Author Archive

The First 5 Rounds of My #2EarlyMock

If you listen to the podcast, you know Justin Mason started up his Too Early Mock series and we’re off and running with eight leagues hosted by Fantrax. The always-excellent Smada is also running an ADP tracker for all eight drafts. Make sure to follow him on Twitter for plenty of baseball goodness. I’m in league 2, by the way.

So many of these leagues are shark tanks which makes them even more fun because you’re unlikely to really see anyone slip too far. If anything, you’ll have to pop your gems early if you want to land them here. Our very own Al Melchior is in my league as well as personal friends Doug Thorburn and Chris Welsh! Again, the whole group is strong.

Here is the rundown in order of picks:

  1. Chuck Anderson
  2. Frank Aquila
  3. Chris Welsh
  4. Brandon Bruckman
  5. @batflipcrazy
  6. Matt Thompson
  7. Al Melchior
  8. Doug Thorburn
  9. Kyle Bishop
  10. Brian Slack
  11. Me
  12. Mike Tanner

Here are my first 5 rounds and I should have made my 10th pick by tomorrow so I’ll write up those 5 as well.

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Daily Starters – Tuesday, September 18th

It’s a slate of studs with several aces going, but there are still a host of useful starters to run out there in your playoff or roto chase to the top.

(I’ll be citing the FantasyPros roster rates)

Joey Lucchesi – SD v. SF (26%)

Lucchesi is a slam dunk spot start thanks to the easiest matchup a lefty can get in the second half. The Giants are 30th in wOBA against lefties since the break at .262. Meanwhile, it’s not just the matchup that is appealing here as Lucchesi’s had a useful 4.13 ERA and 54 strikeouts in 48 innings.

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The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 601 – Top 25 SP Falloffs in ‘19

9/16/18

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is brought to you by Out of the Park Baseball 19, the best baseball strategy game ever made – available NOW on PC, Mac, and Linux platforms! Go to ootpdevelopments.com to order now and save 10% with the code SLEEPER19!

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 Top 25 SPs from ’18 to Falloff in ’19

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The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 600 – New Studs v. Established Duds

9/14/18

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is brought to you by Out of the Park Baseball 19, the best baseball strategy game ever made – available NOW on PC, Mac, and Linux platforms! Go to ootpdevelopments.com to order now and save 10% with the code SLEEPER19!

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Paul Sporer Baseball Chat – September 14th, 2018

The transcript is live, thanks for coming!

3:26

Paul Sporer: Hello everybody!! Sorry for the delay, but pod 600 needed my time and the band is back together with Justin and Jason joining me

3:26

Gloria Esteban Loaiza: Keeper time already??

3:26

Paul Sporer: Whattya mean? Like talking about them? Sure!

3:26

rpo: How do you value Aaron Hicks for next year? Top 100 guy?

3:27

Paul Sporer: Thereabouts, I *love* Aaron Hicks

3:28

MDN: What do you think about car mart for next year? Wondering what kind of price you think he should go for in drafts (5×5 roto) to decide on what kind of keeper cost is worth it for him. $10-20? >$20?!?

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The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 599 – The Rookie Hitters in 2019

9/13/18

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is brought to you by Out of the Park Baseball 19, the best baseball strategy game ever made – available NOW on PC, Mac, and Linux platforms! Go to ootpdevelopments.com to order now and save 10% with the code SLEEPER19!

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GET THE SLEEPER & THE BUST T-SHIRT FROM ROTOWEAR!

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Daily Starters – Thursday, September 13th

We’ve got a decent group to pick from despite an 8-game slate.

(I’ll be citing the FantasyPros roster rates)

Steven Matz – NYM v. MIA (27%)

Matz was having a good season with a 3.38 ERA through the first half, but opened the second half with four starts of a 13.17 ERA and probably fell off the radar for most, especially since he’s on a terrible team. He’s rallied back with four straight gems, posting a 2.25 ERA and 0.75 WHIP in 24 IP with a 29% K-BB rate. He has faced the Giants twice during that run and they’re baseball’s worst team against lefties in the second half (.264 wOBA, 26% K rate), but he gets a Marlins team that has a .300 wOBA in that same time (21st).

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National League Lineup Analysis

Taking a look at the recent trends in the Senior Circuit lineups:

(Check out Jeff’s work on the AL here)

Braves

  • Johan Camargo has jumped into the #2 spot the last four games with Ozzie Albies and Ender Inciarte both being pushed down to the latter third (alternating between 6th and 7th) and Dansby Swanson holding down the 8-hole.
  • Ronald Acuna is locked into the leadoff spot and has been amazing from that position. Among the 45 hitters with at least 150 leadoff PA, his .464 wOBA is tops (worth noting that Mookie Betts isn’t far behind at .445 in 2.5x the PA). At this rate, he’s going to push into some 1st rounds next year.

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Daily Starters – Tuesday, September 11th

Obviously, there are flaws for any SPs who are readily available for streaming, but today’s batch seems to be particularly volatile. I’m always down for a pitcher who can deliver that gem of 7+ innings with a  bunch of strikeouts, but when the downside is a sub-5 inning nightmare, you have to carefully calculate if you can take on the risk.

(I’ll be citing the FantasyPros roster rates)

Tanner Roark – WAS at PHI (47%)

The Cards hit Roark for his worst start in the second half last time out, but even with the 5 IP/6 ER dud, he still has a 2.91 ERA in 55.7 IP since the break. Roark has two quality starts, a dud (4.3 IP/6 ER), and a rain-shortened outing that had started well (3 IP/0 ER) against the Phillies this year. The Phillies have been a middling offense against righties since the break, sitting 18th in wOBA at .317 with a 23% K rate.

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The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 598 – 2018 Disappointments in 2019 Drafts

9/10/18

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is brought to you by Out of the Park Baseball 19, the best baseball strategy game ever made – available NOW on PC, Mac, and Linux platforms! Go to ootpdevelopments.com to order now and save 10% with the code SLEEPER19!

Follow us on Twitter

GET THE SLEEPER & THE BUST T-SHIRT FROM ROTOWEAR!

 2018 Disappointments in 2019 Drafts

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