Eno Sarris Baseball Chat — 6/27/13

8:46
Eno Sarris: I’m sure my thumb will be fine in 15 minutes. *cuts thumb off* See you soon!

9:00
Eno Sarris: These are probably super easy, but lyrics of the day are injury-themed, appropriately:

I wear this crown of thorns
Upon my liar’s chair
Full of broken thoughts
I cannot repair

9:00
Comment From V
Just wanted to say thanks for doing this chat every week. It’s both highly informative and extremely fun at the same time.

9:00
Eno Sarris: AND I”M DOING IT IN PAIN

9:00
Comment From Richard III
My kingdom for a thumb.

9:00
Comment From JEB
pain in thumb whilst typing might be the biggest first world problem ever

9:00
Eno Sarris: and from pickup ball too

9:00
Comment From Mark
Brandon Belt in Colorado feel like a good weekend stream?

9:01
Eno Sarris: Yeah and he’s swinging it pretty good, even though there’s no such thing as a hot streak.

9:01
Comment From HTD
Thoughts on Nathan Eovaldi’s new fastball? Think he has a chance to sustain it?

9:01
Eno Sarris: Sure but fastball velocity was never his problem. What’s his third pitch.

9:01
Comment From Zach
Carlos Martinez:
1)will be called up within next 2-3 weeks, right?
2) Percent chance he stays in rotation till at least 9/1? He has 48 innings in right now, he pitched 104 in 2012. 134-48=86. 86/6 (inning/start) = 14 starts. 14 * 5 = 70 games. I think he makes it easily if he is their 5th starter coming out of the break, right?
3) Him or Wheeler ROS from time CM comes up if I need K’s and W’s?

9:02
Eno Sarris: They are holding Wacha’s innings down because they think they might need him at the end of the year. That makes me think that Wacha is next in line, and I’d want Wheeler, if only as upside play on bench. (not starting him until I see the tipping end, and a nice two- or three-walk game.

9:02
Comment From HTD
Why has Teheran only thrown his changeup around 5% of the time? Wasn’t it consistently rated as his best pitch when he was a prospect?

9:02
Eno Sarris: IT’s a mystery. Right now, he’s sinker/slider, and that’s not a sustainable combination.

9:03
Comment From austin
earlier in the season I traded jason heyward and jaime garcia (when he was hot, before he was injured) for joey votto. i also traded headley and trumbo for yu, which i was able to do since i had aramis and hanley for backup at 3rd. how good should i feel right now?

9:03
Eno Sarris: pretty f’ing good

9:03
Comment From Greg
Is Rickie Weeks potentially the best buy-low option of the season?

9:03
Eno Sarris: And Heyward maybe.

9:03
Comment From RetireNutting
were you named after Brian Eno?

9:03
Eno Sarris: Yup! And born in 1979, so I was named after glam rock Brian Eno, and then he did all that other stuff.

9:03
Comment From Milhouse
My mclouth for his laroche? Obp league. What side you like?

9:03
Eno Sarris: McLouth. More categories.

9:03
Comment From Joe hogan
Is Lincecum droppanle

9:04
Eno Sarris: Sure. In shallower leagues. I’m holding on for dear life in a 14-team k/9 league. But I’ve thought about it.

9:04
Comment From Dexter
Who closes if/when Gregg & Papelbon are traded?

9:06
Eno Sarris: Oh no, don’t even want to think about Chicago with Gregg gone. I don’t believe in Russell, obviously, since he’s a LOOGY really. Maybe Parker. In Philly, I like Bastardo (got last save when guys were out) and then DeFratus. DeFratus a righty, so it could be him. But Bastardo has the K rate.

9:06
Comment From Kevin
Erasmo Ramiez or Cory Kluber. Who you got?

9:06
Eno Sarris: The guy in the bigs now.

9:06
Comment From JEB
What beer pairs best with a Puig homerun?

9:06
Eno Sarris: Something bold and brash. LIke a Green Flash West Coast IPA that just hits you in the MOUF.

9:06
Comment From Fish
Oh man, I haven’t been here in a few weeks. Did I miss anything?

9:06
Comment From Maxamuz

The Baseball Gods have not been kind to Lucas Duda this week. He is on the DL with a strained left intercostal. SAY IT AIN'T SO ENO! I blame this on Juan Pierres Mustache!!

9:07
Eno Sarris: Yo missed the beginning of a blood feud.

9:07
Comment From Yovani Gallardo
I pretty much suck now, huh?

9:07
Eno Sarris: Too many two-seamers.

9:07
Comment From Eddie
Instead of his surface numbers regressing towards his peripherals, Edwin Jackson’s peripherals have just gotten worse. What on Earth am I supposed to do with this guy?!

9:07
Eno Sarris: Drop him. Seriously. I think his upside is 4/1.3 with ok k/9.

9:07
Comment From T-bone
Trying to trade King Felix away for prospects/young players in Otto pts. Have the option of Bogaerts and Arcia, Cole and Baez(maybe Yelich instead), or Taveras and Archie Bradley/Corbin. Any of those a fair return? Which do you like most?

9:08
Eno Sarris: Bogaerts side probably. I like Taveras/Corbin, but the pitching side is probably not as high-ceiling as Arcia, and the Cards take forever with their prospects. Bogaerts has a chance at 3b like right now.

9:08
Comment From Das Otter
With an older player like Ortiz, should I be selling high while his production is (semi) amazing? I’m worried about his yearly injury derailing his season.

9:08
Eno Sarris: In a keeper league for sure. In a redraft… he’s usually good when the team is good, and the team is good.

9:08
Comment From Mark
Shipyard was good. See what you mean about the IPAs but Monkey Fist was pretty decent.

9:09
Eno Sarris: Everything is better at the brewery! But did not like those IPAs.

9:09
Comment From JEB
I was trading Puig for Shields/H. Bailey when I read your article on him and backed out. I hope I don’t regret it.

9:09
Eno Sarris: That’s decent actually. I was just saying I wouldn’t trade Puig for the buy-low guys, where there’s a question about health (like Kemp).

9:09
Comment From West Coast IPA
how did you get involved with fangraphs?

9:09
Eno Sarris: Applied for RotoGraphs. And I hire often.

9:10
Comment From Mr. Wrestling IV
How much does the Bundy TJ news hurt his keeper value?

