Instead, now that Fernandez has been officially shut down, we will see a 25 year old Sam Dyson, who I have never heard of but who I am assured is a real human male, start his first Major League game.

Let’s resolve to harbor no ill will toward young Mr. Dyson, who succeeded on what I’m going to call craftiness and guile in the minor leagues, despite striking out fewer than five batters per nine innings. Based on this alone, it’s unlikely Dyson gets more than what would have been Fernandez’s last two turns before he is DFAed this winter and is invariably signed by the Minnesota Twins.

But back to Fernandez. Throughout baseball history, successful innovation has been quick to catch on around the game. The curveball, the fielder’s glove, the three-man rotation, platooning, the four-man rotation, integration, the five-man rotation, the closer, etc. Monkeys saw, and monkeys did. Teams adapted to the new paradigm or they died. Yet, here are the Marlins following the Nationals’ lead in shutting down their young ace with more of the season left to play. The Twins did the same with Kyle Gibson (though that, also, could be described as a mercy killing), and the Mets were planning to do it with Matt Harvey, before his perfect elbow perfectly exploded. Where is the evidence that this works? At least the five-man rotation had the Big Red Machine and the closer had Rich Gossage to validate them. All this new strategy seems to have is Stephen Strasburg, whose forearm is sore as we speak, and a lot of “I dunno, I heard other people are doing it.”

Bill Baer does an excellent job of exploring this idea over on Hardball Talk. Intuitively, sure, it makes sense that pitching less would protect pitchers more, especially in light of all the evidence that demonstrates that overuse leads to injury. And I certainly would rather teams err on the side of caution, and acknowledge they have a much better idea of what their pitchers are feeling than I do. But as Harvard-trained sports physician Marcus Elliott notes, we’re bumbling around in the dark in many ways. It’s going to look awfully funny if and when we find out that the only thing we prevented by artificially limiting the number of starts an at risk pitcher makes was our own joy at getting to see the game’s best young pitchers more often.

Johnny Cueto last threw a pitch in anger on June 28, when he was removed after re-straining a lat muscle in his right side. In all, this will be just his 10th start on the year, but it has turned out that the Reds haven’t really needed him all that much.

With Tony Cingrani fighting back spasms again, however, Cueto is going to rejoin the rotation tonight without so much as a rehab start, since all the minor leagues have closed up shop for the year. On the bright side, he gets to face the closest thing to a minor league team at the major league level, in the Houston Astros.

If Cueto’s healthy and effective, and if Cingrani can recover in time, it leaves the Reds with a pretty interesting dilemma as they try to set their rotation for the postseason. Latos and Bailey are locks, but if you can definitively figure out who to turn to between Bronson Arroyo, Mike Leake, Cingrani, and Cueto, you’re a better man, woman, or child than me.

Wil Myers has been quietly excellent for the Rays, and will deservedly get the American League Rookie of the Year award. He also does incredibly naughty things to a baseball, as he did yesterday against Twins lefty Pedro Hernandez:

That ball traveled some 440 feet. Note the aw shucks look on Myers’s face on those replays and think about how hard it must be to remain humble when you can do that.

And, finally, your NERD scores:

NERD Scores

Daily Notes: The Top Minor-League Starters by kwERA

Table of Contents
Here’s the table of contents for today’s edition of the Daily Notes.

1. The Top Minor-League Starters by kwERA
2. Today’s MLB.TV Free Game
3. Today’s Complete Schedule

The Top Minor-League Starters by kwERA
Minor-league regular seasons everywhere have come to their respective conclusions. What concerned readers want to know now — or, at least what the author is presently supposing they want to know — is which qualified minor-league pitchers have recorded the best fielding-independent numbers this year. Moreover, concerned readers are adding this caveat — namely, that they’re interested in a fielding-independent metric that accounts only for strikeout and walk rate, but not home runs, owing to how much more quickly the first two become reliable.

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