Omar Vizquel and the Worst Hitters in the Hall of Fame

While perhaps not universally accepted, it is generally acknowledged that Ozzie Smith is the greatest defensive player of all time. With 13 Gold Gloves at the most important defensive position that doesn’t require extra equipment, his ability to generate outs was second to none. Back when we had few defensive stats, eight times Smith led the league in assists and still has the record among shortstops with more than 8,000 in his career.

Omar Vizquel was not quite Ozzie Smith as a fielder. He did receive 11 Gold Gloves. He also played in 200 more games at shortstop than Smith, which is the record, and he’s third all-time in assists by a shortstop — around 700 behind Ozzie. Vizquel comes up on the Hall of Fame ballot a year from now, and he’s likely to be regarded as nearly, but quite, Smith’s equal as a defender.

Being nearly as good as Ozzie Smith might be enough to get Vizquel in the Hall of Fame, given just how good Smith was, but there are considerable questions regarding Vizquel’s bat.

Before we get to the offensive side of things, however, let’s take a slightly deeper look at the defense. There are those who choose to cast doubt on defensive metrics, and I will be the first to admit that Total Zone, which was in use before 2002, has its flaws. However, take a look at the list below showing the top-20 defensive players since World War II, in terms of how total career runs saved, including positional adjustment.

Most Defensive Runs Above Average
Player Def
Ozzie Smith 375.3
Brooks Robinson 359.8
Mark Belanger 345.6
Cal Ripken 310.1
Luis Aparicio 302.7
Andruw Jones 281.3
Omar Vizquel 263.8
Adrian Beltre 226.1
Roy McMillan 210.6
Ozzie Guillen 203.3
Clete Boyer 203.0
Buddy Bell 200.9
Bill Mazeroski 200.5
Rey Sanchez 197.0
Alan Trammell 184.4
Ed Brinkman 183.3
Pee Wee Reese 183.0
Frank White 182.5
Scott Rolen 182.2
Bert Campaneris 181.5
Graig Nettles 179.0
Nellie Fox 178.7
Greg Gagne 174.1
Dave Concepcion 172.3
Willie Mays 170.1
Non-Catchers Since World War II

Perhaps you might disagree with here and there with some of the names, or you don’t like exactly how the run values play out, but that certainly looks like a list of some of the greatest defensive players of the last 70 years. Any defensive list that starts with Ozzie Smith and Brooks Robinson is probably on to something. Luis Aparacio, Bill Mazeroski, Pee Wee Reese and and Nellie Fox are all in the Hall of Fame on the strength of their fielding. Generally speaking, the run values show the difficulty of a player has of separating himself on defense. On offense, there are 75 players in the same time period with at least 300 offensive runs above average, compared to five on defense. There are 157 who top 200 runs above average on offense, compared to just 13 here.

A player has to be really good over a long period of time to crack this list, and Omar Vizquel was, coming up seventh. He’s ahead of a handful of guys in the Hall of Fame based almost solely on their gloves. There are more than 600 players to have recorded at least 5,000 plate appearances (roughly the amount it would take to get a player on a Hall of Fame ballot) over the last 70 years, including catchers, and Vizquel is in the 98.8 percentile in terms of value. The numbers above would say that, for every 10 runs Ozzie Smith saved, then Vizquel saved seven. A similar conversion would say for every 10 runs Vizquel saved, Alan Trammel saved seven. While those numbers seem right, let’s talk about Vizquel’s bat.

Ozzie Smith’s slash line was .262/.333/.328 and Omar Vizquel’s was .272/.336/.352, which might lead one to the conclusion that Vizquel was a better hitter and better offensive player than Smith. That isn’t actually true, though, as Vizquel played in an offense-elevated era and, relative to his peers, Vizquel was actually quite a bit worse than Ozzie. Looking at the 647 players to have recorded at least 5,000 plate appearances, we can see where Vizquel’s 83 wRC+ stands in relation to Ozzie Smith’s own mark.

The easy conclusion is to look at that graph, and say both Vizquel and Smith were bad, pretty close together, and move on. Let’s not do that, though.

We also have to consider that Ozzie Smith was really good at stealing bases, swiping 580 of them during his career while only getting caught 148 times (80% success rate). That adds wins to Smith’s offensive value. Vizquel stole a decent amount of bases himself, although his 404 stolen-base mark is 176 fewer than Smith’s — and Vizquel was actually caught more, 167 times, leading to just a 71% success rate. That meant that while Ozzie Smith was adding around three runs per year through steals, Vizquel might have been adding one. When we add in the steals, and then translate the difference between the 83 wRC+ of Vizquel and the 90 wRC+ of Smith, the numbers get a bit eye-popping.

Of the 647 players from the last graph, around 180 put up below-average offensive numbers. Here’s that group of players translated into offensive runs above average (or, in this case, below average).

