Hardball Retrospective – The “Original” 2013 Arizona Diamondbacks

In “Hardball Retrospective: Evaluating Scouting and Development Outcomes for the Modern-Era Franchises”, I placed every ballplayer in the modern era (from 1901-present) on their original team. Consequently, Dave Winfield is listed on the Padres roster for the duration of his career while the Athletics claim Rickey Henderson and the Twins declare Rod Carew. I calculated revised standings for every season based entirely on the performance of each team’s “original” players. I discuss every team’s “original” players and seasons at length along with organizational performance with respect to the Amateur Draft (or First-Year Player Draft), amateur free agent signings and other methods of player acquisition. Season standings, WAR and Win Shares totals for the “original” teams are compared against the “actual” team results to assess each franchise’s scouting, development and general management skills.

Expanding on my research for the book, the following series of articles will reveal the finest single-season rosters for every Major League organization based on overall rankings in OWAR and OWS along with the general managers and scouting directors that constructed the teams. “Hardball Retrospective” is available in digital form on Amazon, Barnes and Noble, GooglePlay and KoboBooks – other eBook formats coming soon. Additional information and a discussion forum are available at TuataraSoftware.com.

Terminology

OWAR – Wins Above Replacement for players on “original” teams

OWS – Win Shares for players on “original” teams

OPW% – Pythagorean Won-Loss record for the “original” teams

Assessment

The 2013 Arizona Diamondbacks    OWAR: 37.3  OWS: 274  OPW%: .542

Josh Byrnes and Joe Garagiola, Jr. procured all but one of the ballplayers on the best “Original” Diamondbacks roster in team history – the 2013 crew. Thirty-nine of the 50 players entered the organization via the Amateur Draft with the remaining 11 signed as amateur free agents. Byrnes’ selections focused on the pitching staff while Garagiola placed a distinct emphasis on offense. Based on the revised standings the “Original” 2013 Diamondbacks secured the National League West division title with an 88-74 record .

Max Scherzer (21-3, 2.90) anchored the starting staff and earned the Cy Young Award with a dazzling campaign. Arizona’s first selection in the 2006 Amateur Draft fashioned a League-best WHIP of 0.970, whiffed 240 batsmen in 214.1 innings pitched and merited his first All-Star appearance. Portsider Jorge De La Rosa compiled a 16-6 record along with an ERA of 3.49. Fellow left-hander Wade Miley (10-10, 3.55) eclipsed 200 innings pitched in his sophomore season after placing runner-up in the 2012 NL ROY balloting. Jarrod Parker (12-8, 3.97) yielded admirable results from the fourth slot in the rotation. The D-Backs bullpen featured a capable collection of late-inning relievers, none of which assumed the reins of the closer’s role.

ROTATION POS WAR WS
Max Scherzer SP 6.47 19.96
Jorge De La Rosa SP 4.06 13.45
Wade Miley SP 1.59 11.13
Jarrod Parker SP 1.58 9.37
Ross Ohlendorf SP 0.98 4.31
BULLPEN POS WAR WS
Sergio Santos RP 0.84 3.97
Javier Lopez RP 0.76 4.56
Ryan Cook RP 0.72 7.32
Josh Collmenter RP 0.36 6.56
Bryan Shaw RP 0.29 6.8
Charles Brewer RP 0.04 0.4
Tommy Layne RP -0.06 0.28
Mike Belfiore RP -0.14 0
Trevor Bauer SP -0.15 0.15
Evan Scribner RP -0.19 0.78
Daniel Stange RP -0.23 0
Jose Valverde RP -0.25 0.94
Chris Capuano SP -0.48 1.99
Barry Enright SP -0.65 0
Edgar Gonzalez RP -0.69 0
Eury De La Rosa RP -0.73 0
Brett Anderson SP -0.85 0
Hector Ambriz RP -0.86 0

Paul Goldschmidt (.302/36/125) finished second in the 2013 NL MVP voting. Arizona’s eighth-round pick in the 2009 Amateur Draft topped the Senior Circuit in home runs, RBI and SLG (.551). Justin Upton jacked 27 long balls while outfield mate Carlos Gonzalez swatted 26 big-flies. Dan Uggla contributed 22 taters but struggled mightily at the dish, batting a mere .179 while striking out in nearly 40 percent of his at-bats. Miguel Montero experienced an off-year and Carlos Quentin endured an injury-plagued season for the second straight campaign. Stephen Drew tied a career-high with 67 RBI while A.J. Pollock laced 28 two-base knocks in his first full season. Gerardo Parra collected his second Gold Glove and supplied some pop as the fourth outfielder.

LINEUP POS WAR WS
A. J. Pollock CF 1.51 13.64
Stephen Drew SS 3.48 16.78
Carlos Gonzalez LF 2.37 17.34
Paul Goldschmidt 1B 6.38 32.05
Justin Upton RF/LF 3.75 23.27
Dan Uggla 2B 2.25 12.14
Miguel Montero C 1.59 10.93
Carlos Quentin DH/LF 1.56 13.46
Matt Davidson 3B 0.24 2.38
BENCH POS WAR WS
Gerardo Parra RF 1.11 16.67
Chris Owings SS 0.27 2.18
Zach Walters 3B 0.1 0.56
John Hester C 0.03 0.11
Lyle Overbay 1B 0 8.59
Adam Eaton LF 0 5.2
Jake Elmore SS -0.03 1.66
Mark Reynolds 1B -0.06 10.77
Chris Snyder C -0.14 0.46
Emilio Bonifacio 2B -0.16 8.56
Pedro Ciriaco SS -0.16 2.65
Marc Krauss LF -0.18 1.46
Alfredo Marte LF -0.2 0.19
Collin Cowgill LF -0.22 1.65
Ryan Wheeler 1B -0.32 0.06
Alberto Gonzalez 3B -0.33 0.98
Chad Tracy 3B -0.46 0.37
Scott Hairston LF -0.47 1.99