9:10
Eno Sarris: A lot. Now you have to wait another year and a half to see him. I might buy-low if buying low means really cheap.

9:10
Comment From Greg
Better fantasy starter ROS – Colome or Archer?

9:10
Eno Sarris: Archer. Not sure Colome always knows where it’s going.

9:11
Comment From Jordan

Thumbs up Eno

9:11
Eno Sarris: It’s so big and black and blue right now.

9:11
Comment From Matt
Is Matt Weiters just not that good as a fantasy catcher?

9:11
Eno Sarris: But pretty damn good as a real-life one.

9:11
Comment From Matt
What do you think of targeting Braun for next year? Does his injury, suspension risk, and in my keeper league a high salary make him someone I should stay away from?

9:11
Eno Sarris: His suspension, if it happens, and I don’t think it will, will probably be over in time to have a good season next year. But what about his SBs? Could be the salary that matters the most.

9:12
Comment From Cleon
Mitch Moreland worth owning in a shallow league?

9:12
Eno Sarris: Eh. I mean sure, I like him, but I don’t quite trust him v LHP yet.

9:12
Comment From Greg
Which closers are most likely to lose their jobs at the trade deadline?

9:12
Eno Sarris: Benoit, Gregg, Papelbon.

9:12
Comment From Carl
Eno- is LoCain about to lose his gig to Lough and Dyson?

9:13
Eno Sarris: Maybe a platoon, but I doubt a full-on lost job. He’s a better player, true-talent, then Dyson, who’s a one-tooler.

9:13
Comment From BourbonCountySheriff
Please rank your top 3 closer speculation pickup!

9:15
Eno Sarris: Tom Wilhelmsen (if he was dropped haha), Luke Gregerson, Jake McGee, Junichi Tazawa, Dalte Thayer, Blake Parker. Rex Brothers is better than most on talent, but I think Rox will hold Raffy since they in contention. Trevor Rosenthal is still on my radar, but damn. Mujica still doing it with 65% splitters.

9:15
Comment From upton bros
we were better apart.

9:15
Eno Sarris: Song title.

9:15
Comment From Andrew
You ok?

9:16
Eno Sarris: Just hoping it’s not broken.

9:16
Comment From Mr. Wrestling IV
Take that gangrene!

9:16
Eno Sarris: or that.

9:16
Comment From Razor
What’s the highest beer wins you’ve drank in a day? I’ve pulled off a 3-way trade for heady topper AND zombie dust, and think I may break 100 wins on that day.

9:16
Eno Sarris: Went to Russian River for Pliny the Younger. Had three of them, and then all their sours. That was probably a 100-win day!

9:16
Comment From Built Like the Mets
Need outfield help in my 6×6 roto league. Please eval: Rios/Crisp for Minor/Frazier.

9:17
Eno Sarris: I want Rios/Crisp side. But there’s obviously needs involved here.

9:17
Comment From Guest
Was that audio of The Hawk you posted at NG recorded on the first phonograph?

9:17
Eno Sarris: Hah. My computer made the sounds out loud and then recorded them, so it was a bit incestuous. I’m sure that added some reverb.

9:17
Comment From Goat
EEEE-NOOO!! Noticed Alex Rios has lost 20 feet from his HR+FB distance this year, yet still posting similar HR/FB ratio. Anything to do with the chilly weather this year in Chicago and are worries outweighed by chance he gets moved pre deadline? Also are you starting Lester tonight v TOR?

9:17
Eno Sarris: I think he’s still good to go.

9:17
Comment From pudieron89
Hanley is showing some nice production right now, worth a buy-high before he becomes a buy-higher?

9:18
Eno Sarris: Worth checking to see if Hanley owner found another shortstop in the meantime. Might have a surplus that fits your needs. I do like hanley.

9:18
Comment From mix
Do you enjoy watching the All Star Game and its associated circus?

9:18
Eno Sarris: Not especially. They are trying 75% at best.

9:18
Comment From Greg
Who’s your favorite player in real baseball that isn’t very good in fantasy?

9:18
Eno Sarris: Simmons maybe. Still have love in my heart for Duda, amazingly. Just a real nice guy.

9:18
Comment From Sirras One
Is this the year the Pirates end over .500? Looked like last year was going to be the year around this time…

9:18
Eno Sarris: yes.

9:19
Comment From pudieron89
why is the beergraphs link in your tagline dead?

9:19
Eno Sarris: Gah I thought I fixed that. will do it again.

9:19
Comment From John V.
I KNOW U KNOW WE ALL KNOW FOR ENO

9:19
Comment From THE Gregorius D.I.D.(i)
Some interloper stole my handle when I was on vacaation last week and posted pure madness. I am glad to say that I am back actively chatting today and will post only diluted madness.

9:19
Comment From bdhudson
hurt – NIN

9:19
Eno Sarris: someone else did it better interlude

9:19
Comment From Leibniz
Do you think there’s a true talent level for math? Or can most people succeed at it if they work hard enough.

9:20
Eno Sarris: I used to be good (three years of calculus in high school) but now I’m bad (see any of my posts). So that might mean something.

9:20
Comment From NapolisDeadHips
Eno, in Boston, any good east coast Saisons that you’ve had and would recommend?

9:20
Eno Sarris: Saison Dupont is the one for you. they have an unfiltered one too. Out of cooperstown. Hennepin from Ommegang is good.

9:20
Comment From NapolisDeadHips
Anything that makes you think Hamels turns it around, or are you selling on him anyway you can at this point?

9:21
Eno Sarris: I’ll put it this way: I don’t see anything that tells me he *won’t* turn it around.

9:21
Comment From Jim
Can you rank these four outfielders ROS: D. Brown, Jennings, Pence, Marte. How about as keepers?

9:22
Eno Sarris: this year: Pence/Jennings/Marte/Brown. Keepers: Jennings/Marte/Brown/Pence. Pence is having a great season but he’s old and I wouldn’t depend on those SBs continuing. Brown is good, but I think more of a true talent .275/25/5 guy, Marte and Jennings have more speed. Case to be made for Marte over Jennings. Maybe I’d swithc those.

9:22
Comment From Razor
THE MONTELL JORDAN GUESSES ARE OFF, BECAUSE I KNOW IT’S “HURT!” Didi or Iglesias ROS?

9:22
Eno Sarris: Didi

9:22
Comment From RetireNutting
also, are all Pirates fans like me waiting for Fangraphs to feature an article that tells us whether we can believe in this team or not? or is that just me?

