The Updated Top 131 Prospect Rankings

With two months of the minor-league season now complete and the draft also finished, it’s an appropriate time to publish a revised version of our preseason top-100 list. The list is below. Notes about methodology and specific players appear below that.

The Updated Top 131 Prospect Rankings
Rank Prev. Name Team Pos Age FV Trend
1 2 Ronald Acuña ATL CF 20.5 70
2 3 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR 3B 19.2 70
3 5 Fernando Tatis Jr. SD SS 19.4 65
4 6 Eloy Jimenez CHW RF 21.5 65
5 4 Victor Robles WAS CF 21.1 65
6 7 Nick Senzel CIN 3B 22.9 60
7 8 Forrest Whitley HOU RHP 20.7 60
8 9 Bo Bichette TOR 2B 20.3 60
9 45 Juan Soto WAS RF 19.6 60
10 10 Kyle Tucker HOU RF 21.4 60
11 11 Willy Adames TB SS 22.8 60
12 18 Brendan Rodgers COL SS 21.8 60
13 19 Sixto Sanchez PHI RHP 19.9 60
14 22 Brendan McKay TB LHP/1B 22.5 60
15 20 Michael Kopech CHW RHP 22.1 60
16 33 MacKenzie Gore SD LHP 19.3 60
17 21 Luis Robert CHW CF 20.9 60
18 23 Mitch Keller PIT RHP 22.2 60
19 17 Francisco Mejia CLE C/3B 22.6 60
20 28 Luis Urias SD 2B 21.0 55
21 24 Keston Hiura MIL 2B 21.9 55
22 32 Franklin Barreto OAK CF 22.3 55
23 34 Mike Soroka ATL RHP 20.9 55
24 26 Kyle Wright ATL RHP 22.7 55
25 15 Brent Honeywell TB RHP 23.2 55
26 31 Luiz Gohara ATL LHP 21.9 55
27 35 Corbin Burnes MIL RHP 23.6 55
28 37 Cristian Pache ATL CF 19.6 55
29 38 Royce Lewis MIN CF 19.0 55
30 39 Justus Sheffield NYY LHP 22.1 55
31 NR Casey Mize DET RHP 21.1 55
32 44 Yordan Alvarez HOU LF 21.0 55
33 NR Nick Madrigal CHW 2B 21.2 55
34 40 Carter Kieboom WAS 3B 20.8 55
35 30 A.J. Puk OAK LHP 23.1 55
36 42 Hunter Greene CIN RHP 18.8 55
37 47 Austin Meadows PIT LF 23.1 50
38 49 Jesus Sanchez TB RF 20.7 50
39 43 Jake Bauers TB RF 22.7 50
40 55 Austin Riley ATL 3B 21.2 50
41 45 Ian Anderson ATL RHP 20.1 50
42 56 Ke’Bryan Hayes PIT 3B 21.4 50
43 48 Alex Verdugo LAD RF 22.1 50
44 46 Willie Calhoun TEX DH 23.6 50
45 57 Taylor Trammell CIN CF 20.7 50
46 36 Anthony Alford TOR CF 23.9 50
47 70 Jesus Luzardo OAK LHP 20.7 50
48 51 Triston McKenzie CLE RHP 20.9 50
49 73 Adonis Medina PHI RHP 21.5 50
50 59 Albert Abreu NYY RHP 22.7 50
51 60 Touki Toussaint ATL RHP 22.0 50
52 61 Tyler O’Neill STL RF 23.0 50
53 NR Chris Paddack SD RHP 22.4 50
54 41 Michel Baez SD RHP 22.4 50
55 62 Anderson Espinoza SD RHP 20.3 50
56 63 Dustin Fowler OAK CF 23.4 50
57 NR Joey Bart SF C 21.5 50
58 64 Will Smith LAD C 23.2 50
59 66 Jo Adell LAA RF 19.2 50
60 71 Danny Jansen TOR C 23.2 50
61 58 Jorge Mateo OAK CF 23.0 50
62 77 Nick Gordon MIN 2B 22.6 50
63 81 Sean Murphy OAK C 23.7 50
64 NR Shane Bieber CLE RHP 23.0 50
65 HM Keibert Ruiz LAD C 19.9 50
66 97 Brandon Marsh LAA CF 20.5 50
