Archive for August, 2018

Pitcher Spotlight: Reynaldo Lopez’s Old Breaking Ball

Those who know me understand that I enjoy watching pitchers experiment and dive into it when it happens. Often they are irrelevant, failing to prevent the tires from spinning in the mud. There are exceptions, as always, and I find it interesting to point out possible exceptions before they are illuminated to the masses.

So today I want to talk about a pitcher that I wouldn’t actually suggest chasing in 12-teamer. Reynaldo Lopez’s 4.51 ERA and 1.36 WHIP with a 17.3% K rate are enough to turn anyone away while his FIP and SIERA are even worse, each with marks over 5.00. Even cherry picking his last six games returns a 4.28 ERA. Things aren’t great for Reynaldo Lopez.

Something peculiar did happen in his last start, though. It was a strong 7.0 IP, 1 ER, 6 Ks effort against the Yankees and it may have been a result of some tweaking in Lopez’s repertoire. I want to tell you about it.

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Paul Sporer Chat – August 31st, 2018

Transcript is now live!

1:04

Paul Sporer: Good afternoon everyone!! Hope the day finds you well, let’s talk some baseball!!

1:05

Tony: Pick 1 to drop: Cody Allen, Kenta Maeda, Jose Alvarado

1:05

Paul Sporer: Allen

1:05

Farmer: What team has most impressed you this year?

1:07

Paul Sporer: Oakland. I picked them to make a wildcard spot, but that included Jharel Cotton & AJ Puk being instrumental and obviously they were done before the season started. Also impressed w/ATL & PHI staying viable all year

1:08

Mrs. Wojadubakowski: Paul, thanks as always. Last week, you were kind enough to advise keeping S. Gennett ($9) in my 12tm mixed roto keeper league ($260 budget). That said, I forgot I could have Matt Chapman for $10 also. Would you prefer Gennett or Chapman in this situation?

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Who’s Being Dropped: Week 23

In my last article, I contemplated if fantasy owners care too much about who to add and not enough on who to drop. I’m going run an experiment over last few weeks of this season to see what can be extracted from league drop trends.

For reference, I’m going to analyze the 34 leagues in the NFBC Main Event. These are 15-team mixed leagues using batting average and no trading. With each team putting $3K on the line, more of these owners haven’t thrown in the towel than in most leagues.

This first week, I went through the 30 most dropped players. The reasons behind the most dropped players were obvious, mainly they were hurt, lost a role, or demoted. Next week, I may concentrate on the players dropped between 5 and ten leagues. These players aren’t the most obvious drops and analyzing them may be the most helpful.

Name: Number of teams who dropped him (of 31)

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The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 595 – So Much Fun w/ITL

8/31/18

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is brought to you by Out of the Park Baseball 19, the best baseball strategy game ever made – available NOW on PC, Mac, and Linux platforms! Go to ootpdevelopments.com to order now and save 10% with the code SLEEPER19!

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Bullpen Report: August 31, 2018

It’s probably a stretch to say that Brad Boxberger is sharing the Diamondbacks’ closer duties, but for the second night in a row, he was not alone in a ninth-inning save situation. In Wednesday night’s series finale against the Giants, Andrew Chafin was brought out to begin the ninth inning against Brandon Crawford. Once Chafin got the strikeout, he gave way to Boxberger, who finished off the 3-1 win. Then on Thursday night, the Diamondbacks had another 3-1 lead to protect — this time, against the Dodgers. Once again, a lefty (Cody Bellinger) led off, and it was Chafin who was assigned to retire him. The déjà vu continued, as Chafin struck Bellinger out, and he was followed by Boxberger, who struck out Chris Taylor and Yasiel Puig.
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The Daily Grind: Park Factors Matter

The Longo we keep using him, the more it hurts to remember. Lefty masher Evan Longoria is among tomorrow’s top waiver wire targets in Streaming Wars.

AGENDA

  1. TDG Invitational
  2. Weather Reports
  3. Pitchers to Use and Abuse
  4. SaberSim Says…
  5. Yankee Stadium

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Roto Riteup: August 31, 2018

Live footage of me attempting to catch a fly ball…..

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Does Chris Archer Still Have A Slider Problem?

Just shy of a month ago, on the day the Rays dealt Chris Archer to the Pirates, Thomas Bassinger of the Tampa Bay Times looked into why the hometown team’s presumed ace had put together a less-than-ace-quality season. The explanation was clear and compelling. Archer was leaving his slider out in the middle of the strike zone too often when he was facing lefties. That went a long way towards shedding light on why Archer had yielded a respectable .312 wOBA against right-handed batters but a bloated .347 wOBA against lefties in his final go-around with the Rays.
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The Daily Grind: Automatic Wins

The Sanchezi Federation rises in today’s Streaming Wars. Also, a slew of hitters.

AGENDA

  1. TDG Invitational
  2. Weather Reports
  3. Pitchers to Use and Abuse
  4. SaberSim Says…
  5. The DH is Evil

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In Trusting the Entire Body of Work: The April ERA Imploders

At the beginning of this week, I identified and discussed a group of hitters who suffered through miserable slumps at the beginning of the season, only to return to form, or better, the rest of the way. I then did the same for some of the players who enjoyed fantastic performances in April, just to regress back to what had always been expected the rest of the way. Though this was by no means an exhaustive study, the lesson for all these players is to trust their entire body of work, not the small sample of a month.

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