9:22
Eno Sarris: that piece was already written

9:22
Comment From Ted
Do you predict Shelby Miller will be shut down later in the season? If so, when would you guess?

9:23
Eno Sarris: Nah, I mean maybe a start or two off so they can use in postseason, but not a real limit/shutdown situation.

9:23
Comment From Lane
Please rank in order of best bet for saves moving forward: Benoit, Putz, Uehara or Cishek?

9:23
Eno Sarris: Putz, Cishek, Benoit, Uehara.

9:23
Comment From thomas
Dynasty league: Howard for Shields? Howard rides my bench.

9:23
Eno Sarris: YES.

9:23
Comment From Maxamuz
Question is are you listening to the NIN version or Johnny Cash version?

9:23
Eno Sarris: exactly. Love the Cash one.

9:23
Comment From Mr. Wrestling IV
What is one to do with V-Mart?

9:23
Eno Sarris: Wait.

9:23
Comment From David
Trent Reznor. Someone just dropped Derek Holland in my 10*mixed … this is a valid (and slam dunk) use of my waiver priority yes?

9:23
Eno Sarris: yes.

9:24
Comment From MBM
Any reason to worry about Derek Holland? His underlying numbers seem alright, but the results haven’t been there lately.

9:24
Eno Sarris: just a tough stretch.

9:24
Comment From Maxamuz
My Grandfather once met Johnny Cash at a bar and shook his hand. Now they are both dead but their story lives on.

9:24
Comment From dude
DUDE!

9:24
Comment From Jim
Damn opposable thumbs are such an inconvenience.

9:24
Eno Sarris: LUDE!

9:24
Comment From Erasmo Ramirez
Am I coming up anytime soon?

9:25
Eno Sarris: Yes I do believe he is. But we won’t know until he’s up. Might be waiting for injury to one of the vets.

9:25
Comment From Jordan
What’s the deal with Anthony Rendon? Will he continue to be high avg/OBP+low power? His splits in minors suggest otherwise but I don’t understand how power could disappear between the minors and the majors.

9:25
Eno Sarris: Power takes the longest to stabilize. And I do think his true talent power level is up for discussion.

9:25
Comment From Matt (Steinway)
Johnny Cash version or Nine in Nails version? Do you agree with how Collins/Buck called Wheeler’s game the other day? Pitch tipping aside, I felt like every time he got to two strikes on a hitter, they called for breaking pitches that he couldn’t locate and the Sox wouldn’t swing at. Why not let him work the fastball when it’s on and pick the spots for breaking pitches?

9:26
Eno Sarris: I think the Mets — perhaps rightfully — sometimes focus on development at the big league level too. Think of Harvey and his changeup. They kept calling for him to throw it more until they were shouted down and his performance made it obvious he was fine with a show-me/occasional change. Wheeler needs to show more until they stop screwing with him.

9:26
Comment From John V.
Arcia? This kid legit?

9:27
Eno Sarris: Has power. Plate discipline leaves me cold, like he might have a bad BA.

9:27
Comment From Danny
How important is a third pitch to you? Rays’ Jake McGee got by with FB/CH for a while and broke down, now he’s added slider to great success… could that be Marmol’s problem?

9:27
Eno Sarris: Third pitch bigger deal for starters. Usually relievers can get by. Although look at Capps, he could use a changeup. Lefties still hit him well.

9:27
Comment From An Optimistic Fan
Thoughts on Seattle minor league SS Brad Miller? I like him. A lot. does he get called up and hit this year?

9:28
Eno Sarris: A little worried about staying at short, but I do think he could come up soon. It’s not like the guy at short right now is wowing them.

9:28
Comment From THE Gregorius D.I.D.(i)
ESPN players alert: Edwin Encarnacion gained 3B eligibility last night!

9:28
Comment From Bird Man
a lot of fantasy experts have been employing this “live chat” now, just wanted to say i think you do it best and are the gold standard for fantasy live chats

9:28
Eno Sarris: Not quite a new thing, but I’ll take the compliment.

9:28
Comment From Ted
WHere will Wilin Rosario finish the season ranked among catchers?

9:28
Eno Sarris: Top three.

9:29
Comment From Steve
Guess I can stop asking if I should hold on to Tex.

9:29
Eno Sarris: In a keeper league? Only if you keep double-digits. I’ll keep him on my DL in my keep25 until I need the slot.

9:29
Comment From Matt M
Is John Lackey’s miraculous run sustainable? Because it looks sustainable, but I’m having a hard time trusting…

9:29
Eno Sarris: I think he can high-threes ERA with a 7k9 like he used to.

9:29
Comment From Built Like the Mets
Jurickson Profar: Destined to be a shiny ornamental bauble on my keeper league bench for the rest of this season?

9:29
Eno Sarris: Old team, there will be another injury.

9:30
Comment From An Optimistic Fan
Who is better for fantasy, Ellsbury or Aoki and why?

9:30
Eno Sarris: ellsbury because Aoki’s CS suggests he’ll steal less often. Also, he had three sub-20 SB seasons in Japan before coming over.

9:30
Comment From 2ndHS
Rickie Weeks is 11th in wOBA and wRC+ among qualified 2B and tied for 5th in HR among all 2B. I believed in him!

9:31
Eno Sarris: well those aren’t fantasy cats, but he usually comes around. I just can’t own low-batting-average guys. Once you start losing in that category, you can’t get it back.

9:31
Comment From Keeper? I hardly know her
Robert Stephenson or George Springer in a H2H keeper league? I have a weak outfield and older starting pitchers.

9:31
Eno Sarris: I’d probably take Stephenson. I’m worried about Springer’s K%.

9:31
Comment From Jordan

Yup

9:32
Eno Sarris: I mean can you believe it. my mom’s a bit strange.

9:32
Comment From Steven
More droppable in a 14-team league: Porcello or Teheran?

9:32
Eno Sarris: porcello

9:32
Comment From An Optimistic Fan
Who is the better starter available at the deadline, Nolasco or Garza? My friend–who is a Cubs fan–says Garza… is he way too biased, or kind of right?

9:32
Eno Sarris: He’s right IMO.

9:32
Comment From dude
Only anarchists are pretty.

