Hardball Retrospective – The “Original” 1992 San Diego Padres

In “Hardball Retrospective: Evaluating Scouting and Development Outcomes for the Modern-Era Franchises”, I placed every ballplayer in the modern era (from 1901-present) on their original team. Therefore, Bobby Grich is listed on the Browns / Orioles roster for the duration of his career while the Phillies declare Dick Allen and the Pirates claim Jose A. Bautista. I calculated revised standings for every season based entirely on the performance of each team’s “original” players. I discuss every team’s “original” players and seasons at length along with organizational performance with respect to the Amateur Draft (or First-Year Player Draft), amateur free agent signings and other methods of player acquisition.  Season standings, WAR and Win Shares totals for the “original” teams are compared against the “actual” team results to assess each franchise’s scouting, development and general management skills.

Expanding on my research for the book, the following series of articles will reveal the finest single-season rosters for every Major League organization based on overall rankings in OWAR and OWS along with the general managers and scouting directors that constructed the teams. “Hardball Retrospective” is available in digital format on Amazon, Barnes and Noble, GooglePlay, iTunes and KoboBooks. The paperback edition is available on Amazon, Barnes and Noble and CreateSpace. Supplemental Statistics, Charts and Graphs along with a discussion forum are offered at TuataraSoftware.com.

Don Daglow (Intellivision World Series Major League Baseball, Earl Weaver Baseball, Tony LaRussa Baseball) contributed the foreword for Hardball Retrospective. The foreword and preview of my book are accessible here.

Terminology

OWAR – Wins Above Replacement for players on “original” teams

OWS – Win Shares for players on “original” teams

OPW% – Pythagorean Won-Loss record for the “original” teams

Assessment

The 1992 San Diego Padres          OWAR: 52.6     OWS: 324     OPW%: .595

GM Jack McKeon acquired 84.2% (32/38) of the ballplayers on the 1992 Padres roster. Based on the revised standings the “Original” 1992 Padres won 96 contests but came up two games short of the Atlanta Braves for the division title. San Diego led the National League in OWAR and OWS.

The Padres’ offense featured seven players that registered at least 20 Win Shares. Roberto Alomar (.295/8/76) scored 105 runs, stole 49 bases and topped the Friars with 31 Win Shares. Carlos Baerga (.312/20/105) accrued 205 safeties and earned his first All-Star appearance. Shane Mack posted a .315 BA with 101 tallies and 26 steals. Dave Winfield crushed 33 two-baggers and 26 big-flies while plating 108 baserunners. The corner infield was anchored by John Kruk (.323/10/70) and Dave “Head” Hollins (.270/27/93). Ozzie “The Wizard” Smith batted .295 and continued his dazzling defensive displays to earn his 13th consecutive Gold Glove Award. Tony Gwynn aka “Mr. Padre” batted .317 in the midst of an 19-year streak in which he hit .300 or better.

Gwynn ranked sixth among right fielders according to Bill James in “The New Bill James Historical Baseball Abstract.” Eight ballplayers from the 1992 Padres roster placed in the “NBJHBA” top 100 rankings including Ozzie Smith (7th-SS), Roberto Alomar (10th-2B), Dave Winfield (13th-RF), Kevin McReynolds (45th-LF), John Kruk (72nd-1B), Ozzie Guillen (74th-SS) and Carlos Baerga (93rd-2B).

LINEUP POS WAR WS
Ozzie Smith SS 3.24 22.13
Tony Gwynn RF 1.69 17.86
Roberto Alomar 2B 5.37 31.53
Shane Mack CF/LF 6.17 27.47
John Kruk 1B 4.35 25.38
Dave Hollins 3B 3.61 25.6
Kevin McReynolds LF 1.27 12.89
Benito Santiago C 0.81 8.17
BENCH POS WAR WS
Carlos Baerga 2B 4.83 28.54
Dave Winfield DH 3.53 25.75
Joey Cora 2B 0.66 3.98
Mark Parent C 0.25 1.42
Warren Newson RF 0.25 4.04
Paul Faries 2B 0.19 0.82
Ron Tingley C 0.13 3.36
Sandy Alomar C 0.09 8.2
Rodney McCray RF 0.09 0.45
Gary Green SS 0.08 0.46
Guillermo Velasquez 1B 0.08 0.7
Thomas Howard LF 0.05 6.44
Ozzie Guillen SS -0.01 0.41
Jose Valentin 2B -0.03 0
Luis Quinones DH -0.04 0.02
Jim Tatum 3B -0.1 0.08
Mike Humphreys LF -0.15 0.12
Jerald Clark LF -0.67 9.94

Andy Benes furnished a 3.35 ERA and notched 13 wins for the ’92 squad. Omar Olivares crafted an ERA of 3.84 and managed 9 victories in 30 starts. Bob Patterson saved 9 contests while Jim Austin fashioned a 1.85 ERA in 47 relief appearances.

