Effectively Wild Episode 1136: The Double-Draft Edition

EWFI

Ben Lindbergh and Jeff Sullivan banter about Mookie Betts’ bowling exploits and Jeff’s AL Rookie of the Year ballot, then predict and review the results of Jerry Crasnick’s annual insiders survey, draft winter World Series odds movers, and do another draft of free agents’ estimated earnings.

Audio intro: Jale, "Double Edge"
Audio outro: Camera Obscura, "Double Feature"

Link to Jerry Crasnick’s 2017 survey
Link to early-offseason World Series odds
Link to MLBTR’s free-agent rankings
Link to Effectively Wild t-shirts

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Raphael Silva
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Raphael Silva

if you guys really think lance lynn and jaime garcia are on the same level, you’ve clearly never watched them pitch on a regular basis. garcia is a back end starter who does not fool good hitters, and lynn is a mid-rotation guy, who can give his team a chance against a good lineup..
you could probably find advanced stats to back up either side of the argument- but just to basically show how hittable jaime is- 2017- in 157 innings he gave up 157 hits. lynn- in 186 innings he gave up 151 hits. lynn had a solid whip of 1.23. jaime had a far from confidence-inspiring whip of 1.41.
lynn is certainly no ace, but he simply has better stuff, is more capable of beating above-average hitters, and gets away with at least some of his mistakes. if he didn’t have one awful start against pittsburgh at the end of the year (8 er in 0.2 ip- when he must have just been exhausted first season back from tj- or had a stomach flu.. or something heavy on his mind..) his overall numbers would look even stronger.
if jaime isn’t pinpoint perfect with his command, he is in big trouble- not that he can’t add value over a full season.. but after watching these guys for years, it’s ridiculous to put them in the same category.