# Worth Reading: God and .500

I found Tangotiger’s most recent post on what if every player in the majors leagues was exactly the same as something anyone who has the slightest interest in baseball analysis should read.

Suppose that God herself came to you and told you that she was going to do something devious: for the 2011 baseball season, every team would have 25 players of identical talent, with all 30 teams being equals.

We hoped you liked reading Worth Reading: God and .500 by David Appelman!

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Guest
MikeS

That was informative and fun. It’s really easy to forget what a big roll chance plays. Imagine what these numbers look like for a 16 game football season! As an interesting exercise for the math whizzes, how many games would each team have to play to get luck out of the equation and evaluate only talent. Wait, that’s impossible. There will always be some luck, even if it is just 1% of the outcome. So instead, can anybody post some numbers for how the standard deviation changes as the season gets longer? Maybe we should just play the WS every ten years to make sure that we are truly rewarding the only the best teams.

Guest
Jason

Which is what drives me nuts about almost all of football “analysis.” The writers and talking heads are willing to compeltely change their opinion of a team based on the results of a close game against another good team.

Guest
James