The “Original” 2013 Arizona Diamondbacks roster

Player POS WAR WS General Manager Scouting Director
Max Scherzer SP 6.47 19.96 Josh Byrnes A.J. Hinch
Paul Goldschmidt 1B 6.38 32.05 Josh Byrnes Mike Berger
Jorge De La Rosa SP 4.06 13.45 Joe Garagiola Tommy Jones
Justin Upton LF 3.75 23.27 Joe Garagiola
Stephen Drew SS 3.48 16.78 Joe Garagiola
Carlos Gonzalez LF 2.37 17.34 Joe Garagiola Tommy Jones
Dan Uggla 2B 2.25 12.14 Joe Garagiola Tommy Jones
Miguel Montero C 1.59 10.93 Joe Garagiola Tommy Jones
Wade Miley SP 1.59 11.13 Josh Byrnes A.J. Hinch
Jarrod Parker SP 1.58 9.37 Josh Byrnes A.J. Hinch
Carlos Quentin LF 1.56 13.46 Joe Garagiola Tommy Jones
A. J. Pollock CF 1.51 13.64 Josh Byrnes Mike Berger
Gerardo Parra RF 1.11 16.67 Joe Garagiola
Ross Ohlendorf SP 0.98 4.31 Joe Garagiola
Sergio Santos RP 0.84 3.97 Joe Garagiola Tommy Jones
Javier Lopez RP 0.76 4.56 Joe Garagiola Tommy Jones
Ryan Cook RP 0.72 7.32 Josh Byrnes A.J. Hinch
Josh Collmenter RP 0.36 6.56 Josh Byrnes A.J. Hinch
Bryan Shaw RP 0.29 6.8 Josh Byrnes A.J. Hinch
Chris Owings SS 0.27 2.18 Josh Byrnes Mike Berger
Matt Davidson 3B 0.24 2.38 Josh Byrnes Mike Berger
Zach Walters 3B 0.1 0.56 Josh Byrnes Mike Berger
Charles Brewer RP 0.04 0.4 Josh Byrnes Mike Berger
John Hester C 0.03 0.11 Josh Byrnes A.J. Hinch
Lyle Overbay 1B 0 8.59 Joe Garagiola Tommy Jones
Adam Eaton LF 0 5.2 Josh Byrnes Mike Berger
Jake Elmore SS -0.03 1.66 Josh Byrnes A.J. Hinch
Mark Reynolds 1B -0.06 10.77 Joe Garagiola
Tommy Layne RP -0.06 0.28 Josh Byrnes A.J. Hinch
Chris Snyder C -0.14 0.46 Joe Garagiola Tommy Jones
Mike Belfiore RP -0.14 0 Josh Byrnes Mike Berger
Trevor Bauer SP -0.15 0.15 Kevin Towers Mike Bell
Emilio Bonifacio 2B -0.16 8.56 Joe Garagiola Tommy Jones
Pedro Ciriaco SS -0.16 2.65 Joe Garagiola Tommy Jones
Marc Krauss LF -0.18 1.46 Josh Byrnes Mike Berger
Evan Scribner RP -0.19 0.78 Josh Byrnes A.J. Hinch
Alfredo Marte LF -0.2 0.19 Josh Byrnes
Collin Cowgill LF -0.22 1.65 Josh Byrnes A.J. Hinch
Daniel Stange RP -0.23 0 Josh Byrnes A.J. Hinch
Jose Valverde RP -0.25 0.94 Joe Garagiola
Ryan Wheeler 1B -0.32 0.06 Josh Byrnes Mike Berger
Alberto Gonzalez 3B -0.33 0.98 Joe Garagiola Tommy Jones
Chad Tracy 3B -0.46 0.37 Joe Garagiola Tommy Jones
Scott Hairston LF -0.47 1.99 Joe Garagiola Tommy Jones
Chris Capuano SP -0.48 1.99 Joe Garagiola Tommy Jones
Barry Enright SP -0.65 0 Josh Byrnes A.J. Hinch
Edgar Gonzalez RP -0.69 0 Joe Garagiola Tommy Jones
Eury De La Rosa RP -0.73 0 Josh Byrnes A.J. Hinch
Brett Anderson SP -0.85 0 Josh Byrnes A.J. Hinch
Hector Ambriz RP -0.86 0 Josh Byrnes A.J. Hinch

Honorable Mention

The “Original” 2006 Diamondbacks    OWAR: 40.4  OWS: 213  OPW%: .523

Brandon Webb (16-8, 3.10) achieved Cy Young honors as Arizona attained its first National League Wild Card berth.

On Deck

The “Original” 1922 Browns

Previous Articles

The “Original” 2003 Marlins

References and Resources

Baseball America – Executive Database

Baseball-Reference

James, Bill, with Jim Henzler. Win Shares. Morton Grove, Ill.: STATS, 2002. Print.

Retrosheet – Transactions Database

Seamheads – Baseball Gauge

Sean Lahman Baseball Archive



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Derek Bain is a New Jersey native with a passion for baseball, statistics, computers and video games. He has written a number of articles for Fangraphs and Seamheads, and enjoys spending quality time with his family.

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