Archive for September, 2013

Reviewing J.P. Breen’s 10 Bold Predictions For 2013

Though we haven’t fully closed the books on the 2013 regular season, the vast majority of fantasy leagues have concluded. It was an interesting season for me. I finished no worse than fourth in any of my four leagues, but I wasn’t able to bring home a championship this year. That needs to change in 2014.

More importantly, though, it’s time to reflect on my preseason bold predictions. Let’s see where I pointed fantasy owners in the right direction and where I erred:

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Reviewing Eno Sarris’ 10 Bold Predictions for the 2013 Season

A season in the books! Not a bad one for me, two wins, five podiums, four bottom-half finishes… if only my AL-LABR team (11th) hadn’t stung so bad.

In any case, we made some bold predictions in the pre-season and it’s time to see how badly we whiffed. Although, I do remember phrasing one fairly vaguely to try and guarantee at least one ‘hit’ in the bunch. That’s cheating, I’ll readily admit. But I didn’t want to go oh-fer.

So, let’s look back at my ten then.

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Reviewing Mike Podhorzer’s 10 2013 Bold Predictions

Phew! The season has officially ended! Well…almost. For many owners, tonight’s one-game tiebreaker will not count toward the standings. For others, it’s one last night of nail biting as you hope your lead holds up. Even though the regular season technically hasn’t ended just yet, I’ll be starting the recapping efforts. As usual, I provided 10 bold predictions in late March. Let’s see how I did.

1. Justin Ruggiano surprises everyone, except for myself and FanGraphs readers, by going 25/25

My favorite offensive sleeper this preseason finished the year with 18 home runs and 15 steals over 468 plate appearances. Although he eventually did wrangle the starting center field job away from Chris Coghlan early in the season, he was cursed by a low BABIP and gave way to prospects Jake Marisnick and Marcell Ozuna later. Extrapolating his numbers over a full season of 600 plate appearances would have still yielded results that fell a bit short of this bold prediction, but he did prove that his surprising 2012 wasn’t a complete fluke. 0 for 1

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Daily Fantasy Strategy – 9/29 – For Draftstreet

As the season wraps up, there isn’t much to do but look back. With that in mind, I pulled all of the pitcher data and converted it into total DraftStreet points for the year.

Ideally, we’d have average price or purchase history to compare it to, but we don’t. The best we can do is look at the leaders and if anyone sticks out to you as a surprise, we can discuss in the comments.

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Roto Riteup: September 29, 2013

Fifteen years ago today Jay-Z released the album Vol 2…Hard Knock Life. The title track (warning: language) rates among the top 50 most played songs on the present author’s iTunes. Many of you will have a fantasy titled sewn up or stolen from your grasp today, so feel free to gloat and/or vent in the comment section. Today is going to be a day of hard knocks for some of us.

On today’s agenda:
1. Carlos Gomez does it all
2. Tanner Roark will start today
3. A 30-home run season for Brandon Moss
4. Josh Reddick’s hot September
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Daily Fantasy Strategy – 9/28 – For Draftstreet

As the season wraps up, there isn’t much to do but look back. With that in mind, I pulled all of the player data and converted it into total DraftStreet points for the year.

Ideally, we’d have average price or purchase history to compare it to, but we don’t. The best we can do is look at the leaders and if anyone sticks out to you as a surprise, we can discuss in the comments.

Free $300 1-Day MLB Fantasy Contest
Sign up at DraftStreet and get a shot at as share of $300 Free. Draft your favorite MLB players and you are eligible to win free cash.
Draft today win tomorrow.
Click Here To Sign up now!**Update**
DraftStreet announces $2,500,000 Fantasy Football Championship
1st Place: $1,000,0000
The largest prize in fantasy sports history.Click here to sign now now!

Read the rest of this entry »


Roto Riteup: September 28, 2013

Nine years ago today Talib Kweli’s The Beautiful Struggled dropped. The track Around My Way is still one of the present author’s favorites.

On today’s agenda:
1. Miguel Cabrera to sit tomorrow
2. Hello again, Jhonny Peralta
3. A new bullpen arm in Cleveland
4. The Sunday starter for the Washington Nationals is…
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Last Ditch Effort Part II: Final Speed Push

While streaming hitters may not help too much in roto leagues, it could mean all the difference in a close head to head battle. Some categories may be lost already, or at least just too hard to recover, as the case may be with stats like WHIP and ERA, but a late surge in the counting stats for hitters could be the difference in your final battle. It might not be the most glamorous bunch out there, but here are a few names to consider throwing into your lineup this weekend for some potential help. Read the rest of this entry »


Catchers As First Basemen

Positional flexibility is always something coveted on fantasy rosters. Players such as Matt Carpenter help optimize roster construction because owners have the opportunity to utilize him where it best benefits his or her team, as Carpenter can be slotted in at first base, second base, third base or even the outfield.

That’s why I find it rather interesting that six of the top eight fantasy catchers also have first base eligibility. Guys like Jonathan Lucroy and Joe Mauer have recently gained the distinction, while Carlos Santana and Victor Martinez serve as examples of catchers who have long carried dual citizenship.

Although I immediately worked under the assumption that having catcher and first base eligibility would be highly beneficial next season, it recently occurred to me to ask whether that even matters. Would an owner willfully hold two catchers on their roster — such as Wilin Rosario and Mike Napoli — with the designs of playing both on an everyday basis while punting the first base position?

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Daily Fantasy Strategy – 9/27/13 – For Draftstreet

Yesterday Blake Murphy detailed how some teams are using a lot more players in their lineups late in the season so that we can identify good pitching matchups. More youngsters in the lineups means better stats for pitchers. But young hurlers don’t see as much late season experience because of innings limit concerns. This explains why a large majority of the probable starters today are guys who have been in the majors for most of the season. In my estimation, all but three or four of today’s probables have been around for most of the year.

Today’s probables also happen to be a pretty above average bunch. Below is a chart showing how today’s starters have fared this year compared to league average.

ERA K% BB% BF/HR
Today’s Probables 3.5 20.6% 7% 43.3
League Average 4.01 18.9% 7.5% 37.79

Because there are so many good starters going today, you’re probably going to need to load up on more expensive hitters facing the few bad starters today. To save some money for bats, we’ll pick some of the cheaper starters with at least decent matchups. After the jump there will be a chart showing which of today’s starters you should be stacking up hitters against and how those starters fare against hitters of each handedness, and then we’ll pick some names.

Free $300 1-Day MLB Fantasy Contest

Sign up at DraftStreet and get a shot at a share of $300 Free. Draft your favorite MLB players and you are eligible to win free cash. Draft today, win tomorrow.

CLICK HERE to sign up now!

**Update**
DraftStreet announces $2,500,000 Fantasy Football Championship
1st Place: $1,000,0000
The largest prize in fantasy sports history.

CLICK HERE to sign up now!

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