67 99 Alex Kirilloff MIN RF 20.6 50
68 NR Travis Swaggerty PIT CF 20.8 50
69 52 Monte Harrison MIA CF 22.8 50
70 69 Jahmai Jones LAA 2B 20.9 50
71 85 Carson Kelly STL C 23.9 50
72 80 Yu Chang CLE SS 22.8 50
73 NR Peter Alonso NYM 1B 23.5 50
74 86 Leody Taveras TEX CF 19.8 50
75 91 Zack Collins CHW 1B 23.3 50
76 68 Tristen Lutz MIL RF 19.8 50
77 NR Alec Bohm PHI 3B 21.9 50
78 HM Shed Long CIN 2B 22.8 50
79 87 Isan Diaz MIA 2B 22.0 50
80 HM Christin Stewart DET DH 24.5 50
81 74 Cole Tucker PIT SS 21.9 50
82 NR Dennis Santana LAD RHP 22.2 50
83 76 Nate Pearson TOR RHP 21.8 50
84 88 Jon Duplantier ARI RHP 23.9 50
85 79 Estevan Florial NYY CF 20.5 50
86 NR Micker Adolfo CHW RF 21.7 50
87 NR Griffin Canning LAA RHP 22.1 50
88 HM Seuly Matias KC RF 19.8 50
89 HM Heliot Ramos SF CF 18.8 50
90 78 Max Fried ATL LHP 24.4 50
91 HM Dane Dunning CHW RHP 23.5 50
92 84 Joey Wentz ATL LHP 20.7 50
93 NR Matthew Liberatore TB LHP 18.6 50
94 NR Drew Waters ATL CF 19.4 50
95 NR Nolan Gorman STL 3B 18.1 50
96 NR Jarred Kelenic NYM CF 18.9 50
97 NR Jonathan India CIN 3B 21.5 50
98 NR Carter Stewart ATL RHP 18.6 50
99 NR Brett Cumberland ATL C 23.0 50
100 NR Cole Winn TEX RHP 18.5 50
101 92 Bobby Bradley CLE 1B 22.0 50
102 NR Trevor Larnach MIN RF 21.3 50
103 NR Andres Gimenez NYM SS 19.8 50
104 HM Aramis Ademan CHC SS 19.7 50
105 HM Kolby Allard ATL LHP 20.8 50
106 HM Adrian Morejon SD LHP 19.3 50
107 HM Corey Ray MIL CF 23.7 50
108 93 Jose Siri CIN CF 22.9 50
109 HM Wander Franco TB SS 17.3 50
110 HM Sandy Alcantara MIA RHP 22.8 50
111 89 Zack Burdi CHW RHP 23.3 50
112 54 Yadier Alvarez LAD RHP 22.3 50
113 72 Alec Hansen CHW RHP 23.7 50
114 67 Jorge Guzman MIA RHP 22.4 50
115 100 Franklin Perez DET RHP 20.5 50
116 HM Adbert Alzolay CHC RHP 23.3 50
117 94 Braxton Garrett MIA LHP 20.8 50
118 75 Riley Pint COL RHP 20.6 50
119 HM Matt Manning DET RHP 20.4 50
120 HM Shane Baz PIT RHP 19.0 50
121 96 Cole Ragans TEX LHP 20.5 50
122 98 Jay Groome BOS LHP 19.8 50
123 NR Nick Neidert MIA RHP 21.6 50
124 HM Logan Allen SD LHP 21.0 50
125 HM Cal Quantrill SD RHP 23.3 50
126 HM Beau Burrows DET RHP 21.7 50
127 HM Luis Medina NYY RHP 19.1 50
128 HM Stephen Gonsalves MIN LHP 23.9 50
129 HM Franklyn Kilome PHI RHP 23.0 50
131 HM Anthony Banda TB LHP 24.8 50

For reference, HM is Honorable Mention, meaning a 50 FV prospect who didn’t make the top 100 on the preseason list. NR means Not Ranked, which is either a 40 or 45 FV prospect from the offseason ranking or a drafted player who just entered the player pool for this list. Since the gap between the 100th-ranked prospect and the lowest 50 FV, or 131st-ranked prospect, is rather small, we decided to just rank them all in order.

