Archive for July, 2018

Two Good Starts, Two Bad Starts: Luis Castillo and Zach Eflin

We have all been wrapped up in the deadline deals for the last few days, so we could have easily missed something potentially relevant to fantasy owners over the weekend. Back on Sunday, the Reds beat the Phillies, 4-0, and the victors departed for their road trip with a three-game win streak. Gabe Kapler even said a whole bunch of nice stuff about the team that just took a series from his Phillies.
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Brad Johnson Baseball Chat: 7/31/2018

Here’s today’s chat transcript. Lots of deadline fallout to consider.

4:01
Brad Johnson: We’ll start in a moment here. By your silence, I assume you’re also staring at twitter waiting for surprise last-minute deals.

4:02
Dan: Hi!  Best new holds guy after the deadline?

4:02
Brad Johnson: Let me digest. Holds guys are already difficult to pin down

4:03
Brad Johnson: Mostly the guys who were good for holds before the deadline.

4:03
Brad Johnson: Pressly gets a boost

4:03
Watty: ROS?  Chris Taylor or Ian Kinsler for 2B?  (Position flexibility not a factor)

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Bullpen Report: July 31, 2018

• The first of two big trades in the bullpen world yesterday was the Houston Astros trading with the Blue Jays for Roberto Osuna in a deal including Ken Giles. The Astros are deserving of all the bad publicity they’re getting for acquiring Osuna and his disgusting recent transgressions but on a purely baseball level, Osuna is an upgrade to their bullpen. Osuna is expected to pitch in another minor league appearance this week before being activated in Houston for Sunday. While we expect Osuna to be the main closer in Houston once he is acclimated, Hector Rondon should man the ninth until then.

Ken Giles was demoted after struggling a bit this year in Houston, but now in Toronto it’s expected that he will be back in the majors, closing games. However, we’re going to start the grid with Ryan Tepera still manning the ninth inning for now even if the expectation is that Giles has it soon.

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Pitching Has Been Rough in July

You’re not imagining things, the pitching landscape has been a nightmare in July. Sometimes we get in the bubble of our team and project our struggles onto the league and I thought perhaps I was doing just that as I watched my ERA and WHIP just take a beating in league after league. So, I had to check into it.

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The Daily Grind: If Bauer Skaggs Morton

Streams feed rivers which usually end in a lake or an ocean. Will following the path of the streamer lead you to water? Here are some waiver wire target for tomorrow in Streaming Wars.

AGENDA

  1. TDG Invitational
  2. Weather Reports
  3. Pitchers to Use and Abuse
  4. SaberSim Says…
  5. Paxtonator

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Analyzing the Standings For a Final Two-Month Run

This is an updated version of an article originally posted in 2013 and then reposted in 2015 and 2017. It’s a vitally important exercise to perform, so I think it’s worthwhile to continue to resurface it each season around this time.

Heading into the final two months of the season, the effect any individual player will have on our place in the standings has continued to diminish, which means that this time of year represents one of the final chances to improve our teams. It probably doesn’t need to be stated, but it’s important to reiterate for those still clinging to preseason values (I usually cling to them far longer than most, but even I know to give them up at this point!) — you need to essentially throw player values out the window and trade for needs based on your position in the various statistical categories. Don’t worry about overpaying if you still expect the trade to net you positive points. Obviously, you want to make a trade that brings back the greatest value in return and gain you the most standings points, but if the best return offered to you is a player whose owner paid $15 for him during the auction for your $25 player, it’s still absolutely worth accepting if you determine that it should gain you points.

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Roto Riteup: July 31, 2018

Bad News guys…

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Maintain Pressure as Owners Quit

The fantasy baseball season is in the final stretch. This section of road is the easiest going. Owners quit since their team is out of contention and/or they want to concentrate on football. With these quitters out of the way, it’s easier going for the active owners. Here’s a short ramble on how the active owner should approach the subject:

The inspiration for this rant came after I saw my FAAB bids in a league this morning. I was down to $12 in FAAB out of $1000 but $0 bids do exist. I noticed one must add (Yangervis Solarte) and bid $10 on him to keep everyone honest. I won to my surprise.

The reason I was taken off guard was that several teams were holding tons of FAAB dollars. Here are the post FAAB totals.

  1. $971
  2. $880
  3. $767
  4. $719
  5. $328
  6. $314
  7. $260
  8. $202
  9. $168
  10. $88
  11. $85
  12. $75
  13. $41
  14. $1 <– me
  15. $0

This league is supposed to be competitive but only six owners made additions (ranks 1, 3, 4, 5, 7, and 13). Having some teams not bid is understandable. Some weeks I don’t add players as I have too many players coming off the DL. But nine sitting out?

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Arizona Diamondbacks Top 10 Prospects Updated

The Diamondbacks have a solid system with some interesting players within the top 10-15 prospects in the system. But overall, the organization lacks depth.

Click here for the pre-season Top 10

1. Jon Duplantier | RHP | AA —> There is no denying Duplantier’s potential but the checkered medical sheet is worrisome, and the big right-hander (who attended Rice University, which has a reputation for misusing pitchers) has missed a significant chunk of 2018 due to injury. When he’s right, Duplantier shows three above-average offerings, has a great pitcher’s frame and induces a ton of ground-ball outs. There is No. 2/3 starter potential here if he can stay on the field long enough to polish his skills.

2. Daulton Varsho | C | A+ —> I’ve been a huge fan of Daulton since the D-Backs nabbed him with the 68th overall selection in the 2017 draft. He doesn’t have the strongest arm for a catcher but he makes it work and should be able to stick behind the plate (He’s caught 34% of base stealers so far this year). At the plate, Varsho shows the ability to hit for both average and power — and displays his athleticism on the base paths with above-average base running (15 for 18 in steals). He could be ready for The Show in late 2019 or early 2020.

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Bullpen Report: July 30, 2018

Brad Brach’s most recent reign as the Orioles’ closer came to an end after just five days, as they traded him on Sunday to the Braves for $250,000 in international slot money. It is not yet clear what role Brach will fill with the Braves, though given how well A.J. Minter has settled into the closer’s role, he appears to be destined for work in the seventh and/or eighth innings.

With Brach and Zach Britton both gone, Mychal Givens would be the obvious heir apparent to the closer’s role in Baltimore, though his tenure could be shorter than Brach’s. Givens, too, has been the subject of trade rumors. Earlier in the month, he had been tied to the Indians, and more recently, he has been floated as a possibility for the Pirates.
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