9:32
Comment From THE Gregorius D.I.D.(i)
Pig’s Ear Brown has to be in the running for a Post-Puig HR celebration

9:32
Comment From Jim
Blind Puig IPA

9:32
Comment From juan pierres mustache
seems like porkslap pale ale would be appropriate for puig homers

9:33
Comment From THE Gregorius D.I.D.(i)
I blame Juan Pierre’s Mustache for all fantasy maladies now…it’s great

9:33
Eno Sarris: Hey let’s not all jump in on JPM.

9:33
Comment From dude
I never seen a one sided feud before…but Maxamuz has managed to pull it off. I have yet to see any evidence that Juan Pierre’s mustache actually cares about the call outs from Maxamuz. It is truly a sad day when our society can’t hate one another over trivial things.

9:33
Eno Sarris: We’ll see about this.

9:33
Comment From THE Gregorius D.I.D.(i)
w/ Brett Anderson out until “at least” August is he at all a worthwhile DL stash for a hope at a good Sept. for H2h playoffs?

9:33
Eno Sarris: I still like him…

9:33
Comment From An Optimistic Fan
Will Nick Swisher ever hit again? (same goes for Cespedes and Willingham).

9:34
Eno Sarris: I’ll take the youngest guy in the group. One thing about Swish is that he changed home park power environments pretty drastically.

9:34
Comment From Chris
Are you a Nick Franklin believer, long-term?

9:34
Eno Sarris: Yes! Maybe a little better than Neil Walker.

9:34
Comment From LarryA
In the spring you told us to use up SP inning while the weather was cold. Should we now be saving some innings for when the rosters expand? Do good SPs do better in September?

9:35
Eno Sarris: Man. I need to look into that. September analysis is tough, but you have to think some pitchers get the AAAA lineup some days.

9:35
Comment From Joe
Billy Butler: wha’ happen? No power and a BABIP of .320. Tentative buy low? Rather have him or Heyward at UTIL?

9:35
Eno Sarris: He’s a true talent .280/20-25 guy. Still can do it.

9:35
Comment From dude
Bombarding your queue with nonsensical nonsense is the goal today. This is what happens when you miss three weeks in a row.

9:35
Eno Sarris: Unsure if your posts will be any different than mine.

9:36
Comment From Nate
Grandal line ROS (assuming no suspension)? He seems to be already starting to bounce back…

9:36
Eno Sarris: I like him in the .260-.280/double digit power group that starts around #8 and goes to #16.

9:36
Comment From Johnny
Carter Capps closing at some point this season or AAA?

9:37
Eno Sarris: He’ll be fine. He’ll close after Wilhelmsen I bet, but not this year.

9:37
Comment From Bruce
But Heyward is still bad! how can we be sure hes a buy low?

9:37
Eno Sarris: He’s hitting more fly balls, should turn into power. Luck stats look like they should regress.

9:37
Comment From one more
Cespedes/Shields/Parker or Ellsbury/Darvish? 10-team with OPS, K/9, IP, QS (no wins)

9:37
Eno Sarris: Ells/Darvish fairly clearly to me.

9:38
Comment From jimbo
Is Leonys Martin 10-team league material? 5th OF?

9:38
Eno Sarris: Only if you have a decent bench. Not a starter v LHP.

9:38
Comment From Alex
Is it time to sell Matt Holliday while he has some name value of his consistency left? He’s been, shall I say, not stellar this year.

9:38
Eno Sarris: True talent .285/25 guy with no speed, lots of Rs/RBIs. Still pretty sweet.

9:38
Eno Sarris: But in keeper league, sell sometime this year, shoulda sold last year like I said.

9:38
Comment From THE Gregorius D.I.D.(i)
Fun Fact of the day: Nolan Ryan had a career .265 babip (weak contact much?)

9:39
Eno Sarris: SIERA found a link between high K% and and low BABIPs.

9:39
Comment From bdhudson
Gyorko still has his job full time when he gets back, right?

9:39
Eno Sarris: yes. but. setback.

9:39
Comment From Mike
Was just browsing stats the other day. Found this interesting. Almost identical stats for Chris Carter and Mark Reynolds yet one is owned in 25% of leagues, the other 75%

9:39
Eno Sarris: And I don’t own either. Once. Ks scare me.

9:39
Comment From gusto
Trade Howie K to get Samardjzia? Got MI Depth

9:39
Eno Sarris: Yes.

9:39
Comment From Guest
How many PH HR has Evan Gattis hit whilst on the DL?

9:40
Eno Sarris: All of them.

9:40
Comment From Pat
Hurt – Nine Inch Nails/Johnny Cash – on Eovaldi, while the lack of a third pitch may limit his upside – is he not a good play at home and in bigger ballparks? Do you like him this weekend against San Diego?

9:40
Comment From Marty
Sorry I’m late, it’s hard to hitch-hike with a broken thumb

9:40
Eno Sarris: Yes great spot starter.

9:40
Eno Sarris: NOT YOU TOO

9:40
Comment From Guest #1
PLEASE explain to me the difference between previous page, previous entries/next page, next entries. Ive been trying to figure it out for 2 years

9:40
Eno Sarris: LOL. Gets me too. I’m sure you can get it better than I can explain it here though.

9:40
Comment From Not Dan Weaver
Tell me CC is more than an innings eater these days.

9:41
Eno Sarris: Looks like the velo loss was a big deal, huh.

9:41
Comment From THE Gregorius D.I.D.(i)
Jake McGee or Joel Peralta (5×5)

9:41
Eno Sarris: Jake.

9:41
Comment From JEB
I know he has less than 100 PA’s but isn’t Puig a keeper in most formats? That’s the only part of the Shields/H.Bailey trade that bothers me.

9:41
Eno Sarris: Oh, keeper. Yeah, Like I said in my article, in a keeper league, I found the guy, gonna be hard to get him from me.

9:42
Comment From Rags
Hurt by NIN? In a NL only keeper roto. 12 points out of first and 10 points above 3rd. I’ve got BJ Upton, Rickie Weeks, Prado, and Braun. Do I sell the farm and try to pick up more ground on first? Or assume these guys turn it around and push me over the top?

9:42
Eno Sarris: Can’t sell low on those guys. They are your trade deadline acquisitions.

9:42
Comment From don juan
First rec league bball game in months tomorrow – any suggestions other than not hurt my thumb?

9:42
Eno Sarris: Cut to the basket.

