Contract Crowdsourcing 2015-16: Day 10 of 15

Free agency begins five days after the end of the World Series. As in other recent offseasons, FanGraphs is once again facilitating this offseason a contract-crowdsourcing project, the idea being to harness the wisdom of the crowds to the end of better understanding the giant and large 2015-16 free-agent market.

Below are links to ballots for five of this year’s free agents, representing the second collection of starting pitchers.

Other Players: Brett Anderson / Nori Aoki / Alex Avila / Mark Buehrle / Marlon Byrd / Asdrubal Cabrera / Yoenis Cespedes / Wei-Yin Chen / Bartolo Colon / Johnny Cueto / Chris Davis / Rajai Davis / Alejandro De Aza / Ian Desmond / Stephen Drew / Dexter Fowler / David Freese / Alex Gordon / Jason Heyward / Torii Hunter / Chris Iannetta / Austin Jackson / John Jaso / Kelly Johnson / Matt Joyce / Howie Kendrick / Justin Morneau / Daniel Murphy / David Murphy / Mike Napoli / Dioner Navarro / Gerardo Parra / Steve Pearce / Alexei Ramirez / Colby Rasmus / Alex Rios / Jimmy Rollins / Geovany Soto / Denard Span / Justin Upton / Juan Uribe / Chase Utley / Will Venable / Shane Victorino / Matt Wieters / Chris Young the Outfielder / Ben Zobrist.

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R.A. Dickey (Profile)
Some relevant information regarding Dickey:

  • Has averaged 218 IP and 1.8 WAR over last three seasons.
  • Has averaged 1.7 WAR per 200 IP* over last three seasons.
  • Recorded a 2.1 WAR in 214.1 IP in 2015.
  • Is projected to record 1.3 WAR per 200 IP**.
  • Is entering his age-41 season.
  • Made $12.0M in 2015, as part of deal signed in December 2010.

*That is, a roughly average number of innings for a starting pitcher.
**Prorated version of 2016 Steamer projections available here.

Click here to estimate years and dollars for Dickey.

***

Marco Estrada (Profile)
Some relevant information regarding Estrada:

  • Has averaged 153 IP and 1.2 WAR over last three seasons.
  • Has averaged 1.5 WAR per 200 IP* over last three seasons.
  • Recorded a 1.8 WAR in 181.0 IP in 2015.
  • Is projected to record 1.0 WAR per 200 IP**.
  • Is entering his age-32 season.
  • Made $3.9M in 2015, as part of deal signed in January 2015.

*That is, a roughly average number of innings for a starting pitcher.
**Prorated version of 2016 Steamer projections available here.

Click here to estimate years and dollars for Estrada.

***

Doug Fister (Profile)
Some relevant information regarding Fister:

  • Has averaged 158 IP and 1.9 WAR over last three seasons.
  • Has averaged 2.4 WAR per 200 IP* over last three seasons.
  • Recorded a 0.2 WAR in 103.0 IP in 2015.
  • Is projected to record 0.9 WAR per 200 IP**.
  • Is entering his age-32 season.
  • Made $11.4M in 2015, as part of deal signed in January 2015.

*That is, a roughly average number of innings for a starting pitcher.
**Prorated version of 2016 Steamer projections available here.

Click here to estimate years and dollars for Fister.

***

Yovani Gallardo (Profile)
Some relevant information regarding Gallardo:

  • Has averaged 185 IP and 2.2 WAR over last three seasons.
  • Has averaged 2.4 WAR per 200 IP* over last three seasons.
  • Recorded a 2.5 WAR in 184.1 IP in 2015.
  • Is projected to record 1.6 WAR per 200 IP**.
  • Is entering his age-30 season.
  • Made $13.0M in 2015, as part of deal signed in April 2010.

*That is, a roughly average number of innings for a starting pitcher.
**Prorated version of 2016 Steamer projections available here.

Click here to estimate years and dollars for Gallardo.

***

Jaime Garcia (Profile)
Some relevant information regarding Garcia:

  • Has averaged 76 IP and 1.3 WAR over last three seasons.
  • Has averaged 3.3 WAR per 200 IP* over last three seasons.
  • Recorded a 2.8 WAR in 129.2 IP in 2015.
  • Is projected to record 3.5 WAR per 200 IP**.
  • Is entering his age-29 season.
  • Made $9.3M in 2015, as part of deal signed in July 2011.

*That is, a roughly average number of innings for a starting pitcher.
**Prorated version of 2016 Steamer projections available here.

Click here to estimate years and dollars for Garcia.

We hoped you liked reading Contract Crowdsourcing 2015-16: Day 10 of 15 by Carson Cistulli!

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Carson Cistulli has published a book of aphorisms called Spirited Ejaculations of a New Enthusiast.

newest oldest most voted
Cory Settoon
Member

Estrada feels like the kind of pitcher the Pirates sign. They could probably help him keep up his current results. Maybe they just re-sign Happ instead.

Joe
Guest
Joe

I don’t see Estrada as a fit. The pirates generally go for ground ball pitchers, and Estrada is an extreme fly-ball pitcher. Of the list above I think Garcia would be the best fit, but I think St. Louis will bring him back.

TKDC
Guest
TKDC

There is pretty much zero chance Garcia’s option is not picked up.