NERD Game Scores for Wednesday, April 30, 2014

Devised originally in response to a challenge issued by viscount of the internet Rob Neyer, and expanded at the request of nobody, NERD scores represent an attempt to summarize in one number (and on a scale of 0-10) the likely aesthetic appeal or watchability, for the learned fan, of a player or team or game. Read more about the components of and formulae for NERD scores here.

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Most Highly Rated Game
Toronto at Kansas City | 20:10 ET
Drew Hutchison (26.0 IP, 80 xFIP-, 0.6 WAR) faces Yordano Ventura (25.0 IP, 84 xFIP-, 0.8 WAR). The latter, in addition to having posted the highest average fastball velocity among qualified starters (which isn’t particularly surprising), has also generated a considerable number of swings and misses with his secondary pitches (which is more surprising). Hutchison, for his part, has actually recorded even better defense-independent figures, having now struck out more than a third of opposing batters in consecutive starts.

Readers’ Preferred Broadcast: Toronto, Maybe?

MLB.TV Free Game
Los Angeles NL at Minnesota | 20:10 ET
Zack Greinke (29.1 IP, 49 xFIP-, 0.2 WAR) faces Kyle Gibson (22.1 IP, 119 xFIP-, 0.5 WAR). The former has been indomitable through five starts, recording a strikeout-walk differential of about 30 points, nearly double his already impressive career mark. The latter, Gibson, has been much more domitable — although, were he capable of reducing his walks, would likely produce average-ish numbers based on his ground-ball tendencies.

Readers’ Preferred Broadcast: Minnesota Radio.

Complete Schedule
Here’s the complete and very sortable table for all of today’s games. Pitching probables and game times aggregated from MLB.com and also the rest of the internet.

NERD Thing

Away   SP Tm. Gm. Tm. SP   Home Time
Matt Garza MIL 6 7 4 2 2 STL Shelby Miller 13:45
Max Scherzer DET 9 4 7 4 6 CHA Hector Noesi* 14:10
Zach McAllister CLE 5 5 5 10 4 LAA C.J. Wilson 19:05
Bartolo Colon NYN 6 2 4 2 2 PHI Kyle Kendrick 19:05
Charlie Morton PIT 3 8 4 4 4 BAL Chris Tillman 19:05
Roenis Elias SEA 4 5 5 5 6 NYA David Phelps* 19:05
Aaron Harang ATL 4 9 7 8 10 MIA Nathan Eovaldi 19:10
Edwin Jackson CHN 2 5 3 3 3 CIN Tony Cingrani 19:10
Chris Archer TB 8 7 5 2 1 BOS Felix Doubront 19:10
Jesse Chavez OAK 7 5 6 2 6 TEX Robbie Ross 20:05
Zack Greinke LAN 10 6 6 5 1 MIN Kyle Gibson 20:10
Drew Hutchison TOR 8 5 8 2 10 KC Yordano Ventura 20:10
Jor. Zimmermann WAS 8 6 6 6 3 HOU Br. Oberholtzer 20:10
Jordan Lyles COL 5 8 5 4 5 AZ Josh Collmenter* 21:40
Robbie Erlin SD 6 3 6 6 6 SF Tim Hudson 22:15

To learn how Game NERD Scores are calculated, click here.
* = Fewer than 20 IP, NERD at discretion of very handsome author.



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Eric Chesterton
Guest
Eric Chesterton

While observing the current weather in the Philadelphia area, it occurs to me that weather might be a significant factor in the watchability of a game. Depending on your tastes, rainy games might add appeal in terms of increased potential for goofy or unusual events. Would it be possible to incorporate local forecasts into NERD game scores?

kdm628496
Member
kdm628496

rainy weather also increases the potential for rain delays and cancellations. any increase in pleasure from goofiness would be (pardon the pun) washed out by the chance of seeing no baseball at all.

Matt
Guest

A game with a significant risk of rain delay / postponement could definitely get docked in the rankings. This could be done using the %PoP (probability of precipitation) found at baseball press (http://www.baseballpress.com/lineups).
Maybe it could be scaled where a 60-80% PoP would dock the total game by one score, and 80-100% would dock the game by two points? (Then again, this also gets away from the spirit of NERD, which is supposed to be focused on the teams/players involved.)

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