9:42
Comment From 2ndHS
“It’s so big and black…” –Out of context Eno Sarris quotes!

9:42
Comment From Guest
I feel like Kramer barging into Jerry’s apartment whenever I’m late for the chat.

9:43
Comment From Rubby of the Rose
Is Duda the new Chen?

9:43
Comment From Fantasy Durr
Hello, Mr. Sarris! It would be invaluable for me and my non-corporeal baseball franchise if you could transcribe the RoS ZiPS projections for a random assortment of players. Thank you and good day.

9:43
Eno Sarris: Up and down interlude.

9:43
Comment From Guest
ROS Coco or Bourn?

9:44
Eno Sarris: Bourn stealing a bit less, Crisp has more power, more injury prone. Still Bourn for me, but if you give me Crisp and an upgrade, might do it.

9:44
Comment From J.D.
Looking to sell high on Matt Moore in an AL keeper league. Do you agree, and who’s a good AL hitter to target?

9:44
Eno Sarris: can’t tell you a random target, but yeah Moore’s a sell high if he can’t figure out his control.

9:44
Comment From jon
Should Ibanez be owned in all leagues?

9:44
Eno Sarris: Eh. I mean. Eh.

9:45
Comment From Bruce
Start or Bench Kluber V Orioles today?

9:45
Eno Sarris: in Baltimore? With a history of tough HR/FB numbers? I’m sitting him.

9:45
Comment From PUIG!
I tried to trade Puig for Cain and was TURNED DOWN!

9:46
Eno Sarris: That’s cause that person is reading all the people saying to sell high and not really thinking about it, imo.

9:46
Comment From Steve
I hope you’re not saying that Johnny Cash did ‘Hurt’ better than NIN.

9:46
Eno Sarris: I am, and I like both versions. Cash’s version was so different it blew my mind. Like when I heard that Greek knockoff version of Billie Jean and finally understood the lyrics.

9:46
Comment From Bobo
If Hultzen gets in 5 solid starts at Tacoma, will he get promoted?

9:47
Eno Sarris: It’s a race between him and Tai and Erasmo. Maybe the Mariners admit defeat and trade off their veteran starters. What a mess.

9:47
Comment From Wily Mo Yen Mo Problems
Any change Josh Hamilton or Mike Morse will turn it around in the second half? They’ve been killing me this year.

9:47
Eno Sarris: I don’t have much hope for either, given their plate discipline.

9:47
Comment From CB
Will Nolasco (on the Dodgers where he apparently will be traded today) or Straily a better option RoS?

9:48
Eno Sarris: Nolasco. I like Straily, looking forward to an interview with him, but the fastball makes him a homer issue on the road, and his approach may need a little refining. Good secondary stuff though.

9:48
Comment From Guest
When will harvey hit his innings limit mid august?

9:48
Eno Sarris: no real limit. 190+ innings.

9:48
Comment From THE Gregorius D.I.D.(i)
Cespedes: are the BB% decline (8-7.5%) and K% increase (18.9-24.6) concerns a little overblown and really it’s just the low LD rate (19.6-14.4% and related babip dip .326-.244) that’s really depressing his production so far?

9:49
Eno Sarris: 24.6% is a big number. That’s the one that bothers me. His swSTR was too high for his K% last year. It’s the one thing that bothers me about Puig too. But Puig is younger, so more likely to improve K%/swSTR, and also I believe he’ll steal more because of his age.

9:49
Comment From Royalfan
Wil Myers has one walk. Is he just the new Francouer?

9:49
Eno Sarris: Come on now. You have seen his MiLB numbers.

9:50
Comment From juan pierres mustache
was that a picture of your mom? kudos

9:50
Eno Sarris: YOUR ANGER IS MISDIRECTED.

9:50
Comment From stonepie
vogelsong have any value when he returns?

9:50
Eno Sarris: deep league.

9:50
Comment From person hscer
Deduno or Guthrie in FGTG today?

9:50
Eno Sarris: Guthrie or neither.

9:51
Comment From Bubbles Please
What are the highest rated BeerGraphs beers that are readily available in NYC?

9:51
Eno Sarris: and probably a lot of these http://beergraphs.com/leaderboards/?r=PA

9:52
Comment From juan pierres mustache
jeez now it’s a gang feud

9:52
Eno Sarris: hey now, I said you’d come back swinging. not at me.

9:53
Comment From Jordan
Puig translated to English is Puig. Puig translated to Arabic is ????

9:53
Comment From Zach
My college roomate introduced me to Brian Eno the year you were born. I loved him. Did he do the awesome song Elephant Talk (I’ve burned a lot of brain cells since then and have kids and no time to listen to my old music).

9:53
Comment From juan pierres mustache
im more of a silent, brooding hater, myself

9:53
Eno Sarris: I laughed, I reminisced, I grew fearful. #interlude

9:54
Comment From Reddickulous
Besides CarGo, my OF are middling. Which two would you start for the rest of the year: Jennings, Crisp, Cespedes, Gardner?

9:54
Eno Sarris: I love your outfield. Crisp when healthy. Gardner v RHP, Jennings v LHP. play the platoons.

9:54
Comment From Razor
What’s the LOWEST beer wins you’ve consumed in a day? I would assume in college you got like a -30 from natty ice or something.

9:54
Eno Sarris: I drank better beer in college than I did playing pong with my wife at her business school functions.

9:55
Comment From Cory
Wheeler or Cole? I already have Harvey?

9:55
Eno Sarris: Cole pretty much for me. Despite the low Ks.

9:55
Comment From Ben
Blanco or Span ROS?

9:55
Eno Sarris: In an OBP league, you might go Blanco actually. But the Ks say Span in BA leagues.

9:55
Comment From Mike

The percentage owned discrepancy is a bit funny, yes?

9:56
Eno Sarris: I’d want to see their BABIPs.

9:56
Comment From Barry
If you had to choose, Liriano or Klubler?

9:56
Eno Sarris: Liriano.

9:56
Comment From Steve
Does Bailey regain the closers job?

9:56
Eno Sarris: Or hits the DL.

9:56
Comment From dude
Swisher also has the shoulder issue. I own him in a league. But now I don’t want to.

9:56
Comment From RetireNutting
Speaking of Neil Walker, he’s a platoon player that’s just too popular to platoon in Pittsburgh, right?

9:56
Eno Sarris: Switch hitter. I’d have to look at his career splits, but I’d be surprised if that was the case.