ROTATION POS WAR WS
Andy Benes SP 4.22 15.68
Omar Olivares SP 1.89 8.33
Jimmy Jones SP 0.41 4.89
Greg W. Harris SP 0.4 3.81
Ricky Bones SP -0.35 4.22
BULLPEN POS WAR WS
Jim Austin RP 1.21 6.79
Bob Patterson RP 0.95 7.52
Mark Williamson RP 0.4 2.48
Matt Maysey RP -0.01 0.08
Steve Fireovid RP -0.18 0.3
Mitch Williams RP -0.27 4.99
Doug Brocail SP -0.23 0

 

The “Original” 1992 San Diego Padres roster

NAME POS WAR WS General Manager Scouting Director
Shane Mack LF 6.17 27.47 Jack McKeon Sandy Johnson
Roberto Alomar 2B 5.37 31.53 Jack McKeon
Carlos Baerga 2B 4.83 28.54 Jack McKeon
John Kruk 1B 4.35 25.38 Jack McKeon Bob Fontaine Sr.
Andy Benes SP 4.22 15.68 Jack McKeon
Dave Hollins 3B 3.61 25.6 Jack McKeon
Dave Winfield DH 3.53 25.75 Peter Bavasi Bob Fontaine Sr.
Ozzie Smith SS 3.24 22.13 Bob Fontaine Sr.
Omar Olivares SP 1.89 8.33 Jack McKeon
Tony Gwynn RF 1.69 17.86 Jack McKeon Bob Fontaine Sr.
Kevin McReynolds LF 1.27 12.89 Jack McKeon Bob Fontaine Sr.
Jim Austin RP 1.21 6.79 Jack McKeon
Bob Patterson RP 0.95 7.52 Jack McKeon Sandy Johnson
Benito Santiago C 0.81 8.17 Jack McKeon Sandy Johnson
Joey Cora 2B 0.66 3.98 Jack McKeon
Jimmy Jones SP 0.41 4.89 Jack McKeon Sandy Johnson
Mark Williamson RP 0.4 2.48 Jack McKeon Sandy Johnson
Greg Harris SP 0.4 3.81 Jack McKeon
Mark Parent C 0.25 1.42 Bob Fontaine Sr.
Warren Newson RF 0.25 4.04 Jack McKeon
Paul Faries 2B 0.19 0.82 Jack McKeon
Ron Tingley C 0.13 3.36 Bob Fontaine Sr.
Sandy Alomar C 0.09 8.2 Jack McKeon Sandy Johnson
Rodney McCray RF 0.09 0.45 Jack McKeon Sandy Johnson
Gary Green SS 0.08 0.46 Jack McKeon Sandy Johnson
Guillermo Velasquez 1B 0.08 0.7 Jack McKeon
Thomas Howard LF 0.05 6.44 Jack McKeon
Ozzie Guillen SS -0.01 0.41 Jack McKeon
Matt Maysey RP -0.01 0.08 Jack McKeon
Jose Valentin 2B -0.03 0 Jack McKeon
Luis Quinones DH -0.04 0.02 Bob Fontaine Sr.
Jim Tatum 3B -0.1 0.08 Jack McKeon
Mike Humphreys LF -0.15 0.12 Jack McKeon
Steve Fireovid RP -0.18 0.3 Bob Fontaine Sr.
Doug Brocail SP -0.23 0 Jack McKeon
Mitch Williams RP -0.27 4.99 Jack McKeon Sandy Johnson
Ricky Bones SP -0.35 4.22 Jack McKeon
Jerald Clark LF -0.67 9.94 Jack McKeon

 

Honorable Mention

The “Original” 1989 Padres    OWAR: 46.4     OWS: 303     OPW%: .552

Tony Gwynn collected his fourth batting crown with a .336 BA and topped the circuit with 203 base knocks. Roberto Alomar batted .295 and pilfered 42 bases during his sophomore season. Ozzie Smith contributed 30 doubles and nabbed 29 bags while Kevin McReynolds jacked 22 long balls and knocked in 85 baserunners. Greg W. Harris accrued 8 wins and 6 saves to complement an ERA of 2.60, pitching primarily out of the bullpen. The Friars tied the Giants for second place in the National League West, two games behind the division-leading Reds.

On Deck

The “Original” 1986 Mets

References and Resources

Baseball America – Executive Database

Baseball-Reference

James, Bill. The New Bill James Historical Baseball Abstract. New York, NY.: The Free Press, 2001. Print.

James, Bill, with Jim Henzler. Win Shares. Morton Grove, Ill.: STATS, 2002. Print.

Retrosheet – Transactions Database

Seamheads – Baseball Gauge

Sean Lahman Baseball Archive



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Derek Bain is a New Jersey native with a passion for baseball, statistics, computers and video games. He has written a number of articles for Fangraphs and Seamheads, and enjoys spending quality time with his family.

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