Effectively Wild Episode 1287: Contact High

EWFI
Ben Lindbergh and Jeff Sullivan banter about a home-run robbery by 40-year-old Endy Chavez and some managerial news, then discuss the first two games of the World Series, focusing on the Red Sox strikeout narrative, the disappointment of Clayton Kershaw vs. Chris Sale and Sale’s playoff vulnerability, David Price’s second consecutive strong postseason start, a Fenway Park attendance mystery, mid-inning commercials on the Fox broadcast, Nathan Eovaldi’s free agency, Cody Bellinger’s deceptive fly balls, the decisions of Dave Roberts (including Pedro Baez vs. Alex Wood and not starting Max Muncy), and more.

Audio intro: Rolling Blackouts Coastal Fever, "Talking Straight"
Audio outro: Oasis, "Hung in a Bad Place"

Link to Endy play
Link to Ben’s research on the contact advantage
Link to Jeff’s research on the contact advantage
Link to Jeff’s Bellinger post

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soaktherich
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soaktherich

I think what you’re struggling with, Jeff and Ben, is that some stats are predictive and some are simply explanatory. FG’s mission is more or less to find the perfect, r^2 = 100 predictive stat but that doesn’t mean that explanatory stats like RISP or RBI are stupid. They tell you what happened, which is useful. They just don’t tell you what’s going to happen.

Obviously, trying to turn explanatory stats into predictive stats is unwise and perhaps the possibility that someone somewhere will try to do that is what is frustrating you so much about the fact that the Red Sox have been clutch in 2018 and the Dodgers haven’t been.