9:56
Comment From LarryA
Any reason to pick up and stash Gary Brown? Dudes on fire!

9:57
Eno Sarris: With Pagan out all year, this is not crazy. Juan Perez is fun, but could be exposed with more play. His plate discipline is not good.

9:57
Comment From Just Wondering
What do you think will happen when Beachy returns to the Braves? Would they really send Teheran down/to the pen?

9:57
Eno Sarris: That’s my thought. they want to limit his IP anyway, most likely.

9:57
Comment From Patrick
Domonic Brown shows little to no discernible weakness versus LHPs in his splits. Was the caution shown by the organization overblown, or are we seeing the fruits of his mechanical labors?

9:58
Eno Sarris: I think the new swing helped him a lot in this regard. His hands are now in a ready position faster, which means he can turn on inside pitches from lefties quicker.

9:58
Comment From Maxamuz
THE Gregorius D.I.D.(i), you are welcome to join The Brotherhood against Juan Pierres Mustache. The only requirement is your un-dying loyalty to Lucas Duda.

9:58
Comment From Mike Maddux
Am I making you uncomfortable? What, is it my mustache? I can’t believe you don’t like to be touched by a grown man.

9:58
Comment From Specer
I believe there’s a Squatch in these woods…

9:59
Eno Sarris: started out a little conventional perhaps, but then it got weird. I approve.

9:59
Comment From Guest
Mets make any moves at the deadline (Murphy, Parnell, Marcum, etc.)? Any specific moves you’d like to see them make?

10:00
Eno Sarris: I doubt they trade those guys. If anyone wants Marcum, they’ll take a a long-shot oF prospect for him probably. Or maybe a low-ceiling useful young OF. Point is, OF. Personally, if a team were to give the mets a great young OF, I’d part with Parnell and Murphy.

10:00
Comment From Jordan
Many moons ago, I asked you if I should drop Espinosa for Segura. You said yes. Espinosa is now hitting .106 in AAA and Segura is Segura. Thanks again. My occasional reminder to you all that Eno does get it right some times.

10:00
Eno Sarris: Sometimes.

10:00
Comment From ?
Where do the questions go that don’t get answered?

10:01
Eno Sarris: into the ether. Or this hundreds-long queue that I’m trying to sort through. There.

10:01
Comment From Billy
Who do I grab as my 5th OF? Martin, Blanks, Moss or Werth?

10:01
Eno Sarris: Martin or Werth depending on power/speed needs. Werth overall.

10:01
Comment From Matt
I have Iwakuma for cheap in an AL-only keeper league and I am in contention for 1st. Should I keep him to aid in my run down the stretch or sell him to a struggling team looking for keepers?

10:02
Eno Sarris: There’s a bit of an IP/health risk with him. I’d at least run him up the flagpole.

10:02
Comment From Fink
Drop a pitcher, Haren or Anderson?

10:02
Eno Sarris: Haren.

10:02
Comment From ehhhh
His Derek Holland for my Jim Johnson?

10:02
Eno Sarris: I would.

10:02
Comment From GSon
Scott Kazmir = Fools gold or the real deal?

10:03
Eno Sarris: Velocity is real, homer and walk issues back too. I’d spot-start him at home and in Oakland, that sort of thing. I know Oakland’s O is not bad, my point is: power-suppressing parks.

10:03
Comment From dude
So, do I stay home to watch Greinke’s start tonight (research of some sort), or go to a concert? The band is The World Inferno Friendship Society. I don’t listen to them much, but their shows are usually a lot of fun.

10:03
Eno Sarris: This is why you buy mlb.tv. then you can see as much of game as you want, later.

10:04
Comment From BP
I know you said you suck at math now, but I am going to ask a mathy question anyway. It seems clear that player valuation should change from league to league throughout the year, depending on the distibution of stats in each league. For example, hr might be tightly contested in one league, but not another. Do you adjust for this in the leagues you play and is there any way to quantify how valuation should change?

10:05
Eno Sarris: I do that intuitively, and it becomes obvious fairly quickly in trade talks. As for doing it in a mathy way… yes, there could be a way to input your league stats and look at the impact an FA or trade acq would make. I believe Bloomberg’s old Front Office did that.

10:05
Comment From John
Can Erlin be up for good now? I mean they keep saying spot starts, and sure his potential isn’t ace, but a high floor control guy? Think the padres leave him in the rotation?

10:05
Eno Sarris: Best option for now. I streamed him last night and super happy about it, but next start if he stays is in Boston, so I dropped him.

10:05
Comment From Forsyth
Today I told my 2 year old son about the days when Lester was a good pitcher. He looked shocked. Perhaps it was his gas, but I still think it was my story. Sad day.

10:06
Eno Sarris: The kind of gas that comes out of our babies IS shocking.

10:06
Comment From Paul
Hanley or Beltre for 3B ROS? Next 3 years?

10:06
Eno Sarris: Beltre. Hanley might inch ahead in next three years due to age.

10:06
Comment From Fred
For all the Joe Maddon love why doesn’t he use McGee in the 8th over Peralta? McGee has more velo and is not a cheater. Makes no sense to me. What about you?

10:07
Eno Sarris: Sometimes usage does not predict closer changes. It happened with Tazawa this year. I think a few more good innings will increase the trust in mcGee.

10:07
Comment From juan pierres mustache
just remember that previous page and previous entries are the opposite. i never know which is which though so it’s a guessing game between those two, and lucas duda is on the DL and it makes me happy that maxamuz is sad though not so happy because generally it’s always sad that a guy is physically damaged because life and health are important to humans

10:07
Eno Sarris: thank you!

10:07
Comment From JAL
Question on Billy Butler. you say he is a true talent 280 hitter…the last 4 years his average is about .306? Can you please explain the gap? Appreciate it, as always.

10:08
Eno Sarris: good point. I just meant this year. Cause a .340 BABIP seems like it’s out of reach for him. And if you put his .300 BABIPs together with his lower power years, you get .280-.290 IMO. Better than now, not as good as last year.

10:09
Comment From Evan
Starlin Castro: lost season or still something useful?

10:09
Eno Sarris: Still something useful. They just in his head probably, talking about plate discipline. Might just be a grip it and rip it guy.

10:09
Comment From make it a double
Might Ruby DLR get the call in Beantown soon?