Ozzie Smith was a vastly superior offensive player, outdistancing Vizquel by 165 runs over the course of their respective careers. For some context, 165 runs is roughly the distance between John Olerud and Reggie Jackson. Of the 143 position players in the Hall of Fame, the only player with a worse wRC+ than Omar Vizquel is Bill Mazeroski, and his election might have spurred the Hall of Fame to radically change the process of election. The only player elected to the Hall of Fame with a worse offensive record was Rabbit Maranville, and he comes within five runs of Vizquel. There have only been 11 players elected to the Hall of Fame who were below average offensively. Here are their numbers along with a couple other players similar to Vizquel.

Worst Hall of Fame Hitters and Omar Vizquel
Name PA wRC+ Off Def WAR BBWAA Ballot Veteran’s Committee
Bobby Wallace 9612 104 18.4 257.5 62.4 x
Brooks Robinson 11782 104 56.1 359.8 80.2 x
Pee Wee Reese 9470 103 64.4 241.7 61.3 x
Travis Jackson 6679 101 24.8 226.8 46.0 x
Dave Bancroft 8244 100 3.6 209.0 49.2 x
Lloyd Waner 8326 99 6.4 -14.2 25.0 x
Rick Ferrell 7072 98 -28.1 52.7 27.2 x
Joe Tinker 7145 96 -6.4 288.7 55.5
Nellie Fox 10349 96 -64.0 178.7 45.2 x
Phil Rizzuto 6711 96 -24.6 207.9 41.3 x
Red Schoendienst 9222 94 -60.9 137.5 37.4 x
Ozzie Smith 10778 90 -69.4 375.3 67.6 x
Ray Schalk 6217 88 -95.6 99.3 22.4 x
Luis Aparicio 11230 83 -162.0 302.7 49.1 x
Omar Vizquel 12013 83 -234.2 263.8 42.6
Rabbit Maranville 11256 83 -239.0 278.4 42.5 x
Bill Mazeroski 8379 82 -176.6 200.5 30.9 x

Aparicio made up some offensive value on the basepaths, leading the league in steals nine times with a very good 79% success rate. He also made the All-Star team in 11 seasons, made MVP ballots 10 times, and won nine Gold Gloves. Maranville had two top-three MVP finishes and made the ballot six other times. It’s hard to hold Vizquel’s three All-Star appearances against him, given the shortstop competition at the time, and he does have those 11 Gold Gloves, but it;s really difficult to ignore Vizquel’s batting line. If Vizquel had the greatest defensive numbers of all time, ahead of Ozzie Smith, his value due to that bat still comes in below Joe Tinker and well-below Pee Wee Reese.

I don’t spend a lot of my time arguing against players for the Hall of Fame, but given the 10-ballot limit, a vote for Vizquel is actually a vote against a much more deserving player. It seems necessary to point out that Vizquel’s deficiency wasn’t a run-of-the-mill weakness. If elected to the Hall of Fame, he might be the worst offensive player there. There are players with poor offensive reputations in the Hall, but he is still well behind Ozzie Smith, Phil Rizzuto, and Nellie Fox. Vizquel’s defense was fantastic and, if he were even mediocre on offense, he would have a great argument for the Hall. If he were the very best defensive player of all time, he might have a decent argument for the Hall of Fame. Unfortunately for Vizquel, he was great, but not the greatest, on defense, and he was a very poor offensive player. In combination, he falls well short of the sort of value that accompanies a vast majority of Hall of Famers.

We hoped you liked reading Omar Vizquel and the Worst Hitters in the Hall of Fame by Craig Edwards!

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Craig Edwards can be found on twitter @craigjedwards.

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Barney Coolio
Member
Barney Coolio

Vizquel hung around to age 45. Did he play his way out of the Hall? As in, had he retired after age 40, would he have had more of a chance of making the Hall? From age 41-45, Vizquel had 1231 plate appearances of putrid offense, as well as negative WAR. If he had stayed home from 2008-2012, would he be a HOFer?

Anthony Calamis
Member
Anthony Calamis

No, because many Vizquel supporters hang their hats on his longevity. If he retires after 2007, he loses almost 300 H and 400 G off his career totals, while his OPS+ only rises two points, his AVG two, OBP four and SLG five. I think his late career only helps his *actual* case. It’s no better without that time.

Barney Coolio
Member
Barney Coolio

Yeah, I think Vizquel’s case really depends on his record for most games at shortstop. He actually keeps that record even without his last three seasons.

rosen380
Member

He has games on Jeter by 35, but Jeter has more starts and more innings. Jeter takes total games if you are counting post-season

Barney Coolio
Member
Barney Coolio

All true, but “most games played at shortstop” is Vizquel’s record and that has more cache than Jeter’s innings record.

Vizquel only ranks 11th in putouts at shortstop. Why? Probably because of increased strikeouts in Vizquel’s era.

stan
Member
stan

I agree. Many of the counting stats in his favor were only obtained because he managed to hang around so long. His offenses numbers didn’t actually suffer all that much (which is why he was able to hang around so long).

CarrotJuice
Member
CarrotJuice

I think simply discounting data from 2008 and later is arbitrary in this case. While 2008 was his first sub-replacement season, his offensive value was actually *worse* in 2007 than 2008, or any subsequent year for that matter.