Shohei Ohtani graduates off the top off the list. Ronald Acuna and Vlad Guerrero Jr. move up into the 70 FV tier. Acuna was running better than he was last year before his knee injury and had been hitting well, as a 20-year-old, in the big leagues. Guerrero suffered a knee injury of his own recently and will miss a month. Reports on his defense early this year have been encouraging enough that we think he’ll be okay there for a while, but we still think he eventually moves to first base.

Gleyber Torres, Miguel Andujar, Alex Reyes, and Lewis Brinson graduate from the tier of 60 FVs. MacKenzie Gore moved into the 60s, as his stuff electric, clearly among the best in the minors from a repertoire quality/depth perspective, before he began dealing with blister issues which kept him out until this past Sunday. Some of the other 60s have been shuffled around a spot pr two due to injury or varied performance, the most significant of which is Francisco Mejia, who moves to the back of the tier due to his anemic start. Juan Soto rocketed through the minors faster than we expected (and faster than any teenager since Alex Rodriguez) and moves ahead of Kyle Tucker, who has comparable tools but is a level below the younger Soto, who is off to a great big-league start.

Walker Buehler, Scott Kingery, and J.P. Crawford graduated off the 55 FV tier. Brent Honeywell moved from the 60 FV tier into the 55s due to Tommy John. A.J. Puk moved toward the back of the 55 FV tier for the same reason. Luiz Gohara was difficult because he has been hurt twice and barely pitched, but he’s had a tumultuous several months that’s included severe family illness and death, so his issues have a likely source. Yordan Alvarez had a torrid start before injury and moved into the tier of 55 FVs. Note the complete lack of corner bats in the Nos. 6-30 range on the list, other than Alvarez, who we think can be a middle-of-the-order force if he can stay healthy.

The 50 FV tier has the most movement, which should be the case considering that there are more, tightly packed players. Michel Baez moves down from the 55 FV tier after contending with back injury this spring and diminished velo (94-97 last year, 92-95 this spring). He’s been passed by Chris Paddack, whose stuff is back after surgery and currently better than Baez’s. Anthony Alford also moved down due to continued injuries and swing-and-miss issues when healthy. The latter goes, too, for Monte Harrison.

Other big movers include Jesus Luzardo, who is now at Double-A and has a better three-pitch mix than Triston McKenzie, ahead of whom he now appears. A wide swath of injured pitchers move to the back of the 50 FV tier, ahead of the softer, near-ready fourth-starter types who round out the back of our list. Graduates from this tier: Tyler Mahle, Jack Flaherty, Colin Moran, Brian Anderson, Ryan McMahon, Brandon Woodruff, Fernando Romero, Joey Lucchesi, Christian Arroyo, Jesse Winker, Chance Sisco.

Some players who totally fell off and moved from the low-end 50 FV tier and into the 45s include Michael Chavis (PEDs), Austin Hays (who is 23 and tanking at Double-A), J.B. Bukauskas (who was a 50 because we thought he’d be a quick-moving reliever but is now hurt and can’t move), James Kaprielian (another injury), Freicer Perez, Chris Rodriguez (stress fracture in back), Yohander Mendez (stuff keeps backing up), Jose Israel Garcia (looks nothing like the player international scouts described), Kevin Maitan (ditto), Jose Adolis Garcia (swing-and-miss/approach issues), Lucas Erceg (ditto), Trent Grisham (just the swing and miss).

There will be a full update of THE BOARD coming in the next week or so. It will include updated rankings and scouting grades on all of the 800 or so prospects who we feel are the best in the minors, along with added columns and expanded information.

We hoped you liked reading The Updated Top 131 Prospect Rankings by Eric Longenhagen and Kiley McDaniel!

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southie
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southie

Awesome awesome awesome work!

Azizal
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Member
Azizal

let’s get this comment to exactly 131 upvotes.

johansantana17
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johansantana17

Nice!