10:09
Eno Sarris: I don’t think he’s up to five innings at a time yet.

10:09
Comment From Joe
Aybar or Jhonny Peralta ROS?

10:09
Eno Sarris: Aybar, grudgingly.

10:09
Comment From Sadwick
Ludes can’t be up and down, their always downers.

10:10
Comment From Jordan
Don Juan, my advice: wear a headband (you don’t want sweat in your eyes), wear a wife beater (allows others to smell how bad you smell, they won’t want to guard you closely), wear goggles (doesn’t matter if you don’t wear glasses), wear knee high socks (duh why not).

10:10
Comment From Specer
I ordered my Corey Kluber Society bumper sticker today. It’s not going on my car, but I had to have one.

10:10
Eno Sarris: Yes but Lude.

10:10
Comment From dude
Have we ever figured out the deal with the Vernon Wells trade? Is there some crazy way the Yankees saved an extra 2 million that they can use for next year’s under 189 deal?

10:11
Eno Sarris: There was some deal that he would have zero impact on their cap situation next year. I remember that.

10:11
Comment From Rags
Reznor said Cash did Hurt better than NIN.

10:11
Eno Sarris: Well then there’s that too.

10:11
Comment From Guest
Any more impact pitching prospects this seas?

10:11
Eno Sarris: One of the Seattle guys?

10:12
Comment From GSon
If your crystal ball cleared for but a moment.. who is the first guy getting traded at the trading deadline?

10:12
Eno Sarris: Bud Norris. Houston going to get out in front of Milwaukee, trading it’s ace.

10:12
Comment From Andrew
Ian Kennedy, since dropped due to the suspension, should be owned, right?

10:12
Eno Sarris: yes. I think his control will improve (F-strike good, career good).

10:12
Comment From make it a double
Is The Bartender on his way back? Two clean innings. I wasn’t able to see them with my own eyes, so I just don’t know if his snapper is back or the heater under control? Any feedback on this?

10:13
Eno Sarris: I watched em. Looked a little better. Then they took him out v a LHB in a close game. I do think he’ll get the job back. Could be soon.

10:13
Comment From dude
The Downward Spiral is an amazing album. I told my girlfriend’s just turned 15 year old sister that she wasn’t ready for it yet. She didn’t listen. It blew her mind.

10:13
Comment From Wily Mo Yen Mo Problems
Three Days Grace once said they’d “rather feel pain than nothing at all”. Is there truth in this?

10:13
Comment From Jim
Candied yams don’t taste like candy. I feel cheated.

10:13
Eno Sarris: Laughing.

10:13
Comment From Rubby of the Rose
Buy or sell tesla motors?

10:14
Eno Sarris: They look healthy here in Menlo Park. People in there every day, new ones on the street all the time, and a wait list a mile long.

10:14
Comment From juan pierres mustache
i always felt like my thursdays at work were CRAZY BUSY but then i realized it’s because i spend hours doing this and then have tons of work when it ends

10:14
Eno Sarris: apologies.

10:14
Comment From A.J. Griffin
Prettiest hair in baseball? Huh? C’mon?

10:14
Eno Sarris: No love for Yu? Asdrubal? CJ Wilson loves his hair.

10:15
Comment From Guest
Wil Meyers or Nick Franklin Ros?

10:15
Eno Sarris: This year, Franklin. Myers, especially in OBP leagues, as he improves his K%.

10:15
Comment From Andrew
Does Cuddyer fall off the face of the earth in the 2nd half, or still remain decently productive?

10:15
Eno Sarris: if he’s healthy, Cuddyer should be fine.

10:15
Comment From Rags
I take it back, the best version of Hurt was Kermit the Frog’s. It’s on youtube. It’s disturbing.

10:15
Eno Sarris: huh.

10:15
Comment From juan pierres mustache
im not angry, i just make jokes without considering whether they are hurtful

10:16
Eno Sarris: no, no, it’s fine. we’re all riffing.

10:16
Comment From Fred
Is PUIG the new FRANCOEUR?

10:16
Eno Sarris: No f’ing way. Hate that comp. Frenchy never showed double digit walk rates in the minors. Frenchy never had a season like Puig was putting up in Double-A.

10:16
Comment From person hscer
I can’t be the only person in the chat who knows about the lyrical difference in “Hurt” between Reznor and Cash…

10:17
Eno Sarris: Ooh, I knew there was one. Do tell.

10:17
Comment From juan pierres mustache
OH MAN i just remembered the beer store is holding a bottle of Stone RuinTen for me

10:17
Eno Sarris: happy thing to remember.

10:18
Comment From Joe
Ichiro looking solid last few weeks. Worth dropping someone like David Freese at UTIL?

10:18
Eno Sarris: I’d keep Freese for trade value alone, myself. He’s still capable of .280/20, and an injury could make that valuable in the right league. But I do have more hope for Ichiro now.

10:18
Comment From juan pierres mustache
it’s extremely difficult to carry on a coherent feud in this sort of chat. that said, incoherence makes it more fun anyway

10:19
Comment From dude
“Fact”: All fantasy teams in last place become obsessed with ‘Down In It’ by NIN…as they realize it perfectly describes their season… http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OrcTsxs-anU

10:19
Comment From Wily Mo Yen Mo Problems
I’ve got Matt Carpenter, Matt Harvey, Matt Garza, and Mat Latos on my fantasy team. I must be on to something…

10:19
Eno Sarris: ALL THE MATTS

10:19
Comment From Guest
Does Montero return to relevance in the 2nd half?

10:19
Eno Sarris: Yes. Don’t see a reason he has to fall off the face.

10:19
Comment From dude
Yeah…Cash doesn’t curse in his version

10:19
Eno Sarris: Ah. That makes sense.

10:20
Comment From zack
Adam Lind sucked for three years, but is now good. What gives?

10:20
Eno Sarris: One part seeing fewer LHPs, one part swinging less, one part swinging less hard. Did an interview with him, and I believe he can .190 ISO and show good plate disicpline with his new approach.

10:21
Comment From Guest
Boujous ros stat line

10:21
Eno Sarris: .280 with 8/25 pace.

10:21
Comment From Spencer
How much more intimidating would Jeff Samardzija be if he grew a mullet? All he needs is the bangs.

10:21
Eno Sarris: Then he’d win best hair in a landslide.

10:21
Comment From Jimothy
Luis Mendoza has something to say about the prettiest hair question.

10:21
Comment From LudeBurger
I refuse to believe that any actual professional baseball players are in this chat

10:22
Comment From Maxamuz

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=57ta7mkgrOU – Watch this ENO…WATCH IT.

10:22
Comment From Here Come the Warm Jets
Adrian Ballew of King Crimson = Elephant Talk. Martin Perez worth activating?

10:22
Eno Sarris: I don’t love Perez. Any Texas pitcher walking a tightrope anyway.

10:22
Comment From Struggling for 2B
Rutlege, Mercer, or Weeks for 2B?

10:22
Eno Sarris: Weeks.

10:23
Comment From mick
If the benches clear in this JPM vs. MAXAMUZ tuffle, I’ll be staying in the pen.

10:23
Eno Sarris: Just making that clear. I’ll be swinging with my right hand. cause thumb.

10:23
Comment From make it a double
De Fratus or Bastardo once Paplebon gets dealt?

10:24
Eno Sarris: That’s the question. The lefty with the better K rate or the righty with more gas? Pretty much splits my predictors down the middle. So I go with usage… and DeFratus has the eighth and Bastardo got the last save. Bastardo by a nose?

10:25
Comment From Guest
Who will pitch 1st Cobb or Beachy?

10:25
Eno Sarris: Man it’s looking like Beachy these days.

10:25
Comment From Eddie
Tell Jordan that Arabic has no “P” sound. It would be pronounced “Buig.”

10:25
Eno Sarris: Glad we got that straight.

10:25
Comment From Jobu
Marte/Fowler/Jennings?

10:25
Eno Sarris: Marte/Jennings

10:25
Comment From filihok
Eno, what’s the current (new) replacement level and what’s the RAR to WAR conversion?

10:26
Eno Sarris: I don’t have that off the top of my head. Well, I know the RL that FG and B-R agreed on is .294 for some reason.

10:26
Comment From Sadwick
A moment of silence for all the good thumbs lost.

10:26
Eno Sarris: Mine’s getting real tired…

10:26
Comment From rich
chase headley ros? does he turn it around second half and become a top 10 3b or is this who he is?

10:26
Eno Sarris: I like him to turn it around.

10:27
Comment From Jobu
Hanley’s SS rank ROS? What about Starlin?

10:27
Eno Sarris: Still top five for both.

10:27
Comment From Bubba
How do you rank there dregs in a re-draft – Blanton, Buehrle, Doubront, Edwin jackson and Pettitte? Thanks man!

10:27
Eno Sarris: Pettite first. uhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhh. Buehrle?

10:27
Comment From JB
Lucroy or Perez?

10:27
Eno Sarris: Lucroy has more power, doesn’t depend on a great BABIP for value.

10:28
Comment From zack
Should I assume that Tommy Hanson will never be any good again?

10:28
Eno Sarris: yes.

10:28
Comment From Wily Mo Yen Mo Problems
Who receives more consistent playing time in the second half, Leonys Martin or Peter Bourjos? I lust for steals…

10:28
Eno Sarris: Well Martin’s is consistent, just always v RHP. I don’t like that Bourjos hurt his hammy this year. I’ll take Martin by a nose. If you can put on bench.

10:28
Comment From Guest
Bottles or Cans?

10:29
Eno Sarris: Just clap your hands.

10:29
Comment From mick
I can either remember Felix Doubront or get drunk and kill that brain cell where he will be remembered. Suggestion?

10:29
Eno Sarris: Kill it. I know he has the good K rate, but the velo down to 90ish.

10:30
Comment From dan
drop andrus for j.peralta in a dynasty?

10:30
Eno Sarris: No! Just on age alone.

10:30
Comment From person hscer
Most to least important factor in a fantasy question: redraft/keeper/dynasty, league size, league categories (and other major ones I missed)

10:30
Eno Sarris: categories over size, maybe. and both over keeper. I want to say keeper question is huge, but for most part, we should all be playing for this year.

10:31
Comment From Ian
Szymborski said the other day that LeMahieu had the thirteenth best odds of hitting .300 this year. Do I play him and believe, or should we storm the ZiPS supercomputer with baseball bats?

10:31
Eno Sarris: He’s smarter than I, but in fantasy, it’s not like DJLM will do much else even if he does hit .300. I’m passing.

10:31
Comment From This Little Puiggy
Any worries about Anibal’s shoulder ROS? Or do you think he’ll be fine?

10:31
Eno Sarris: Hate that its his shoulder and he had SLAP surgery. I’m worried.

10:32
Comment From Guest
is a 10 man league shallow?

10:32
Eno Sarris: Yes.

10:32
Comment From Tom
Would you rather be a manager of a brewery or baseball team?

10:32
Eno Sarris: Brewery for practical reasons — less travel.

10:32
Comment From PHIL
what does Detroit do, trade for closer, use Benoit or call up Rondon

10:32
Eno Sarris: Trade.

10:32
Comment From YN
Would you trade Wheeler and Pence for Darvish? In a vacuum

10:32
Eno Sarris: Yes.

10:33
Comment From Guest
Does this second injury make this pretty much a lost season for Taveras ? Chance he comes up and plays regularly this year less than 10% ?

10:33
Eno Sarris: yes. plus Cards thing.

10:33
Comment From Guest
Bud Norris destinations?

10:33
Eno Sarris: SF

10:33
Comment From Bruce
Rosenthal or Motte for saves in 2014?

10:34
Eno Sarris: Rosenthal for 10 at least.

10:34
Eno Sarris: Hey guys. thumb is throbbing!

10:34
Eno Sarris: I gotta go ice it.

10:34
Comment From Mike
OFF WITH IT’S THUMB!

10:34
Comment From Bruce
Cashman will tell you when it hurts

10:34
Comment From juan pierres mustache
feel better

10:34
Eno Sarris: thanks guys!

10:35
Comment From Maxamuz

feel better



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With a phone full of pictures of pitchers’ fingers, strange beers, and his two toddler sons, Eno Sarris can be found at the ballpark or a brewery most days. Read him here, writing about the A’s or Giants at The Athletic, or about beer at October. Follow him on Twitter @enosarris if you can handle the sandwiches and inanity.



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Brewer Fan
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Brewer Fan

If the Crew truely is in rebuild mode, what type of value would Braun return given everything surrounding him? Assuming that he’s healthy and able to return soon.

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